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Check your printing8 different Mudsdale printings exist — is this your card? Burning Shadows #78
Mudsdale Burning Shadows #78 Pokémon card
Rare

Mudsdale

Burning Shadows · 78/147 · Illustrated by TOKIYA
130 HPFightingPokémonStage 1

Market value · ungraded

$0.26 7.1% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Range$0$0
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$0.26

Grade it or not

NOT WORTH IT

Based on 0 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)Reverse Holo price

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

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Mudsdale is a Rare Pokémon card from Burning Shadows (#78), illustrated by TOKIYA. It's a Stage 1 Fighting-type Pokémon with 130 HP, evolving from Mudbray, weak to Grass ×2. Its current blended market value is $0.26 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $33 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 126× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202320 Aug 2026
Latest
$0.26
Period high
$1.62
Period low
$0.25
Change
80.5%
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Recent sold prices

No recent sold listings tracked.

Should you grade it?

$67

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 0% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case $38); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)0%
Expected return$67
PSA 10 best case$38
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Mudsdale is a Rare in Burning Shadows — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 25 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 42 packs.

Rare59.7%25 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)66.7%2 of 3
PSA 90%0 of 3
PSA graded so far3
Gem Mint 102
Total graded3

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$32.68$70$38125.7×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 40 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 100%$33.00
PSA 925%$13.00
PSA ≤875%$0.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 67% of 3 PSA-graded Mudsdale copies are a gem-mint 10 (2 of 3) — the rest grade lower.

PSA3 gradedPSA 10 · 2 · 67% gem
102
81
CGC40 gradedCGC 10 · 0 · 0% gem
9.55
910
8.55
85

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Mudsdale 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$0.26
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 2$33$33$33
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Reverse Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$0.26
LPLightly Played$0.19
MPModerately Played$0.14
7-dayflat
30-day 31.4%
90-day 48.4%
All-time high$0
All-time low$0
Other printingsNormal · $0.28
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

46% spread
TCGplayer · cheapest$0
PriceCharting · dearest$0

Currently 46% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFalling -7%
Cross-marketMarkets disagree 46% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Mudbray.

Kick Away60
Colorless · Colorless · Colorless

Your opponent switches their Active Pokémon with 1 of their Benched Pokémon.

Vigorous Dash130
Fighting · Colorless · Colorless · Colorless

This Pokémon does 30 damage to itself. This attack does 30 damage to 1 of your opponent's Benched Pokémon. (Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for Benched Pokémon.)

Weakness Grass ×2Retreat 3

It spits a mud that provides resistance to both wind and rain, so the walls of old houses were often coated with it.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Draft Horse PokémonGEN VIIMudbrayMudsdale

It spits a mud that provides resistance to both wind and rain, so the walls of old houses were often coated with it.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#78
RarityRare
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesStage 1
TypeFighting
HP130
Evolves fromMudbray
WeaknessGrass ×2
Retreat cost3
National Pokédex#750
Card IDsm3-78
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Mudsdale cards

There are 8 different Mudsdale printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Burning Shadows #78 (Rare).

More from Burning Shadows

Frequently asked questions

How much is Mudsdale (Burning Shadows #78) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Mudsdale from Burning Shadows is worth approximately $0.26 ungraded (near-mint), and around $33 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Mudsdale?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Mudsdale from Burning Shadows is worth around $33 — roughly 126× the raw ungraded value of $0.26.

Should I grade my Mudsdale?

A PSA 10 sells for about $33 versus $0.26 raw — roughly a 126× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Mudsdale rare?

Mudsdale is a Rare card from Burning Shadows (card #78), illustrated by TOKIYA. Its current blended market value is $0.26 ungraded.

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Citation
Mudsdale (Burning Shadows #78) — Pokémon market value $0.26, PSA 10 $32.68. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/burning-shadows/mudsdale-78
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<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm3-78" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Mudsdale price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>