Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR192/189 · Astral Radiance Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
Pack fresh $22est.
- PSA 8$11modelled · pop 51
- PSA 9$20modelled · pop 229
- PSA 10$616 sold · 90d · pop 495
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for Astral Radiance #192/189, 2022. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
What's your copy worth?
Estimated. This card has enough sales to price the top 15% but not the top 5%, so pack-fresh is projected from the gap we measure between those two tiers on cards that do — about 1.4x on vintage, 1.2x on modern. $22.40. That's about +45% over a typical Near Mint copy.
ⓘ How do we work this out?
We take every real sale of this exact card over the last 12 months (21 sales), sort them by price, and read off the top 15% and top 5%. No multipliers, no guesses — the prices cleaner copies actually fetched.
Why cleaner copies cost more: buyers can see condition in the photos and pay for it. Listings sellers describe as pack fresh or gem mint land in this top band 1.7× more often than ordinary ones — the premium follows the card, not the hype.
Copies in this band are also the ones collectors send to grading: far more likely than a typical binder copy to be submitted at all — and to come back with the strong grade that carries the PSA prices shown on this page. That prospect is part of what buyers are paying for here.
These are read straight off this card's own completed sales — sort them by price and take the top 15% and top 5%. Whether your copy qualifies is a judgment made by looking at the card.
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR is a Rare Rainbow Pokémon card from Astral Radiance (#192, released 2022), illustrated by aky CG Works. It's a VSTAR Water-type Pokémon with 280 HP, evolving from Origin Forme Palkia V, weak to Lightning ×2. It's listed among our rainbow rares. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 12 September 2026.
Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR price history & recent sales
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
High confidence23 sales in 90 days, closely clustered. · Liquid — Sells regularly
5 of 10 verified sales were competitive auctions — this price reflects real bidding, not asking prices. A graded copy trades roughly every 11 days (median gap between cert-verified sales).
By grade
- Raw$13.4831 sales · 23 in 90d, sells regularly
- PSA 10$68.009 sales · 6 in 90d, occasional
- PSA 9$21.501 sale
- PSA 5$14.501 sale
- CGC 7.5$6.001 sale
- BGS 10$2501 sale
Is Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 10 — worth $68 against the $85 you put in, a $17 loss. The money is in the 1 in 1 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $20–$68. Averaged over every outcome that is −$37 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR is a Secret / Rainbow in Astral Radiance — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 34 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 1,367 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $61.00 | $71 | −$25 | 4.0× |
| PSA 9 | $20.34 | $70 | −$65 | 1.3× |
| PSA 8 | $10.52 | $70 | −$75 | 0.7× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 792 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 — typical | 61.4% | $68.00 |
| PSA 9 | 28.2% | $20.34 |
| PSA 8 | 6.4% | $10.52 |
| PSA 7 | 2.7% | $10.52 † |
| PSA 6 | 0.6% | $9.96 |
| PSA 5 | 0.3% | $9.96 |
| PSA 4 | 0.1% | $9.96 |
| PSA 3 | 0.3% | $9.96 |
| Other (half grades, authentic) | 0.1% | $15.43 |
† Priced from PriceCharting's graded ladder — we hold no completed sale of our own at that grade. Every other row is our own sold data.
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
495 of the 807 PSA-graded Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 61%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 807.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 277.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 192/189 Rainbow Rare Astral Radiance Holo HP 2022Raw · eBay$6.99
Pokémon TCG Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 192/189 Astral Radiance Secret Holo EngRaw · eBay$8.00
Pokémon TCG Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR Astral Radiance 192/189 Holo Secret RareRaw · eBay$8.35
Pokémon TCG Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR Astral Radiance 192/189 Holo Secret RareRaw · eBay$9.25
Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR (Secret) 192/189 Swsh10: Astral Radiance Holo LPRaw · eBay$9.99
Pokemon Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR Secret Rare 192/189 Astral Radiance HoloRaw · eBay$10.00Cheapest raw copy $6.99 — 55% below our near-mint estimate of $15
Buying this card on eBay? The free CardTrack extension shows our value and a deal verdict right on the listing. Add to Chrome →
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 495 | ✓ 58 cert-verified$61$58–$78 | |
| PSA 9pop 229 | modelled$20$15–$28 | |
| PSA 8pop 51 | modelled$11$11–$14 | |
| PSA 6pop 5 | modelled$10$4–$10 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
A typical Near Mint copy sells for $15.00. Grading-candidate copies — the cleanest 15% of sales — typically fetch $18.00 (+20%). Pack-fresh examples — the top 5% — go for about $21.78.
From 15 sales in the last 12 months. These describe the market — whether a specific copy is a grading candidate is a judgment made by looking at it.
For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $28 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
2% spreadCurrently 2% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#84 on the radarPalkia is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “What moved in August: biggest gainers and losers by price bracket, from daily TCGplayer closes” · 35↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Origin Forme Palkia V.
During your turn, you may attach up to 3 Water Energy cards from your discard pile to your Water Pokémon in any way you like. (You can't use more than 1 VSTAR Power in a game.)
This attack does 20 more damage for each Benched Pokémon (both yours and your opponent's).
VSTAR rule: When your Pokémon VSTAR is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR cards
There are 5 different Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Astral Radiance #192 (Rare Rainbow).
More from Astral Radiance
Frequently asked questions
How much is Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR (Astral Radiance #192) worth?
As of 12 September 2026, Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR from Astral Radiance is worth approximately $15.43 ungraded (near-mint), and around $61 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR from Astral Radiance is worth around $61 — roughly 4× the raw ungraded value of $15.43.
Should I grade my Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR rare?
Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR is a Rare Rainbow card from Astral Radiance (card #192).
How do I know if my Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR is Holofoil?
The illustration window: The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR (Astral Radiance #192) — Pokémon market value $15.43, PSA 10 $61.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/astral-radiance/origin-forme-palkia-vstar-192<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=swsh10-192" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>