Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence94 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 040/189 Holo Astral Radiance Pokemon Holo NMNM$2.99
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 040/189 Holo VSTAR Rare Astral Radiance Pokemon NMNM$2.69
- Aug 13, 2026eBay — Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 040/189 Holo VSTAR Rare Astral Radiance Pokemon NMNM$2.99
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 040/189 Holo VSTAR Rare Astral Radiance Pokemon NMNM$2.99
- Aug 10, 2026eBay — Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 040/189 Holo VSTAR Rare Astral Radiance Pokemon NMNM$3.49
- Aug 8, 2026eBay — Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 040/189 Holo VSTAR Rare Astral Radiance Pokemon NMNM$2.49
- Aug 5, 2026eBay — Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 040/189 Holo VSTAR Rare Astral Radiance Pokemon NMNM$1.99
- Aug 4, 2026eBay — Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 040/189 Astral Radiance Ultra Rare Pokemon Card$1.99
By grade
- Raw$2.00106 sales
- PSA 9$29.951 sale
- PSA 10$24.001 sale
- CGC 7$8.401 sale
- CGC 10$18.001 sale
From 110 completed sales recorded between Jan 10, 2026 and Aug 14, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 4 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR is a Rare Holo VSTAR Pokémon card from Astral Radiance (#40), illustrated by aky CG Works. It's a VSTAR Water-type Pokémon with 280 HP, evolving from Origin Forme Palkia V, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $7.21 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $45 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 6× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $54.99 | #94952885 ✓ |
| 11 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $24.99 | #138973179 ✓ |
| 7 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $29.95 | #142590535 ✓ |
| 7 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $29.95 | #142590538 ✓ |
| 7 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $29.95 | #138552961 ✓ |
| 5 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $19.99 | #140881318 ✓ |
| 30 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $11.99 | #82229940 ✓ |
| 20 Jun 2026 | PSA 6 | $5.50 | #133520921 ✓ |
| 31 May 2026 | PSA 8 | $10.00 | #100621998 ✓ |
| 6 May 2026 | PSA 10 | $41.00 | #126114855 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 33.1% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$33); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR is a Secret / Rainbow in Astral Radiance — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 34 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 1,367 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $45.00 | $70 | −$33 | 6.2× |
| PSA 9 | $25.00 | $70 | −$52 | 3.5× |
| PSA 8 | $12.70 | $70 | −$65 | 1.8× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 3,210 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 33.1% | $45.00 |
| PSA 9 | 36.3% | $25.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 30.7% | $7.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 33% of 3,210 CGC-graded Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR copies are a gem-mint 10 (1,062 of 3,210) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $45$38–$52 | |
| PSA 9 | ✓ 17 cert-verified$25$24–$33 | |
| PSA 8 | $13$6–$17 | |
| PSA 6 | $6$6–$6 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Origin Forme Palkia V.
During your turn, you may attach up to 3 Water Energy cards from your discard pile to your Water Pokémon in any way you like. (You can't use more than 1 VSTAR Power in a game.)
This attack does 20 more damage for each Benched Pokémon (both yours and your opponent's).
VSTAR rule: When your Pokémon VSTAR is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR cards
There are 5 different Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Astral Radiance #40 (Rare Holo VSTAR).
More from Astral Radiance
Frequently asked questions
How much is Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR (Astral Radiance #40) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR from Astral Radiance is worth approximately $7.21 ungraded (near-mint), and around $45 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR from Astral Radiance is worth around $45 — roughly 6× the raw ungraded value of $7.21.
Should I grade my Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR?
A PSA 10 sells for about $45 versus $7.21 raw — roughly a 6× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR rare?
Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR is a Rare Holo VSTAR card from Astral Radiance (card #40), illustrated by aky CG Works. Its current blended market value is $7.21 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR (Astral Radiance #40) — Pokémon market value $7.21, PSA 10 $45.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/astral-radiance/origin-forme-palkia-vstar-40<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=swsh10-40" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>