Arboliva104/91 · Paldean Fates Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
- PSA 9$181 sold · 90d · pop 23
- PSA 10$851 sold · 90d · pop 22
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for Paldean Fates #104/91, 2024. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
What's your copy worth?
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Arboliva is a Shiny Rare Pokémon card from Paldean Fates (#104, released 2024), illustrated by Hideki Ishikawa. It's a Stage 2 Grass-type Pokémon with 150 HP, evolving from Dolliv, weak to Fire ×2. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 14 September 2026.
Arboliva price history & recent sales
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
Medium confidence17 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely. · Very liquid — Sells often
5 of 10 verified sales were competitive auctions — this price reflects real bidding, not asking prices. A graded copy trades roughly every 34 days (median gap between cert-verified sales).
By grade
- Raw$2.9917 sales · 17 in 90d, sells regularly
- CGC 10$10.805 sales · 2 in 90d, rare
- PSA 10$61.994 sales · 1 in 90d, rare
- PSA 9$18.993 sales · 1 in 90d, rare
Is Arboliva worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 9 — worth $18 against the $73 you put in, a $55 loss. The money is in the 1 in 1 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $18–$62. Averaged over every outcome that is −$36 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Arboliva is a Rare in Paldean Fates — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 136 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 228 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $85.49 | $71 | +$12 | 28.0× |
| PSA 9 | $18.00 | $70 | −$55 | 5.9× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 48 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 45.8% | $62.00 |
| PSA 9 — typical | 45.8% | $18.00 |
| PSA 8 | 6.3% | $3.05 |
| PSA 7 | 2.1% | $3.05 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
22 of the 51 PSA-graded Arboliva copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 43%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 51.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 69.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 4.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Arboliva 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Arboliva #104/091 SV: Paldean FatesRaw · eBay$1.50
Pokemon TCG Scarlet & Violet Paldean Fates Arboliva Shiny Holo 104/091Raw · eBay$1.99
ARBOLIVA 104/091 SHINY RARE PALDEAN FATES POKEMON NEAR MINT ships fast Raw · eBay$2.25
The Pokémon Company Arboliva SV: Paldean Fates 104/091 Shiny Rare Holo ENRaw · eBay$2.47
Arboliva 104/091 SV: Paldean Fates Shiny HoloRaw · eBay$2.49
Arboliva 104/091 Sv: Paldean Fates HoloRaw · eBay$2.50Cheapest raw copy $1.50 — 51% below our near-mint estimate of $3
Buying this card on eBay? The free CardTrack extension shows our value and a deal verdict right on the listing. Add to Chrome →
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 22 | $85$73–$98 | |
| PSA 9pop 23 | ✓ 6 cert-verified$18$10–$18 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
9% spreadCurrently 9% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#202 on the radarArboliva is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Partner would like a new deck - I have ideas but what do you all think?” · 5↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Dolliv.
When you play this Pokémon from your hand to evolve 1 of your Pokémon during your turn, you may heal all damage from 1 of your Pokémon.
“This calm Pokémon is very compassionate. It will share its delicious, nutrient-rich oil with weakened Pokémon.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Arboliva cards
There are 3 different Arboliva printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Paldean Fates #104 (Shiny Rare).
More from Paldean Fates
Frequently asked questions
How much is Arboliva (Paldean Fates #104) worth?
As of 14 September 2026, Arboliva from Paldean Fates is worth approximately $3.05 ungraded (near-mint), and around $85 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Arboliva?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Arboliva from Paldean Fates is worth around $85 — roughly 28× the raw ungraded value of $3.05.
Should I grade my Arboliva?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Arboliva rare?
Arboliva is a Shiny Rare card from Paldean Fates (card #104).
How do I know if my Arboliva is Holofoil?
The illustration window: The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Arboliva (Paldean Fates #104) — Pokémon market value $3.05, PSA 10 $85.49. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/paldean-fates/arboliva-104<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv4pt5-104" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Arboliva price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>