Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Low confidenceOnly 0 sales in the last 90 days.
Recent CGC 10 sales
By grade
- CGC 10$12.003 sales
- CGC 9.6$9.001 sale
- CGC 9.5$7.201 sale
From 5 completed sales recorded between Oct 27, 2025 and May 12, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 5 graded sales and 4,409,806 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Dark Patch is a Rare Secret Pokémon card from Lost Origin (#216), illustrated by Ryo Ueda. It's a Item Trainer card. Its current blended market value is $2.43 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $30 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 12× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Recent sold prices
No recent sold listings tracked.
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 42.1% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$43); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Dark Patch is a Secret / Rainbow in Lost Origin — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 27 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 1,085 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $29.99 | $70 | −$43 | 12.3× |
| PSA 9 | $13.40 | $70 | −$59 | 5.5× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 247 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 42.1% | $30.00 |
| PSA 9 | 38.5% | $13.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 19.4% | $2.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 42% of 247 PSA-graded Dark Patch copies are a gem-mint 10 (104 of 247) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Dark Patch 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 104 | $30$25–$34 | |
| PSA 9pop 95 | $13$11–$15 | |
| PSA 7pop 7 | $8$8–$8 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
51% spreadCurrently 51% cheaper on TCGplayer than Cardmarket. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Attach a basic Darkness Energy card from your discard pile to 1 of your Benched Darkness Pokémon.
You may play any number of Item cards during your turn.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Dark Patch cards
There are 3 different Dark Patch printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Origin #216 (Rare Secret).
More from Lost Origin
Frequently asked questions
How much is Dark Patch (Lost Origin #216) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Dark Patch from Lost Origin is worth approximately $2.43 ungraded (near-mint), and around $30 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Dark Patch?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Dark Patch from Lost Origin is worth around $30 — roughly 12× the raw ungraded value of $2.43.
Should I grade my Dark Patch?
A PSA 10 sells for about $30 versus $2.43 raw — roughly a 12× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Dark Patch rare?
Dark Patch is a Rare Secret card from Lost Origin (card #216), illustrated by Ryo Ueda. Its current blended market value is $2.43 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Dark Patch (Lost Origin #216) — Pokémon market value $2.43, PSA 10 $29.99. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-origin/dark-patch-216<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=swsh11-216" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Dark Patch price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>