Poliwag125/165 · Expedition Base Set Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint · Normal
Typical copy sold $14 61 sales, all conditions
- PSA 8$13modelled · pop 14
- PSA 9$251 sold · 90d · modelled · pop 28
- PSA 10$79pop 33
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence61 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Sep 1, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Poliwag 125/165 Expedition Base Set 2002 English$16.00
- Sep 1, 2026eBay — Pokemon Expedition Base Set Poliwag 125/165 2002 Regular Common$19.99
- Aug 30, 2026eBay — Pokemon Poliwag 125/165 Expedition Base Set Regular Common Basic e-Card English$19.99
- Aug 28, 2026eBay — Poliwag 125/165 Common Expedition Base Set Pokemon LPLP$19.99
- Aug 25, 2026eBay — Poliwag 125/165 Common Expedition Base Set Pokemon Lightly PlayedLP$16.99
- Aug 25, 2026eBay — Poliwag | 125/165 | Expedition Base Set | Common | Normal | LPLP$19.00
- Aug 24, 2026eBay — Poliwag - 125/165 Expedition Base Set Regular 2002 - Pokemon - LPLP$12.95
- Aug 23, 2026eBay — Vintage POLIWAG Common Card Pokémon Expedition Set by WOTC #125/165$15.50
By grade
- Raw$13.7382 sales
- CGC 9$13.804 sales
- PSA 10$1073 sales
- CGC 10$25.203 sales
- PSA 9$48.272 sales
- SGC 10$39.001 sale
- Lot$15.601 sale
- CGC 9.5$29.991 sale
From 97 completed sales recorded between Oct 21, 2025 and Sep 1, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 14 graded sales and 1,889,841 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Poliwag is a Common Pokémon card from Expedition Base Set (#125, released 2002), illustrated by Yuka Morii. It's a Basic Water-type Pokémon with 50 HP, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $18.87 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $79 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 4× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 5 September 2026.
Poliwag price history & recent sales
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history71 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
Demand & liquidity
Last sold $16 · Raw · 1 Sep 2026
How often each grade sells · last 90 days, all marketplaces
Is Poliwag worth grading?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 43.4% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$11); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Poliwag is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $78.50 | $71 | −$11 | 4.2× |
| PSA 9 | $24.68 | $70 | −$64 | 1.3× |
| PSA 8 | $13.29 | $70 | −$76 | 0.7× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 76 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 43.4% | $79.00 |
| PSA 9 | 32.9% | $25.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 23.7% | $14.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
Only 41% of 80 PSA-graded Poliwag copies are a gem-mint 10 (33 of 80) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Poliwag 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Pokemon TCG Poliwag 125/165 Expedition Base Set Regular Common 50 HP EN 2002Raw · eBay$12.00
Poliwag 125/165 Expedition Base Set RegularRaw · eBay$14.00
Pokemon TCG Poliwag Card Vintage Expedition Base Set, 125/165, Regular CardRaw · eBay$14.00
Poliwag 125/165 Expedition Base Set 2002 Regular Common - LPRaw · eBay$15.00
Poliwag 125/165Raw · eBay$16.00
Pokémon Poliwag Expedition e-Reader Common Regular 125/165 50 HP Pokémon TCGRaw · eBay$16.14Cheapest raw copy $12.00 — 36% below our estimate of $19
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 33 | $79$67–$90 | |
| PSA 9pop 281 · 90d | modelled$25$21–$28 | |
| PSA 8pop 14 | modelled$13$11–$15 | |
| PSA 7pop 1 | modelled$11$9–$13 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately
Price by variant
TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
23% spreadCurrently 23% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Poliwag cards
There are 9 different Poliwag printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Expedition Base Set #125 (Common).
More from Expedition Base Set
Frequently asked questions
How much is Poliwag (Expedition Base Set #125) worth?
As of 5 September 2026, Poliwag from Expedition Base Set is worth approximately $18.87 ungraded (near-mint), and around $79 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Poliwag?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Poliwag from Expedition Base Set is worth around $79 — roughly 4× the raw ungraded value of $18.87.
Should I grade my Poliwag?
A PSA 10 sells for about $79 versus $18.87 raw — roughly a 4× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Poliwag rare?
Poliwag is a Common card from Expedition Base Set (card #125), illustrated by Yuka Morii. Its current blended market value is $18.87 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Poliwag (Expedition Base Set #125) — Pokémon market value $18.87, PSA 10 $78.50. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/expedition-base-set/poliwag-125<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=ecard1-125" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Poliwag price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>