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Check your printing9 different Noibat printings exist — is this your card? Paldean Fates #194
Noibat Paldean Fates #194 Pokémon card
Shiny Rare

Noibat

Paldean Fates · 194/91 · Illustrated by Nelnal
70 HPDragonPokémonBasic

Market value · ungraded

$5.17 1.3% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Range$5$5
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. 2 sources agree within 7%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$5.17

What this price is based on

Low confidence

Only 0 sales in the last 90 days.

Median · CGC 10$16.803 sales
Trimmed meanoutliers removed
Range$12.00$35.00lowest to highest sale
Sales rate1/mo6 recorded

Recent CGC 10 sales

By grade

  • CGC 10$16.803 sales
  • PSA 10$42.002 sales
  • CGC 9.5$9.601 sale

From 6 completed sales recorded between Mar 9, 2026 and Jun 21, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

NOT WORTH IT

Based on 6 graded sales and 5,110,777 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)PSA 10 price page

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Noibat is a Shiny Rare Pokémon card from Paldean Fates (#194), illustrated by Nelnal. It's a Basic Dragon-type Pokémon with 70 HP. Its current blended market value is $5.17 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $60 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 12× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202520 Aug 2026
Latest
$5.17
Period high
$5.47
Period low
$3.30
Change
5.5%
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Verified sales history10 in 90 daysreal completed listings

DateGradePriceCert
9 Aug 2026PSA 9$30.00#88792221
18 Jul 2026PSA 8$12.40#161681178
9 Jul 2026PSA 9$20.51#154980249
4 Jul 2026PSA 10$140.00#103728794
22 Jun 2026PSA 9$17.49#145272483
21 Jun 2026PSA 10$60.00#118502080
30 Mar 2026PSA 10$24.00#118502080
25 Mar 2026PSA 9$15.00#140351017
17 Mar 2026PSA 9$19.99#116812455
14 Mar 2026PSA 10$74.00#136878754

Should you grade it?

$35

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 54.4% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case $16); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)54.4%
Expected return$35
PSA 10 best case$16
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Noibat is a Rare in Paldean Fates — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 136 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 228 packs.

Rare59.7%136 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)54.4%43 of 79
PSA 939.2%31 of 79
PSA graded so far79
Gem Mint 1043
Total graded79

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$60.00$71$1611.6×
PSA 9$19.99$70$553.9×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 79 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1054.4%$60.00
PSA 939.2%$20.00
PSA ≤86.3%$5.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 54% of 79 PSA-graded Noibat copies are a gem-mint 10 (43 of 79) — the rest grade lower.

PSA79 gradedPSA 10 · 43 · 54% gem
1043
931
85
CGC114 gradedCGC 10 · 56 · 49% gem
1056
9.514
928
8.58
86

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Noibat 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$4.98
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 43✓ 11 cert-verified$60$31$60
PSA 9pop 31$20$17$23
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$5.17
LPLightly Played$4.12
MPModerately Played$4.12
HPHeavily Played$2.80
DMGDamaged$2.59
7-day 5.5%
30-day 1.4%
90-day 15.0%
All-time high$6
All-time low$3
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

7% spread
PriceCharting · cheapest$5
TCGplayer · dearest$5

Currently 7% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFlat -1%
Cross-marketMarkets agree 7% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Gust40
Psychic · Darkness
Retreat 1

This Pokémon emits ultrasonic waves from its large ears to search for fruit to eat. It mistakes Applin for its food.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Sound Wave PokémonGEN VINoibatNoivern

They live in pitch-black caves. Their enormous ears can emit ultrasonic waves of 200,000 hertz.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#194
RarityShiny Rare
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesBasic
TypeDragon
HP70
Retreat cost1
National Pokédex#714
Card IDsv4pt5-194
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Noibat cards

There are 9 different Noibat printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Paldean Fates #194 (Shiny Rare).

More from Paldean Fates

Frequently asked questions

How much is Noibat (Paldean Fates #194) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Noibat from Paldean Fates is worth approximately $5.17 ungraded (near-mint), and around $60 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Noibat?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Noibat from Paldean Fates is worth around $60 — roughly 12× the raw ungraded value of $5.17.

Should I grade my Noibat?

A PSA 10 sells for about $60 versus $5.17 raw — roughly a 12× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Noibat rare?

Noibat is a Shiny Rare card from Paldean Fates (card #194), illustrated by Nelnal. Its current blended market value is $5.17 ungraded.

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Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Noibat (Paldean Fates #194) — Pokémon market value $5.17, PSA 10 $60.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/paldean-fates/noibat-194
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