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Check your printing9 different Pikachu printings exist — is this your card? Burning Shadows #40
Pikachu Burning Shadows #40 Pokémon card
Common

Pikachu

Burning Shadows · 40/147 · Illustrated by Saya Tsuruta
60 HPLightningPokémonBasic

Market value · ungraded

$1.02 10.9% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Range$1$2
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$1.02

What this price is based on

Medium confidence

4 sales in 90 days — enough for a guide, not a guarantee.

Median · Lot$7.207 sales
Trimmed mean$7.50outliers removed
Range$6.00$14.40lowest to highest sale
Sales rate2.3/mo14 recorded

Recent Lot sales

By grade

  • Lot$7.207 sales
  • CGC 9$19.002 sales
  • CGC 8.5$12.002 sales
  • CGC 0.5$9.502 sales
  • CGC 8$10.801 sale

From 14 completed sales recorded between Feb 23, 2026 and Jul 27, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

NOT WORTH IT

Based on 7 graded sales and 4,409,903 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)Reverse Holo price

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Pikachu is a Common Pokémon card from Burning Shadows (#40), illustrated by Saya Tsuruta. It's a Basic Lightning-type Pokémon with 60 HP, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $1.02 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $34 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 33× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202320 Aug 2026
Latest
$1.02
Period high
$2.32
Period low
$0.92
Change
32.9%
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Recent sold prices

No recent sold listings tracked.

Should you grade it?

$50

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 25% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case $37); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)25%
Expected return$50
PSA 10 best case$37
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Pikachu is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.

PSA 10 (gem mint)25%86 of 344
PSA 943.3%149 of 344
PSA graded so far344
Gem Mint 1086
Total graded344

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$33.85$70$3833.2×
PSA 9$28.00$70$4327.5×
PSA 8$16.20$70$5515.9×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 344 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1025%$34.00
PSA 943.3%$28.00
PSA ≤831.7%$1.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 25% of 344 PSA-graded Pikachu copies are a gem-mint 10 (86 of 344) — the rest grade lower.

PSA344 gradedPSA 10 · 86 · 25% gem
1086
9149
862
7.51
722
617
54
41
CGC1,925 gradedCGC 10 · 135 · 7% gem
10135
9.535
9650
8.5670
8190

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Pikachu 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$1.02
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 86$34$18$34
PSA 9pop 149$28$24$32
PSA 8pop 62$16$9$20
PSA 7pop 22$16$9$16
PSA 6pop 17$11$11$12
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Reverse Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$1.02
LPLightly Played$0.27
MPModerately Played$0.15
7-day 1.2%
30-day 37.7%
90-day 260.5%
All-time high$1
All-time low$0
Other printingsNormal · $0.98
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

62% spread
TCGplayer · cheapest$1
PriceCharting · dearest$2

Currently 62% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dRising +11%
Cross-marketMarkets disagree 62% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🔥 Trending in the community

#1 on the radar
Mentions this week32

Pikachu is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →

What people are saying: My girlfriend and I broke up · 2537↑

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Tail Whap10
Colorless
Thunder Shock20
Lightning · Colorless

Flip a coin. If heads, your opponent's Active Pokémon is now Paralyzed.

Weakness Fighting ×2Resistance Metal -20Retreat 1

A plan was recently announced to gather many Pikachu and make an electric power plant.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Mouse PokémonGEN IPichuPikachuRaichu

When several of these POKéMON gather, their electricity could build and cause lightning storms.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#40
RarityCommon
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesBasic
TypeLightning
HP60
WeaknessFighting ×2
ResistanceMetal -20
Retreat cost1
National Pokédex#25
Card IDsm3-40
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Pikachu cards

There are 9 different Pikachu printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Burning Shadows #40 (Common).

More from Burning Shadows

Frequently asked questions

How much is Pikachu (Burning Shadows #40) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Pikachu from Burning Shadows is worth approximately $1.02 ungraded (near-mint), and around $34 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Pikachu?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Pikachu from Burning Shadows is worth around $34 — roughly 33× the raw ungraded value of $1.02.

Should I grade my Pikachu?

A PSA 10 sells for about $34 versus $1.02 raw — roughly a 33× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Pikachu rare?

Pikachu is a Common card from Burning Shadows (card #40), illustrated by Saya Tsuruta. Its current blended market value is $1.02 ungraded.

Cite & embed this card

Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Pikachu (Burning Shadows #40) — Pokémon market value $1.02, PSA 10 $33.85. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/burning-shadows/pikachu-40
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<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm3-40" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Pikachu price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>