Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Low confidenceOnly 1 sale in the last 90 days.
Recent PSA 9 sales
- Jul 13, 2026Fanatics$18.00
By grade
- PSA 9$18.001 sale
- CGC 10$10.801 sale
From 2 completed sales recorded between Mar 9, 2026 and Jul 13, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 2 graded sales and 5,110,777 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Arboliva is a Shiny Rare Pokémon card from Paldean Fates (#104), illustrated by Hideki Ishikawa. It's a Stage 2 Grass-type Pokémon with 150 HP, evolving from Dolliv, weak to Fire ×2. Its current blended market value is $2.60 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $81 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 31× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $80.99 | #99810853 ✓ |
| 13 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $18.00 | #162022130 ✓ |
| 1 Apr 2026 | PSA 9 | $8.50 | #120430655 ✓ |
| 19 Mar 2026 | PSA 10 | $89.99 | #95102377 ✓ |
| 14 Dec 2025 | PSA 9 | $18.99 | #87329376 ✓ |
| 9 Dec 2025 | PSA 9 | $39.99 | #98974924 ✓ |
| 3 Dec 2025 | PSA 9 | $39.99 | #98974925 ✓ |
| 23 Oct 2025 | PSA 9 | $9.99 | #102872885 ✓ |
| 27 Jul 2025 | PSA 10 | $31.70 | #115318319 ✓ |
| 10 Jul 2025 | PSA 10 | $42.99 | #112286255 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 45.8% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$8); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Arboliva is a Rare in Paldean Fates — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 136 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 228 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $81.00 | $71 | +$8 | 31.2× |
| PSA 9 | $18.00 | $70 | −$55 | 6.9× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 48 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 45.8% | $81.00 |
| PSA 9 | 45.8% | $18.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 8.3% | $3.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 46% of 48 PSA-graded Arboliva copies are a gem-mint 10 (22 of 48) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Arboliva 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 22 | ✓ 5 cert-verified$81$25–$81 | |
| PSA 9pop 22 | ✓ 6 cert-verified$18$10–$18 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
6% spreadCurrently 6% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#144 on the radarArboliva is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Worlds Of Doom (909 Player Online Tournament) Metagame Analysis” · 82↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Dolliv.
When you play this Pokémon from your hand to evolve 1 of your Pokémon during your turn, you may heal all damage from 1 of your Pokémon.
“This calm Pokémon is very compassionate. It will share its delicious, nutrient-rich oil with weakened Pokémon.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Arboliva cards
There are 3 different Arboliva printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Paldean Fates #104 (Shiny Rare).
More from Paldean Fates
Frequently asked questions
How much is Arboliva (Paldean Fates #104) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Arboliva from Paldean Fates is worth approximately $2.60 ungraded (near-mint), and around $81 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Arboliva?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Arboliva from Paldean Fates is worth around $81 — roughly 31× the raw ungraded value of $2.60.
Should I grade my Arboliva?
A PSA 10 sells for about $81 versus $2.60 raw — roughly a 31× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Arboliva rare?
Arboliva is a Shiny Rare card from Paldean Fates (card #104), illustrated by Hideki Ishikawa. Its current blended market value is $2.60 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Arboliva (Paldean Fates #104) — Pokémon market value $2.60, PSA 10 $81.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/paldean-fates/arboliva-104<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv4pt5-104" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Arboliva price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>