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Check your printing9 different Ninetales printings exist — is this your card? Expedition Base Set #21
Ninetales Expedition Base Set #21 Pokémon card
Rare Holo

Ninetales

Expedition Base Set · 21/165 · Illustrated by Atsuko Nishida
80 HPFirePokémonStage 1

Market value · ungraded · Holofoil

$195.20 103.4% · 30d
Confidencemedium
Sales · 90 days4
Range$90$195
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. Fanatics + TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$195

What this price is based on

Medium confidence

18 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.

Median · Raw$85.0030 sales
Trimmed mean$113outliers removed
Range$34.69$755lowest to highest sale
Sales rate8.7/mo53 recorded

What each version actually sells for

PrintingNear MintLightly PlayedModerately Played
Common$94.00 12 sales$78.00 10 sales

Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.

Recent Raw sales

  • Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Ninetales Expedition Holo 21/165 LPLP$125
  • Jul 20, 2026eBay — NINETALES 2002 POKEMON EXPEDITION RARE HOLO #21/165 MEW 10 Q4596$755
  • Jul 14, 2026eBay — Ninetales 21/165 Expedition Holo Card Rare 2002 Pokémon TCG MP/LPMP$99.99
  • Jul 14, 2026eBay — Pokemon Card-Ninetales-21/165-Expedition- Holo VERY RARE!!!$176
  • Jul 12, 2026eBay — Ninetales 21/165 Expedition Holo Card Rare 2002 Pokémon TCG MP/LPMP$88.87
  • Jul 12, 2026eBay — Moderately Played Ninetales - 21/165 - Holo Rare Pokemon ExpeditionMP$61.09
  • Jul 5, 2026eBay — Pokemon Ninetales Holo Rare TCG Card 21/165 Expedition E-Series LPLP$39.19
  • Jun 22, 2026eBay — Ninetales Holo 21/165 Expedition Pokemon Card NMNM$120

By grade

  • Raw$85.0030 sales
  • PSA 8$2858 sales
  • PSA 9$4924 sales
  • PSA 7$2233 sales
  • PSA 10$2,9702 sales
  • PSA 6$86.401 sale
  • PSA 4$38.401 sale
  • CGC 9$72.001 sale

From 53 completed sales recorded between Jan 27, 2025 and Aug 16, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.

Grade it or not

GRADE IT

Based on 23 graded sales and 1,890,602 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Ninetales is a Rare Holo Pokémon card from Expedition Base Set (#21), illustrated by Atsuko Nishida. It's a Stage 1 Fire-type Pokémon with 80 HP, evolving from Vulpix, weak to Water ×2. Its current blended market value is $195.20 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $5,295 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 27× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

0%
Played in 0% of competitive decks — 1 of 3,174 decklists across the last 41 Standard tournaments.

The receipts

Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.

Price history · Raw

10 Jul 202620 Aug 2026
Latest
$195.20
Period high
$204.96
Period low
$185.44
Change
0.0%
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Verified sales history14 in 90 daysreal completed listings

Last sold price
$4,440
PSA 10 · 17 Aug 2026
Typical PSA 10
$2,490
Sales · last 90 days
4
How often it sells
Sells regularly
3 in last 30 days

Real completed sale prices from Fanatics Collect — weekly and premier auctions plus marketplace Buy It Now sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title.

DateGradePriceCert
13 Aug 2026PSA 8$330.00#127726905
5 Aug 2026PSA 7$129.99#120942621
2 Aug 2026PSA 7$168.54#142506779
27 Jul 2026PSA 4$38.40#151278136
20 Jul 2026PSA 9$500.00#55230107
15 Jul 2026PSA 9$480.00#86887040
8 Jul 2026PSA 7$222.50#158464660
4 Jul 2026PSA 10$5,400.00#28726458
20 Jun 2026PSA 8$350.00#87498438
15 Jun 2026PSA 7$223.00#107228164

Should you grade it?

+$99

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 9.6% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$4,627); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)9.6%
Expected return+$99
PSA 10 best case+$4,627
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictWorth grading

The odds

Ninetales is a Holo / V / ex in Expedition Base Set — the pack's hit slot lands on Holo / V / ex 33% of the time, split across 32 holo / v / ex cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 97 packs.

Holo / V / ex33%32 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)9.6%73 of 763
PSA 934.6%264 of 763
PSA graded so far763
Gem Mint 1073
Total graded763

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$5,294.88$473+$4,62727.1×
PSA 9$437.50$74+$1682.2×
PSA 8$263.50$73$41.3×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 763 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 109.6%$5,295.00
PSA 934.6%$438.00
PSA ≤855.8%$195.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 10% of 763 PSA-graded Ninetales copies are a gem-mint 10 (73 of 763) — the rest grade lower.

PSA763 gradedPSA 10 · 73 · 10% gem
1073
9264
8.53
8220
7103
650
527
49
35
23
14
CGC246 gradedCGC 10 · 25 · 10% gem
1025
9.511
954
8.550
826

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Ninetales 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$195.20
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 73$5,295$4,501$6,089
PSA 9pop 264$438$372$503
PSA 8pop 220$264$224$303
PSA 7pop 103✓ 12 cert-verified$180$180$256
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$195.20
LPLightly Played$177.65
MPModerately Played$122.73
HPHeavily Played$81.43
DMGDamaged$77.19
7-day
30-day
90-day 14.3%
All-time high$195
All-time low$133
Other printingsReverse Holofoil · $95.99
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost

For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $223 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.

Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately

Price by variant

Reverse Holo$96
Holofoil$92

TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.

Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Market signal

Momentum · 30dRising +103%

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🔥 Trending in the community

#49 on the radar
Mentions this week4

Ninetales is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →

What people are saying: need advice - new player · 7↑

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Vulpix.

Mislead
Fire · Colorless

Flip 2 coins. If either of them is heads, the Defending Pokémon is now Confused.

Ethereal Flame
Colorless · Colorless · Colorless

Discard all Fire Energy cards attached to Ninetales. This attack does 30 damage plus 20 more damage for each card discarded this way.

Weakness Water ×2Retreat 1
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Fox PokémonGEN IVulpixNinetales

Very smart and very vengeful. Grabbing one of its many tails could result in a 1000-year curse.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#21
RarityRare Holo
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesStage 1
TypeFire
HP80
Evolves fromVulpix
WeaknessWater ×2
Retreat cost1
National Pokédex#38
Card IDecard1-21
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Ninetales cards

There are 9 different Ninetales printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Expedition Base Set #21 (Rare Holo).

More from Expedition Base Set

Frequently asked questions

How much is Ninetales (Expedition Base Set #21) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Ninetales from Expedition Base Set is worth approximately $195.20 ungraded (near-mint), and around $5,295 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Ninetales?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Ninetales from Expedition Base Set is worth around $5,295 — roughly 27× the raw ungraded value of $195.20.

Should I grade my Ninetales?

A PSA 10 sells for about $5,295 versus $195.20 raw — roughly a 27× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Ninetales rare?

Ninetales is a Rare Holo card from Expedition Base Set (card #21), illustrated by Atsuko Nishida. Its current blended market value is $195.20 ungraded.

Cite & embed this card

Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Ninetales (Expedition Base Set #21) — Pokémon market value $195.20, PSA 10 $5294.88. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/expedition-base-set/ninetales-21
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