Croconaw74/165 · Expedition Base Set Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint · Normal
Pack fresh $16est.
- PSA 8$203 sold · 90d · pop 23
- PSA 9$32modelled · pop 49
- PSA 10$49modelled · pop 35
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for Expedition Base Set #74/165, 2002. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
Everything except the illustration window is foiled — the mirror image of a normal holo, where only the picture shines.
No foil anywhere — the non-holo printing.
What's your copy worth?
Estimated. This card has enough sales to price the top 15% but not the top 5%, so pack-fresh is projected from the gap we measure between those two tiers on cards that do — about 1.4x on vintage, 1.2x on modern. $16.40. That's about +73% over a typical Near Mint copy.
ⓘ How do we work this out?
We take every real sale of this exact card over the last 12 months (22 sales), sort them by price, and read off the top 15% and top 5%. No multipliers, no guesses — the prices cleaner copies actually fetched.
Why cleaner copies cost more: buyers can see condition in the photos and pay for it. Listings sellers describe as pack fresh or gem mint land in this top band 1.7× more often than ordinary ones — the premium follows the card, not the hype.
Copies in this band are also the ones collectors send to grading: far more likely than a typical binder copy to be submitted at all — and to come back with the strong grade that carries the PSA prices shown on this page. That prospect is part of what buyers are paying for here.
These are read straight off this card's own completed sales — sort them by price and take the top 15% and top 5%. Whether your copy qualifies is a judgment made by looking at the card.
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Croconaw is a Uncommon Pokémon card from Expedition Base Set (#74, released 2002), illustrated by Kagemaru Himeno. It's a Stage 1 Water-type Pokémon with 80 HP, evolving from Totodile, weak to Lightning ×2. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 15 September 2026.
Croconaw price history & recent sales
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
High confidence22 sales in 90 days, closely clustered. · Very liquid — Sells often
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
By grade
- Raw$8.9928 sales · 22 in 90d, sells regularly
- PSA 9$32.993 sales
- PSA 8$35.003 sales · 3 in 90d, occasional
- CGC 10$26.403 sales · 2 in 90d, rare
- PSA 7$16.101 sale · 1 in 90d, rare
- PSA 10$60.001 sale
- CGC 9$14.401 sale
- CGC 7$9.601 sale · 1 in 90d, rare
Is Croconaw worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 9 — worth $32 against the $79 you put in, a $47 loss. The money is in the 1 in 1 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $32–$49. Averaged over every outcome that is −$47 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Croconaw is a Uncommoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $48.51 | $70 | −$31 | 5.1× |
| PSA 9 | $32.28 | $70 | −$48 | 3.4× |
| PSA 8 | $19.83 | $70 | −$60 | 2.1× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 117 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 29.9% | $48.51 |
| PSA 9 — typical | 41.9% | $32.28 |
| PSA 8 | 17.1% | $19.83 |
| PSA 7 | 7.7% | $11.00 |
| PSA 6 | 1.7% | $9.49 |
| PSA 5 | 0.9% | $9.49 |
| Other (half grades, authentic) | 0.9% | $9.49 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
35 of the 120 PSA-graded Croconaw copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 29%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 120.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 110.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 2.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Croconaw 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Croconaw - 74/165 Expedition Base Set - Pokémon TCG - 2002Raw · eBay$3.99
Pokemon TCG Croconaw 74/165 Expedition Base Set Regular UncommonRaw · eBay$5.00
Croconaw 74/165 Expedition Base Set un-common Pokemon CardRaw · eBay$5.00
Croconaw - 74/165 Expedition Base Set - Pokémon TCG - 2002Raw · eBay$5.99
Pokemon TCG Croconaw 74/165 Expedition Uncommon EnglishRaw · eBay$6.99
Croconaw 74/165 Uncommon Expedition Base Set Pokemon Near MintRaw · eBay$7.00Cheapest raw copy $3.99 — 58% below our near-mint estimate of $9
Buying this card on eBay? The free CardTrack extension shows our value and a deal verdict right on the listing. Add to Chrome →
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 35 | modelled$49$41–$56 | |
| PSA 9pop 49 | modelled$32$27–$37 | |
| PSA 8pop 23 | $20$17–$23 | |
| PSA 7pop 10 | modelled$11$9–$13 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
A typical Near Mint copy sells for $9.49. Grading-candidate copies — the cleanest 15% of sales — typically fetch $11.72 (+23%). Pack-fresh examples — the top 5% — work out at about $16.40, estimated from the grading-candidate gap rather than counted.
From 22 sales in the last 12 months. These describe the market — whether a specific copy is a grading candidate is a judgment made by looking at it.
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately
Price by variant
TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
3% spreadCurrently 3% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Totodile.
Croconaw does 10 damage to itself.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
If it loses a fang, a new one grows back in its place. There are always 48 fangs lining its mouth.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Croconaw cards
There are 13 different Croconaw printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Expedition Base Set #74 (Uncommon). The most valuable 7 are below.
More from Expedition Base Set
Frequently asked questions
How much is Croconaw (Expedition Base Set #74) worth?
As of 15 September 2026, Croconaw from Expedition Base Set is worth approximately $9.49 ungraded (near-mint), and around $49 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Croconaw?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Croconaw from Expedition Base Set is worth around $49 — roughly 5× the raw ungraded value of $9.49.
Should I grade my Croconaw?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Croconaw rare?
Croconaw is a Uncommon card from Expedition Base Set (card #74).
How do I know if my Croconaw is Reverse Holo?
The card body, not the picture: Everything except the illustration window is foiled — the mirror image of a normal holo, where only the picture shines.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Croconaw (Expedition Base Set #74) — Pokémon market value $9.49, PSA 10 $48.51. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/expedition-base-set/croconaw-74<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=ecard1-74" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Croconaw price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>