Lugia BREAK
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence240 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
What each version actually sells for
Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Lugia BREAK 79/124 BREAK Rare Fates Collide Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$17.00
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Lugia BREAK 79/124 LP-NM Rare BREAK XY - Fates Collide Pokemon 2016 ShipnowLP$55.00
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Lugia BREAK 79/124 BREAK Rare Fates Collide Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$34.49
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Lugia BREAK 79/124 XY Fates Collide Holo 2016 Pokemon$29.99
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Pokémon Lugia BREAK 79/124 Fates Collide Rare Holo Break Card 150 HP 2016$20.99
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG: Lugia BREAK Rare Holo 79/124 Fates Collide 2016 English$27.00
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Fates Collide Ultra Rare Holo Card Lugia Break 79/124 LPLP$15.99
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — The Pokemon Company Pokemon TCG Lugia BREAK 79/124 Holo Rare 150 HP 2016$29.99
By grade
- Raw$19.99241 sales
- PSA 9$89.9921 sales
- PSA 10$76812 sales
- PSA 8$55.008 sales
- CGC 9.5$1572 sales
- CGC 9$47.002 sales
- CGC 8$33.752 sales
- BGS 9$55.002 sales
From 298 completed sales recorded between Jan 4, 2026 and Aug 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 54 graded sales and 1,307,527 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Lugia BREAK is a Rare BREAK Pokémon card from Fates Collide (#79), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a BREAK Colorless-type Pokémon with 150 HP, evolving from Lugia. Its current blended market value is $24.24 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $690 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 28× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 21 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history22 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
Demand & liquidity
Last sold $12 · Raw · 25 Jul 2026
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 29.8% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$579); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Lugia BREAK is a Rare in Fates Collide — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 25 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 42 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $690.00 | $87 | +$579 | 28.5× |
| PSA 9 | $76.00 | $71 | −$19 | 3.1× |
| PSA 8 | $55.00 | $71 | −$40 | 2.3× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 1,670 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 29.8% | $690.00 |
| PSA 9 | 35.8% | $76.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 34.4% | $24.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 30% of 1,670 PSA-graded Lugia BREAK copies are a gem-mint 10 (497 of 1,670) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Lugia BREAK 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 497 | ✓ 47 cert-verified$690$510–$690 | |
| PSA 9pop 598 | $76$65–$87 | |
| PSA 8pop 332 | ✓ 18 cert-verified$55$38–$55 | |
| PSA 7pop 131 | ✓ 5 cert-verified$33$23–$33 | |
| PSA 6pop 60 | $14$14–$25 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
56% spreadCurrently 56% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#8 on the radarLugia is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Traded for a grail today at a card show!” · 116↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Lugia.
Discard 2 Energy attached to this Pokémon.
BREAK Evolution Rule: Lugia BREAK retains the attacks, Abilities, Weakness, Resistance, and Retreat Cost of its previous Evolution.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
It is said that it quietly spends its time deep at the bottom of the sea because its powers are too strong.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
More from Fates Collide
Frequently asked questions
How much is Lugia BREAK (Fates Collide #79) worth?
As of 21 August 2026, Lugia BREAK from Fates Collide is worth approximately $24.24 ungraded (near-mint), and around $690 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Lugia BREAK?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Lugia BREAK from Fates Collide is worth around $690 — roughly 28× the raw ungraded value of $24.24.
Should I grade my Lugia BREAK?
A PSA 10 sells for about $690 versus $24.24 raw — roughly a 28× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Lugia BREAK rare?
Lugia BREAK is a Rare BREAK card from Fates Collide (card #79), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. Its current blended market value is $24.24 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Lugia BREAK (Fates Collide #79) — Pokémon market value $24.24, PSA 10 $690.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/fates-collide/lugia-break-79<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xy10-79" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Lugia BREAK price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>