Mega Lucario ex
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence84 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
What each version actually sells for
Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — 2025 Pokemon—Mega Lucario ex #188/132 Mega Evolution— Hyper Rare Small damageDM$210
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Mega Lucario ex 188/132 Mega Hyper Rare Mega Evolution Pokemon Holo NM/MNM$250
- Aug 13, 2026eBay — Pokémon Mega Lucario ex 188/132 Mega Hyper Rare Gold Mega Evolution MHR NMNM$250
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Mega Lucario EX 188/132 Mega Hyper Rare Card Me01: Mega Evolutions$170
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — 2025 Pokémon Mega Lucario Ex Mega Hyper Rare #188$200
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Mega Lucario EX 188/132 Gold mega evolution$251
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokémon Mega Lucario ex 188/132 Mega Hyper Rare Gold Mega Evolution MHR$256
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — 2025 Pokemon Mega Evolution Mega Hyper Rare #188 Mega Lucario ex$187
By grade
- Raw$25084 sales
- PSA 9$24970 sales
- PSA 10$78060 sales
- PSA 8$21918 sales
- CGC 10$37215 sales
- CGC 9$1989 sales
- CGC 9.5$2407 sales
- Lot$2043 sales
From 289 completed sales recorded between Oct 27, 2025 and Aug 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 201 graded sales and 5,119,579 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Mega Lucario ex is a Mega Hyper Rare Pokémon card from Mega Evolution (#188), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a Stage 1 MEGA ex Fighting-type Pokémon with 340 HP, evolving from Riolu, weak to Psychic ×2. Its current blended market value is $274.69 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $817 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 3× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history44 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
Demand & liquidity
Last sold $250 · Raw · 27 Jun 2026
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 28.3% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$454); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Mega Lucario ex is a Secret / Rainbow in Mega Evolution — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 12 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 482 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $816.50 | $88 | +$454 | 3.0× |
| PSA 9 | $250.00 | $72 | −$97 | 0.9× |
| PSA 8 | $208.00 | $72 | −$139 | 0.8× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 8,807 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 28.3% | $817.00 |
| PSA 9 | 49.9% | $250.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 21.8% | $275.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 28% of 8,807 PSA-graded Mega Lucario ex copies are a gem-mint 10 (2,489 of 8,807) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Mega Lucario ex 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 2,489 | $817$694–$939 | |
| PSA 8pop 1,636 | ✓ 19 cert-verified$208$208–$288 | |
| PSA 6pop 60 | $200$178–$299 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
12% spreadCurrently 12% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#6 on the radarLucario is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “My girlfriend and I broke up” · 2537↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Riolu.
Attach up to 3 Basic Fighting Energy cards from your discard pile to your Benched Pokémon in any way you like.
During your next turn, this Pokémon can't use Mega Brave.
Mega Evolution ex Rule: When your Mega Evolution Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 3 Prize cards.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Mega Lucario ex cards
There are 7 different Mega Lucario ex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Mega Evolution #188 (Mega Hyper Rare).
More from Mega Evolution
Frequently asked questions
How much is Mega Lucario ex (Mega Evolution #188) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Mega Lucario ex from Mega Evolution is worth approximately $274.69 ungraded (near-mint), and around $817 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Mega Lucario ex?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Mega Lucario ex from Mega Evolution is worth around $817 — roughly 3× the raw ungraded value of $274.69.
Should I grade my Mega Lucario ex?
A PSA 10 sells for about $817 versus $274.69 raw — roughly a 3× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Mega Lucario ex rare?
Mega Lucario ex is a Mega Hyper Rare card from Mega Evolution (card #188), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. Its current blended market value is $274.69 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Mega Lucario ex (Mega Evolution #188) — Pokémon market value $274.69, PSA 10 $816.50. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/mega-evolution/mega-lucario-ex-188<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=me1-188" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Mega Lucario ex price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>