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Check your printing9 different Ninetales printings exist — is this your card? Obsidian Flames #199
Ninetales Obsidian Flames #199 Pokémon card
Illustration Rare

Ninetales

Obsidian Flames · 199/197 · Illustrated by SIE NANAHARA
120 HPFirePokémonStage 1

Market value · ungraded

$40.31 3.8% · 30d
Confidencemedium
Sales · 90 days11
Last sale$66 Raw · 29 Jun 2026
Range$24$40
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. eBay + TCGplayer + Cardmarket. Updated 22 August 2026. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$40.31

What this price is based on

High confidence

69 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.

Median · Raw$38.5470 sales
Trimmed mean$38.02outliers removed
Range$23.00$590lowest to highest sale
Sales rate26.5/mo162 recorded
1st Ed · Shadowless$33.001 sale, priced separately

Recent Raw sales

  • Aug 15, 2026eBay — The Pokemon Company Ninetales 199/197 SV03 Obsidian Flames FA Holo IR 120HP Eng$28.10
  • Aug 15, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Ninetales 199/197 SV03 Obsidian Flames IR Holo EN 2023$33.00
  • Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Ninetales 199/197 SV03 Obsidian Flames Illus Rare Holo 120$29.99
  • Aug 14, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Ninetales 199/197 SV03 Obsidian Flames Holo Illus Rare 120 HP Eng$45.00
  • Aug 14, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Ninetales SV03 Obsidian Flames Illus Rare Holo EN 199/197$29.00
  • Aug 14, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Ninetales 199/197 SV03 Obsidian Flames IR Holo ENG 120HP$39.99
  • Aug 13, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Ninetales 199/197 SV Scarlet & Violet Obsidian Flames Holo Rare - NMNM$35.00
  • Aug 13, 2026eBay — Pokemon Co Ninetales 199/197 SV03 Obsidian Flames IR Holo Stage 1 ENG$40.00

By grade

  • Raw$38.5470 sales
  • PSA 9$46.0025 sales
  • PSA 10$32523 sales
  • CGC 9$37.6012 sales
  • CGC 10$74.4010 sales
  • PSA 8$34.664 sales
  • CGC 9.5$40.804 sales
  • CGC 8.5$28.504 sales

From 162 completed sales recorded between Oct 27, 2025 and Aug 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The median above is computed over the 69 sales of the printing this page lists; 1st Edition and Shadowless copies are real sales of a different card and are shown separately rather than mixed in. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.

Grade it or not

GRADE IT

Based on 88 graded sales and 5,131,641 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)PSA 10 price pagePSA 9 price page

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Ninetales is a Illustration Rare Pokémon card from Obsidian Flames (#199), illustrated by SIE NANAHARA. It's a Stage 1 Fire-type Pokémon with 120 HP, evolving from Vulpix, weak to Water ×2. Its current blended market value is $40.31 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $380 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 9× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 22 August 2026.

0%
Played in 0% of competitive decks — 1 of 3,174 decklists across the last 41 Standard tournaments.

The receipts

Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.

Price history · Raw

24 May 202622 Aug 2026
Latest
$40.31
Period high
$51.98
Period low
$38.56
Change
22.1%
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Verified sales history21 in 90 daysreal completed listings

Last sold
$50
Raw · 29 Jun 2026
Typical Raw
$58
Sales · last 90 days
11
How often it sells
Rarely sells
daily · 0 in last 30 days

Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.

DateGradePriceCert
15 Aug 2026PSA 10$340.00#106997423
14 Aug 2026PSA 9$49.00#145894141
13 Aug 2026PSA 10$358.00#97527414
13 Aug 2026PSA 9$70.91#128391998
12 Aug 2026PSA 9$64.99#103254495
12 Aug 2026PSA 9$45.00#114129149
11 Aug 2026PSA 10$369.99#123230497
11 Aug 2026PSA 10$362.00#109362056
11 Aug 2026PSA 9$92.27#120179135
11 Aug 2026PSA 9$46.01#82811496

Demand & liquidity

Thin · Rarely sellsDemand 31/100
Sales · 30d0
Sales · 90d11
Price momentum+4%
Hype🔥 Heating
PSA 9
$46
Raw
$58
RawNM
$58

Last sold $60 · PSA 9 · 29 Jun 2026

Should you grade it?

