Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence19 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — POKEMON Water Energy (Secret) #124/111 Holo SM - Crimson Invasion LPLP$11.99
- Jul 28, 2026eBay — Water Energy (Secret) 124/111 Sm-Crimson Invasion Holo$13.78
- Jul 21, 2026eBay — SM - Crimson Invasion #124/111 Water Energy (Secret)$12.50
- Jul 16, 2026eBay — Water Energy (Secret) 124/111 Sm-Crimson Invasion Holo$12.00
- Jul 13, 2026eBay — Water Energy 124/111 SEC Crimson Invasion Pokemon Holo LPLP$12.99
- Jul 12, 2026eBay — SM - Crimson Invasion #124/111 Water Energy (Secret)$12.50
- Jul 6, 2026eBay — Water Energy (Secret) 124/111 Sm-Crimson Invasion Holo$11.25
- Jul 3, 2026eBay — Water Energy (Secret) 124/111 Sm-Crimson Invasion Holo$9.99
By grade
- Raw$11.2525 sales
- PSA 10$59.252 sales
- CGC 8.5$14.852 sales
- CGC 9$9.601 sale
- CGC 7$6.001 sale
From 31 completed sales recorded between Mar 30, 2026 and Aug 11, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 6 graded sales and 4,410,018 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Water Energy is a Rare Secret Pokémon card from Crimson Invasion (#124). It's a Basic Energy card. Its current blended market value is $18.76 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $58 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 3× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $17.99 | #126936953 ✓ |
| 31 May 2026 | PSA 10 | $53.70 | #44483685 ✓ |
| 23 May 2026 | PSA 10 | $61.86 | #100247971 ✓ |
| 18 May 2026 | PSA 10 | $64.80 | #48202375 ✓ |
| 20 Apr 2026 | PSA 9 | $6.50 | #56747770 ✓ |
| 15 Apr 2026 | PSA 10 | $52.00 | #56587432 ✓ |
| 8 Feb 2026 | PSA 10 | $80.00 | #54991014 ✓ |
| 10 Jan 2026 | PSA 9 | $29.99 | #56953930 ✓ |
| 10 Jan 2026 | PSA 10 | $58.00 | #50347365 ✓ |
| 16 Dec 2025 | PSA 9 | $18.00 | #59302612 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 36.9% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$31); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Water Energy is a Secret / Rainbow in Crimson Invasion — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 13 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 523 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $58.00 | $71 | −$31 | 3.1× |
| PSA 9 | $18.00 | $70 | −$71 | 1.0× |
| PSA 8 | $14.34 | $70 | −$75 | 0.8× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 458 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 36.9% | $58.00 |
| PSA 9 | 46.5% | $18.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 16.6% | $19.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 37% of 458 PSA-graded Water Energy copies are a gem-mint 10 (169 of 458) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Water Energy 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 169 | $58$49–$67 | |
| PSA 8pop 54 | $14$6–$15 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
21% spreadCurrently 21% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
18% cheaper than the USCard detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Water Energy cards
There are 9 different Water Energy printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Crimson Invasion #124 (Rare Secret).
More from Crimson Invasion
Frequently asked questions
How much is Water Energy (Crimson Invasion #124) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Water Energy from Crimson Invasion is worth approximately $18.76 ungraded (near-mint), and around $58 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Water Energy?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Water Energy from Crimson Invasion is worth around $58 — roughly 3× the raw ungraded value of $18.76.
Should I grade my Water Energy?
A PSA 10 sells for about $58 versus $18.76 raw — roughly a 3× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Water Energy rare?
Water Energy is a Rare Secret card from Crimson Invasion (card #124). Its current blended market value is $18.76 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Water Energy (Crimson Invasion #124) — Pokémon market value $18.76, PSA 10 $58.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/crimson-invasion/water-energy-124<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm4-124" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Water Energy price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>