Poliwag23/108 · Evolutions Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint · Normal
- PSA 8$82 sold · 90d · modelled · pop 30
- PSA 9$111 sold · 90d · modelled · pop 38
- PSA 10$65modelled · pop 16
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for Evolutions #23/108, 2016. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
Everything except the illustration window is foiled — the mirror image of a normal holo, where only the picture shines.
No foil anywhere — the non-holo printing.
What's your copy worth?
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Poliwag is a Common Pokémon card from Evolutions (#23, released 2016), illustrated by Ken Sugimori. It's a Basic Water-type Pokémon with 60 HP, weak to Grass ×2. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 7 September 2026.
Poliwag price history & recent sales
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
High confidence29 sales in 90 days, closely clustered. · Very liquid — Sells often
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
By grade
- Raw$1.6033 sales · 29 in 90d, sells often
- PSA 8$10.502 sales · 2 in 90d, rare
- PSA 7$9.002 sales · 2 in 90d, rare
- PSA 9$16.001 sale · 1 in 90d, rare
- PSA 6$12.501 sale · 1 in 90d, rare
- PSA 10$65.001 sale
- CGC 9$2.251 sale
- CGC 8.5$2.001 sale
Is Poliwag worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 9 — worth $11 against the $70 you put in, a $59 loss. The money is in the 1 in 2 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $11–$65. Averaged over every outcome that is −$53 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Poliwag is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $65.00 | $71 | −$6 | 295.5× |
| PSA 9 | $11.06 | $70 | −$59 | 50.3× |
| PSA 8 | $7.52 | $70 | −$63 | 34.2× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 99 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 16.2% | $65.00 |
| PSA 9 — typical | 37.4% | $11.06 |
| PSA 8 | 28.3% | $7.52 |
| PSA 7 | 8.1% | $5.00 † |
| PSA 6 | 3% | $7.00 |
| PSA 5 | 4% | $2.00 |
| PSA 2 | 1% | $0.22 |
| Other (half grades, authentic) | 2% | $0.22 |
† Priced from PriceCharting's graded ladder — we hold no completed sale of our own at that grade. Every other row is our own sold data.
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
16 of the 103 PSA-graded Poliwag copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 16%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 103.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 319.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 7.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 5.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Poliwag 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Poliwag - 23/108 - Common (Near Mint) XY Evolutions - Water PokémonRaw · eBay$0.99
Pokemon TCG XY - Evolutions Poliwag 23/108Raw · eBay$0.99
Poliwag 23/108 Common Evolutions Pokemon Near MintRaw · eBay$0.99
Poliwag - 23/108 - Common (Lp) XY Evolutions - Water PokémonRaw · eBay$0.99
Poliwag - 23/108 - Common (Hp) XY Evolutions - Water PokémonRaw · eBay$0.99
Poliwag 23/108 - LP - XY Evolutions Pokemon Card $2 Combined ShippingRaw · eBay$0.99Cheapest raw copy $0.99 — 350% above our near-mint estimate of $0
Buying this card on eBay? The free CardTrack extension shows our value and a deal verdict right on the listing. Add to Chrome →
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 16 | modelled$65$65–$65 | |
| PSA 9pop 38 | modelled$11$5–$23 | |
| PSA 8pop 30 | modelled$8$8–$8 | |
| PSA 6pop 4 | modelled$7$7–$7 | |
| PSA 5pop 4 | modelled$2$2–$2 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately
Price by variant
TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
82% spreadCurrently 82% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
“Its slick black skin is thin and damp. A part of its internal organs can be seen through the skin as a spiral pattern.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Poliwag cards
There are 17 different Poliwag printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Evolutions #23 (Common). The most valuable 7 are below.
More from Evolutions
Frequently asked questions
How much is Poliwag (Evolutions #23) worth?
As of 7 September 2026, Poliwag from Evolutions is worth approximately $0.22 ungraded (near-mint), and around $65 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Poliwag?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Poliwag from Evolutions is worth around $65 — roughly 295× the raw ungraded value of $0.22.
Should I grade my Poliwag?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Poliwag rare?
Poliwag is a Common card from Evolutions (card #23).
How do I know if my Poliwag is Reverse Holo?
The card body, not the picture: Everything except the illustration window is foiled — the mirror image of a normal holo, where only the picture shines.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Poliwag (Evolutions #23) — Pokémon market value $0.22, PSA 10 $65.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/evolutions/poliwag-23<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xy12-23" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Poliwag price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>