Radiant Greninja
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence39 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Radiant Greninja 46/189 Astral Radiance Holo Rare (English) - NMNM$2.99
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Radiant Greninja 46/189 Radiant Rare Astral Radiance Pokemon$4.45
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Radiant Greninja 46/189 Astral Radiance Holo Rare Pokemon Card TCG 2022$4.00
- Aug 8, 2026eBay — 2022 Sword & Shield - Astral Radiance Radiant Greninja Basic/Radiant Rare #46$5.00
- Aug 7, 2026eBay — Radiant Greninja (Shiny) 46/189 Holo Rare Astral Radiance Pokemon TCG NMNM$7.99
- Aug 2, 2026eBay — Pokemon Astral Radiance Holo Ultra Rare Radiant Greninja 46/189$3.99
- Aug 2, 2026eBay — Pokemon Radiant Greninja (46/266) Astral Radiance LP HOLOLP$4.95
- Jul 31, 2026eBay — Radiant Greninja 46/189 Pokemon Astral Radiance NM/MintNM$3.29
By grade
- Raw$4.5050 sales
- CGC 10$25.0045 sales
- CGC 9$9.0014 sales
- PSA 10$12313 sales
- PSA 9$23.8812 sales
- CGC 8.5$9.009 sales
- CGC 9.5$11.404 sales
- CGC 7$7.203 sales
From 154 completed sales recorded between Feb 9, 2026 and Aug 14, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 104 graded sales and 4,414,624 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Radiant Greninja is a Radiant Rare Pokémon card from Astral Radiance (#46), illustrated by Souichirou Gunjima. It's a Basic Radiant Water-type Pokémon with 130 HP, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $13.94 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $104 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 7× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $26.95 | #67742089 ✓ |
| 15 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $19.23 | #155904171 ✓ |
| 15 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $114.50 | #151734233 ✓ |
| 15 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $119.99 | #162656206 ✓ |
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $22.50 | #162102708 ✓ |
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 8 | $14.32 | #162102709 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $64.09 | #82387647 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $98.00 | #144575814 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $129.99 | #151183664 ✓ |
| 12 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $23.51 | #147772287 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 56.1% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$19); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Radiant Greninja is a Rare in Astral Radiance — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 24 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 40 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $103.50 | $71 | +$19 | 7.4× |
| PSA 9 | $24.95 | $70 | −$59 | 1.8× |
| PSA 8 | $14.10 | $70 | −$70 | 1.0× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 5,075 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 56.1% | $104.00 |
| PSA 9 | 31.7% | $25.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 12.2% | $14.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 56% of 5,075 PSA-graded Radiant Greninja copies are a gem-mint 10 (2,846 of 5,075) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Radiant Greninja 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 2,846 | $104$88–$119 | |
| PSA 9pop 1,610 | $25$21–$29 | |
| PSA 8pop 420 | $14$12–$16 | |
| PSA 7pop 72 | $11$10–$12 | |
| PSA 4pop 16 | $7$7–$7 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#9 on the radarGreninja is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “30TH ANNIVERSARY LIKELY TONIGHT ON TARGET Midnight pst , 3am EST” · 141↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
You must discard an Energy card from your hand in order to use this Ability. Once during your turn, you may draw 2 cards.
Discard 2 Energy from this Pokémon. This attack does 90 damage to 2 of your opponent's Pokémon. (Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for Benched Pokémon.)
Radiant Pokémon Rule: You can't have more than 1 Radiant Pokémon in your deck.
“It appears and vanishes with a ninja's grace. It toys with its enemies using swift movements, while slicing them with throwing stars of sharpest water.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
More from Astral Radiance
Frequently asked questions
How much is Radiant Greninja (Astral Radiance #46) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Radiant Greninja from Astral Radiance is worth approximately $13.94 ungraded (near-mint), and around $104 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Radiant Greninja?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Radiant Greninja from Astral Radiance is worth around $104 — roughly 7× the raw ungraded value of $13.94.
Should I grade my Radiant Greninja?
A PSA 10 sells for about $104 versus $13.94 raw — roughly a 7× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Radiant Greninja rare?
Radiant Greninja is a Radiant Rare card from Astral Radiance (card #46), illustrated by Souichirou Gunjima. Its current blended market value is $13.94 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Radiant Greninja (Astral Radiance #46) — Pokémon market value $13.94, PSA 10 $103.50. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/astral-radiance/radiant-greninja-46<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=swsh10-46" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Radiant Greninja price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>