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Check your printing9 different Groudon printings exist — is this your card? Paradox Rift #199
Groudon Paradox Rift #199 Pokémon card
ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)PSA 10 price pagePSA 9 price page
Illustration Rare

Groudon199/182 · Paradox Rift Price & Value

2023 · Illustrated by Nurikabe
130 HPFightingPokémonBasic

Market value · Near Mint

$124.71
LiquiditySells often
Sales · 90 days257
Last sale$113 Raw · 1 Sep 2026
Range$117$125
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. Priced from 126 completed sales of this exact card. Listings ask what a seller hopes for; this is what copies actually changed hands for, which is why it can sit below what you see for sale. Updated 4 September 2026. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Pack fresh
$138
Based on 26 sold sales

The top 5% of this card's sales — pack-fresh examples — sold for $138 or more. That's about +11% over a typical Near Mint copy.

How do we work this out?

We take every real sale of this exact card over the last 12 months (26 sales), sort them by price, and read off the top 15% and top 5%. No multipliers, no guesses — the prices cleaner copies actually fetched.

Why cleaner copies cost more: buyers can see condition in the photos and pay for it. Listings sellers describe as pack fresh or gem mint land in this top band 1.7× more often than ordinary ones — the premium follows the card, not the hype.

Copies in this band are also the ones collectors send to grading: far more likely than a typical binder copy to be submitted at all — and to come back with the strong grade that carries the PSA prices shown on this page. That prospect is part of what buyers are paying for here.

These are read straight off this card's own completed sales — sort them by price and take the top 15% and top 5%. Whether your copy qualifies is a judgment made by looking at the card.

What this price is based on

High confidence

126 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.

Range$69.99$581lowest to highest sale
Sales rate51.2/mo327 recorded
Latest sale4d ago126 sales in 90 days
Momentum+1%30-day vs 90-day sales
Where it sells100% eBaylast 90 days

Recent Raw sales

By grade

  • Raw$109126 sales
  • PSA 10$64481 sales
  • PSA 9$12566 sales
  • CGC 10$18718 sales
  • CGC 9$99.9913 sales
  • PSA 8$1005 sales
  • TAG 10$6164 sales
  • CGC 8.5$92.904 sales

From 327 completed sales recorded between Oct 28, 2024 and Sep 3, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.

Grade it or not

GRADE IT

Based on 200 graded sales and 5,127,940 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

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Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

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Groudon is a Illustration Rare Pokémon card from Paradox Rift (#199, released 2023), illustrated by Nurikabe. It's a Basic Fighting-type Pokémon with 130 HP, weak to Grass ×2. Its current blended market value is $124.71 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $668 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 5× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 4 September 2026.

Groudon price history & recent sales

Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.

Price history · Raw

1 Nov 20234 Sept 2026
Latest
$124.71
Period high
$125.64
Period low
$24.50
Change
243.6% · 3Y
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Verified sales history260 in 90 daysreal completed listings

Last sold
$115
Raw · 1 Sep 2026
Typical Raw
$109
Sales · last 90 days
239
How often it sells
Sells often
daily · 149 in last 30 days

Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.

Last sold price
$600
PSA 10 · 24 Aug 2026
Typical PSA 10
$630
Sales · last 90 days
11
How often it sells
Sells regularly
4 in last 30 days

Real completed sale prices from Fanatics Collect — weekly and premier auctions plus marketplace Buy It Now sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title.

DateGradePriceCert
30 Aug 2026PSA 10$655.00#113266910
30 Aug 2026PSA 10$595.00#138530516
30 Aug 2026PSA 9$125.00#141245360
29 Aug 2026PSA 9$105.00#99979102
28 Aug 2026PSA 10$610.99#131345519
28 Aug 2026PSA 10$668.00#121260975
28 Aug 2026PSA 9$125.00#126782324
28 Aug 2026PSA 9$130.00#167103621
28 Aug 2026PSA 9$110.00#162779623
28 Aug 2026PSA 9$103.50#155517623

Demand & liquidity

Very liquid · Sells oftenDemand 70/100
Sales · 30d156
Sales · 90d260
HypeOn the radar
Raw
$109
PSA 10
$644
PSA 9
$125
CGC 10
$187
CGC 9
$100
PSA 8
$100

Last sold $725 · PSA 10 · 3 Sep 2026

How often each grade sells · last 90 days, all marketplaces

Raw126sells often
PSA 1056sells often
PSA 955sells often
CGC 106occasional
PSA 85occasional
TAG 104occasional

Is Groudon worth grading?

