Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence26 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 17, 2026eBay — Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 192/189 Rainbow Rare Astral Radiance Pokemon Holo NMNM$17.29
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 192/189 Rainbow Rare Astral Radiance Pokemon Holo NMNM$20.00
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 192/189 Rainbow Rare Astral Radiance Pokemon Holo$14.99
- Aug 4, 2026eBay — Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 192/189 Rainbow Rare Astral Radiance Pokemon Holo NMNM$19.69
- Aug 3, 2026eBay — Origin Forme Palkia VStar #192/189. Astral Radiance. ENG. Raw. Pokemon TCG.$15.00
- Jul 26, 2026eBay — Pokemon Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR Secret Ultra Rare 192/189 Astral Radiance$15.95
- Jul 23, 2026eBay — Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 192/189 Rainbow Rare Astral Radiance Pokemon Holo NMNM$15.00
- Jul 19, 2026eBay — Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 192/189 Astral Radiance NM Rainbow Rare PokemonNM$17.00
By grade
- Raw$14.2328 sales
- PSA 10$67.004 sales
- PSA 9$21.501 sale
- CGC 7.5$6.001 sale
- BGS 10$2501 sale
From 35 completed sales recorded between Apr 27, 2026 and Aug 17, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 7 graded sales and 4,410,352 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR is a Rare Rainbow Pokémon card from Astral Radiance (#192), illustrated by aky CG Works. It's a VSTAR Water-type Pokémon with 280 HP, evolving from Origin Forme Palkia V, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $15.73 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $61 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 4× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $36.00 | #97351816 ✓ |
| 12 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $55.00 | #150935999 ✓ |
| 9 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $64.00 | #129018094 ✓ |
| 29 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $75.00 | #151344688 ✓ |
| 21 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $79.99 | #128104895 ✓ |
| 21 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $69.99 | #156768480 ✓ |
| 23 May 2026 | PSA 5 | $14.50 | #148226266 ✓ |
| 12 May 2026 | PSA 9 | $21.50 | #140459213 ✓ |
| 17 Apr 2026 | PSA 9 | $24.59 | #96525925 ✓ |
| 16 Mar 2026 | PSA 7 | $15.00 | #132539602 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 61.4% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$25); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR is a Secret / Rainbow in Astral Radiance — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 34 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 1,367 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $61.00 | $71 | −$25 | 3.9× |
| PSA 9 | $20.34 | $70 | −$66 | 1.3× |
| PSA 8 | $10.52 | $70 | −$75 | 0.7× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 792 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 61.4% | $61.00 |
| PSA 9 | 28.2% | $20.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 10.5% | $16.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 61% of 792 PSA-graded Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR copies are a gem-mint 10 (486 of 792) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 486 | ✓ 58 cert-verified$61$58–$78 | |
| PSA 9pop 223 | $20$15–$28 | |
| PSA 8pop 51 | $11$11–$14 | |
| PSA 6pop 5 | $10$4–$10 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $28 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
6% spreadCurrently 6% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Origin Forme Palkia V.
During your turn, you may attach up to 3 Water Energy cards from your discard pile to your Water Pokémon in any way you like. (You can't use more than 1 VSTAR Power in a game.)
This attack does 20 more damage for each Benched Pokémon (both yours and your opponent's).
VSTAR rule: When your Pokémon VSTAR is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR cards
There are 5 different Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Astral Radiance #192 (Rare Rainbow).
More from Astral Radiance
Frequently asked questions
How much is Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR (Astral Radiance #192) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR from Astral Radiance is worth approximately $15.73 ungraded (near-mint), and around $61 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR from Astral Radiance is worth around $61 — roughly 4× the raw ungraded value of $15.73.
Should I grade my Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR?
A PSA 10 sells for about $61 versus $15.73 raw — roughly a 4× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR rare?
Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR is a Rare Rainbow card from Astral Radiance (card #192), illustrated by aky CG Works. Its current blended market value is $15.73 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR (Astral Radiance #192) — Pokémon market value $15.73, PSA 10 $61.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/astral-radiance/origin-forme-palkia-vstar-192<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=swsh10-192" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>