Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Low confidenceOnly 1 sale in the last 90 days.
Recent Lot sales
- May 25, 2026Fanatics$7.20
- May 18, 2026Fanatics$6.00
- May 11, 2026Fanatics$7.20
- Apr 27, 2026Fanatics$6.00
By grade
- Lot$6.604 sales
- CGC 9$14.401 sale
- CGC 7$7.201 sale
From 6 completed sales recorded between Apr 27, 2026 and Jun 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 2 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Lucario is a Rare Holo Pokémon card from Burning Shadows (#71), illustrated by nagimiso. It's a Stage 1 Fighting-type Pokémon with 120 HP, evolving from Riolu, weak to Psychic ×2. Its current blended market value is $1.05 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $33 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 31× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Recent sold prices
No recent sold listings tracked.
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 14.3% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$38); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Lucario is a Holo / V / ex in Burning Shadows — the pack's hit slot lands on Holo / V / ex 27.9% of the time, split across 28 holo / v / ex cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 101 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $33.00 | $70 | −$38 | 31.4× |
| PSA 9 | $25.00 | $70 | −$46 | 23.8× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 77 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 14.3% | $33.00 |
| PSA 9 | 59.7% | $25.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 26% | $1.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 14% of 77 PSA-graded Lucario copies are a gem-mint 10 (11 of 77) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Lucario 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 11 | $33$33–$33 | |
| PSA 9pop 46 | $25$21–$29 | |
| PSA 7pop 9 | $9$8–$10 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
31% spreadCurrently 31% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#6 on the radarLucario is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “My girlfriend and I broke up” · 2537↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Riolu.
When you play this Pokémon from your hand to evolve 1 of your Pokémon during your turn, you may prevent all effects of your opponent's attacks, including damage, done to this Pokémon until the end of your opponent's next turn.
“Not only does it perceive auras, but it has also gained the power to control them. It employs them in battle.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Lucario cards
There are 9 different Lucario printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Burning Shadows #71 (Rare Holo).
More from Burning Shadows
Frequently asked questions
How much is Lucario (Burning Shadows #71) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Lucario from Burning Shadows is worth approximately $1.05 ungraded (near-mint), and around $33 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Lucario?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Lucario from Burning Shadows is worth around $33 — roughly 31× the raw ungraded value of $1.05.
Should I grade my Lucario?
A PSA 10 sells for about $33 versus $1.05 raw — roughly a 31× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Lucario rare?
Lucario is a Rare Holo card from Burning Shadows (card #71), illustrated by nagimiso. Its current blended market value is $1.05 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Lucario (Burning Shadows #71) — Pokémon market value $1.05, PSA 10 $33.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/burning-shadows/lucario-71<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm3-71" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Lucario price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>