+$76

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 33.8% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$437); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)33.8%
Expected return+$76
PSA 10 best case+$437
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictWorth grading

The odds

Groudon is a Ultra Rare in Paradox Rift — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 62 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 623 packs.

Ultra Rare10%62 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)33.3%5,891 of 17,702
PSA 953.1%9,397 of 17,702
PSA graded so far17,702
Gem Mint 105,891
Total graded17,702

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$668.00$107+$4375.4×
PSA 9$130.00$71$661.0×
PSA 8$100.00$71$960.8×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 17,057 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1033.8%$668.00
PSA 952.7%$130.00
PSA ≤813.4%$95.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates

Only 33% of 17,702 PSA-graded Groudon copies are a gem-mint 10 (5,891 of 17,702) — the rest grade lower.

PSA17,702 gradedPSA 10 · 5,891 · 33% gem
105,891
99,397
8.525
81,908
7305
6126
549
414
37
23
11
TAG539 gradedTAG 10 · 165 · 31% gem
10165
9278
8.543
825
7.510
74
6.56
63
52
4.52
41

Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Groudon 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.

All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$122.68
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 5,891$668$568$768
PSA 9pop 9,397$130$111$150
PSA 8pop 1,908$100$85$115
PSA 7pop 305$67$40$100
PSA 6pop 126$55$55$55
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
What premium copies fetch

A typical Near Mint copy sells for $120. Grading-candidate copies — the cleanest 15% of sales — typically fetch $125 (+4%). Pack-fresh examples — the top 5% — go for about $133.

Near Mint $120Grading candidate $125Pack fresh $133

From 26 sales in the last 12 months. These describe the market — whether a specific copy is a grading candidate is a judgment made by looking at it.

Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$124.71
LPLightly Played$102.24
MPModerately Played$71.16
HPHeavily Played$53.64
7-day 3.1%
30-day 2.3%
90-day 33.9%
All-time high$129
All-time low$69
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost

For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $99 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.

Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

3% spread
PriceCharting · cheapest$117
TCGplayer · dearest$120

Currently 3% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Cross-marketMarkets agree 3% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🔥 Trending in the community

#179 on the radar
Mentions this week1

Groudon is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →

What people are saying: [US, US] [H] Discounted PSA 10 Slabs and Sealed [W] Paypal, Wishlist Trades · 3↑

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Swelling Power
Colorless

Attach a Basic Fighting Energy card from your hand to 1 of your Pokémon.

Magma Purge60×
Fighting · Fighting · Colorless

Discard up to 4 Energy from your Pokémon. This attack does 60 damage for each card you discarded in this way.

Weakness Grass ×2Retreat 3

This legendary Pokémon is said to represent the land. It went to sleep after dueling Kyogre.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Continent PokémonGEN IIILegendary

GROUDON has long been described in mythology as the POKéMON that raised lands and expanded continents. This POKéMON took to sleep after a cataclysmic battle with KYOGRE.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#199
RarityIllustration Rare
Released2023
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesBasic
TypeFighting
HP130
WeaknessGrass ×2
Retreat cost3
National Pokédex#383
Card IDsv4-199
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Groudon cards

There are 9 different Groudon printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Paradox Rift #199 (Illustration Rare).

More from Paradox Rift

Frequently asked questions

How much is Groudon (Paradox Rift #199) worth?

As of 4 September 2026, Groudon from Paradox Rift is worth approximately $124.71 ungraded (near-mint), and around $668 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Groudon?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Groudon from Paradox Rift is worth around $668 — roughly 5× the raw ungraded value of $124.71.

Should I grade my Groudon?

A PSA 10 sells for about $668 versus $124.71 raw — roughly a 5× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Groudon rare?

Groudon is a Illustration Rare card from Paradox Rift (card #199), illustrated by Nurikabe. Its current blended market value is $124.71 ungraded.

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Citation
Groudon (Paradox Rift #199) — Pokémon market value $124.71, PSA 10 $668.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/paradox-rift/groudon-199
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