Ninetales199/197 · Obsidian Flames Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
Pack fresh $51
- PSA 8$3516 sold · 90d · pop 4,161
- PSA 9$5347 sold · 90d · pop 11,586
- PSA 10$36545 sold · 90d · pop 4,746
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for Obsidian Flames #199/197, 2023. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
What's your copy worth?
The top 5% of this card's sales — pack-fresh examples — sold for $54.35 or more. That's about +27% over a typical Near Mint copy.
ⓘ How do we work this out?
We take every real sale of this exact card over the last 12 months (140 sales), sort them by price, and read off the top 15% and top 5%. No multipliers, no guesses — the prices cleaner copies actually fetched.
Why cleaner copies cost more: buyers can see condition in the photos and pay for it. Listings sellers describe as pack fresh or gem mint land in this top band 1.7× more often than ordinary ones — the premium follows the card, not the hype.
Copies in this band are also the ones collectors send to grading: far more likely than a typical binder copy to be submitted at all — and to come back with the strong grade that carries the PSA prices shown on this page. That prospect is part of what buyers are paying for here.
These are read straight off this card's own completed sales — sort them by price and take the top 15% and top 5%. Whether your copy qualifies is a judgment made by looking at the card.
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Ninetales is a Illustration Rare Pokémon card from Obsidian Flames (#199, released 2023), illustrated by SIE NANAHARA. It's a Stage 1 Fire-type Pokémon with 120 HP, evolving from Vulpix, weak to Water ×2. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 10 September 2026.
Ninetales price history & recent sales
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
High confidence255 sales in 90 days, closely clustered. · Very liquid — Sells often
Sale mix: 2 auctions, 5 accepted offers, 3 fixed-price. A graded copy trades roughly every day (median gap between cert-verified sales).
By grade
- Raw$38.25256 sales · 255 in 90d, sells often
- PSA 9$50.0061 sales · 47 in 90d, sells often
- PSA 10$33860 sales · 45 in 90d, sells often
- CGC 10$93.6019 sales · 15 in 90d, sells regularly
- PSA 8$39.0018 sales · 16 in 90d, sells regularly
- CGC 9$37.6014 sales · 10 in 90d, sells regularly
- CGC 9.5$45.726 sales
- CGC 8.5$30.005 sales
Is Ninetales worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 9 — worth $53 against the $114 you put in, a $61 loss. The money is in the 1 in 1 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $53–$338. Averaged over every outcome that is −$2 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Ninetales is a Ultra Rare in Obsidian Flames — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 24 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 241 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $365.00 | $74 | +$249 | 8.5× |
| PSA 9 | $53.00 | $71 | −$60 | 1.2× |
| PSA 8 | $35.00 | $70 | −$78 | 0.8× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 20,868 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 22.4% | $338.00 |
| PSA 9 — typical | 54.2% | $53.00 |
| PSA 8 | 19% | $35.00 |
| PSA 7 | 3% | $25.38 † |
| PSA 6 | 0.8% | $19.37 |
| PSA 5 | 0.2% | $19.37 |
| PSA 4 | 0.1% | $19.37 |
| PSA 3 | 0% | $19.37 |
| Other (half grades, authentic) | 0.3% | $42.71 |
† Priced from PriceCharting's graded ladder — we hold no completed sale of our own at that grade. Every other row is our own sold data.
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
4,746 of the 21,409 PSA-graded Ninetales copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 22%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 21,409.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 762.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Ninetales 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Ninetales 199/197 Sv03: Obsidian Flames Extended Art CaseRaw · eBay$12.00
Ninetales 199/197 Obsidian Flames Pokemon Extended Artwork For PSA CGC BGS TAGRaw · eBay$25.00
Ninetales 199/197 SV03: Obsidian Flames Holo Pokemon CardRaw · eBay$33.00
Ninetales 199/197 SV03 Obsidian Flames Holo Illustration Rare EnglishRaw · eBay$33.00
Ninetales 199/197 Illustration Rare Obsidian Flames Pokemon Holo Heavily PlayedRaw · eBay$33.99
Ninetales 199/197 SV03: Obsidian Flames HoloRaw · eBay$34.99Cheapest raw copy $12.00 — 72% below our near-mint estimate of $43
Buying this card on eBay? The free CardTrack extension shows our value and a deal verdict right on the listing. Add to Chrome →
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 4,746 | $365$310–$420 | |
| PSA 9pop 11,586 | $53$45–$61 | |
| PSA 8pop 4,161 | ✓ 27 cert-verified$35$34–$47 | |
| PSA 7.5pop 4 | modelled$25$25–$25 | |
| PSA 6pop 173 | modelled$19$10–$20 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
A typical Near Mint copy sells for $40.00. Grading-candidate copies — the cleanest 15% of sales — typically fetch $45.00 (+13%). Pack-fresh examples — the top 5% — go for about $50.90.
From 52 sales in the last 12 months. These describe the market — whether a specific copy is a grading candidate is a judgment made by looking at it.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
4% spreadCurrently 4% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Vulpix.
Put 9 damage counters on 1 of your opponent's Pokémon. During your next turn, this Pokémon can't attack.
“Very smart and very vengeful. Grabbing one of its many tails could result in a 1,000-year curse.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Ninetales cards
There are 33 different Ninetales printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Obsidian Flames #199 (Illustration Rare). The most valuable 7 are below.
More from Obsidian Flames
Frequently asked questions
How much is Ninetales (Obsidian Flames #199) worth?
As of 10 September 2026, Ninetales from Obsidian Flames is worth approximately $42.71 ungraded (near-mint), and around $365 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Ninetales?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Ninetales from Obsidian Flames is worth around $365 — roughly 9× the raw ungraded value of $42.71.
Should I grade my Ninetales?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Ninetales rare?
Ninetales is a Illustration Rare card from Obsidian Flames (card #199).
How do I know if my Ninetales is Holofoil?
The illustration window: The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Ninetales (Obsidian Flames #199) — Pokémon market value $42.71, PSA 10 $365.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/obsidian-flames/ninetales-199<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv3-199" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Ninetales price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>