What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence73 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
What each version actually sells for
Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — POLIWAG 125/165 COMMON EXPEDITION BASE SET MP POKEMONMP$13.31
- Aug 13, 2026eBay — Poliwag - 125/165 Expedition Base Set Regular 2002 - Pokemon - LPLP$12.00
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Poliwag 125/165 Expedition Base Set 2002 Regular Common - LPLP$11.50
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Pokémon—Poliwag 125/165 Expedition Base Set Regular$11.00
- Aug 6, 2026eBay — Pokémon—Poliwag 125/165 Expedition Base Set Regular$15.00
- Aug 6, 2026eBay — Pokemon Card - Poliwag Expedition Base Set 125/165 Common$19.99
- Aug 3, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Poliwag 125/165 Expedition Base Set 2002 Regular English Vintage$9.99
- Aug 2, 2026eBay — Pokémon—Poliwag 125/165 Expedition Base Set Regular$15.00
By grade
- Raw$13.3177 sales
- CGC 9$13.804 sales
- CGC 10$25.203 sales
- PSA 10$5912 sales
- PSA 9$47.001 sale
- Lot$15.601 sale
- CGC 9.5$1261 sale
From 89 completed sales recorded between Feb 17, 2025 and Aug 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 11 graded sales and 1,889,841 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Poliwag is a Common Pokémon card from Expedition Base Set (#125), illustrated by Yuka Morii. It's a Basic Water-type Pokémon with 50 HP, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $20.22 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $79 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 4× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Recent sold prices
No recent sold listings tracked.
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 43.4% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$12); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Poliwag is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $78.50 | $71 | −$13 | 3.9× |
| PSA 9 | $24.68 | $70 | −$66 | 1.2× |
| PSA 8 | $13.29 | $70 | −$77 | 0.7× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 76 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 43.4% | $79.00 |
| PSA 9 | 32.9% | $25.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 23.7% | $20.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 43% of 76 PSA-graded Poliwag copies are a gem-mint 10 (33 of 76) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Poliwag 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 33 | $79$67–$90 | |
| PSA 9pop 25 | $25$21–$28 | |
| PSA 8pop 13 | $13$11–$15 | |
| PSA 7pop 1 | $11$9–$13 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately
Price by variant
TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
21% spreadCurrently 21% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Poliwag cards
There are 9 different Poliwag printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Expedition Base Set #125 (Common).
More from Expedition Base Set
Frequently asked questions
How much is Poliwag (Expedition Base Set #125) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Poliwag from Expedition Base Set is worth approximately $20.22 ungraded (near-mint), and around $79 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Poliwag?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Poliwag from Expedition Base Set is worth around $79 — roughly 4× the raw ungraded value of $20.22.
Should I grade my Poliwag?
A PSA 10 sells for about $79 versus $20.22 raw — roughly a 4× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Poliwag rare?
Poliwag is a Common card from Expedition Base Set (card #125), illustrated by Yuka Morii. Its current blended market value is $20.22 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Poliwag (Expedition Base Set #125) — Pokémon market value $20.22, PSA 10 $78.50. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/expedition-base-set/poliwag-125<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=ecard1-125" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Poliwag price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>