+$9

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 22.4% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$266); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)22.4%
Expected return+$9
PSA 10 best case+$266
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictWorth grading

The odds

Ninetales is a Ultra Rare in Obsidian Flames — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 24 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 241 packs.

Ultra Rare10%24 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)22.4%4,684 of 20,868
PSA 954.2%11,301 of 20,868
PSA graded so far20,868
Gem Mint 104,684
Total graded20,868

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$380.00$74+$2669.4×
PSA 9$53.00$71$581.3×
PSA 8$35.00$70$760.9×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 20,868 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1022.4%$380.00
PSA 954.2%$53.00
PSA ≤823.4%$40.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 22% of 20,868 PSA-graded Ninetales copies are a gem-mint 10 (4,684 of 20,868) — the rest grade lower.

PSA20,868 gradedPSA 10 · 4,684 · 22% gem
104,684
911,301
8.554
83,956
7.54
7626
6167
543
424
35
CGC3,782 gradedCGC 10 · 1,078 · 29% gem
101,078
9.5478
91,420
8.5532
8156

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Ninetales 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.

All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$41.00
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 4,684$380$323$437
PSA 9pop 11,301$53$45$61
PSA 8pop 3,956✓ 19 cert-verified$35$35$52
PSA 7.5pop 4$25$25$25
PSA 6pop 167$19$10$20
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$40.31
LPLightly Played$35.13
MPModerately Played$25.40
HPHeavily Played$18.96
DMGDamaged$16.30
7-day 3.0%
30-day 6.4%
90-day 47.4%
All-time high$44
All-time low$12
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost

For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $32 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.

Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

67% spread
Cardmarket · cheapest$24
PriceCharting$37
TCGplayer · dearest$40

Currently 67% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dRising +4%
Volatility · 90dModerate ±9%
Cross-marketMarkets disagree 67% gap
90d low $39near its low$52 high

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe

40% cheaper than the US
Cardmarket · Europe's largest card market$24

🔥 Trending in the community

#100 on the radar
Mentions this week2

Ninetales is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →

What people are saying: [US, US] [H] Discounted Slabs and Sealed [W] Paypal, Wishlist Trades · 7↑

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Vulpix.

Will-O-Wisp20
Fire
Nine-Tailed Dance
Fire · Fire

Put 9 damage counters on 1 of your opponent's Pokémon. During your next turn, this Pokémon can't attack.

Weakness Water ×2Retreat 1

Very smart and very vengeful. Grabbing one of its many tails could result in a 1,000-year curse.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Fox PokémonGEN IVulpixNinetales

Very smart and very vengeful. Grabbing one of its many tails could result in a 1000-year curse.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#199
RarityIllustration Rare
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesStage 1
TypeFire
HP120
Evolves fromVulpix
WeaknessWater ×2
Retreat cost1
National Pokédex#38
Card IDsv3-199
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Ninetales cards

There are 9 different Ninetales printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Obsidian Flames #199 (Illustration Rare).

More from Obsidian Flames

Frequently asked questions

How much is Ninetales (Obsidian Flames #199) worth?

As of 22 August 2026, Ninetales from Obsidian Flames is worth approximately $40.31 ungraded (near-mint), and around $380 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Ninetales?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Ninetales from Obsidian Flames is worth around $380 — roughly 9× the raw ungraded value of $40.31.

Should I grade my Ninetales?

A PSA 10 sells for about $380 versus $40.31 raw — roughly a 9× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Ninetales rare?

Ninetales is a Illustration Rare card from Obsidian Flames (card #199), illustrated by SIE NANAHARA. Its current blended market value is $40.31 ungraded.

Cite & embed this card

Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Ninetales (Obsidian Flames #199) — Pokémon market value $40.31, PSA 10 $380.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/obsidian-flames/ninetales-199
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