Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Low confidenceOnly 1 sale in the last 90 days.
Recent PSA 9 sales
- Jun 8, 2026Fanatics$20.40
By grade
- PSA 9$20.401 sale
- CGC 10$56.401 sale
From 2 completed sales recorded between Mar 23, 2026 and Jun 8, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 2 graded sales and 5,111,133 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Riolu is a Shiny Rare Pokémon card from Paldean Fates (#173), illustrated by sowsow. It's a Basic Fighting-type Pokémon with 70 HP, weak to Psychic ×2. Its current blended market value is $14.82 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $123 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 8× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $122.50 | #88143382 ✓ |
| 18 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $28.00 | #161681150 ✓ |
| 15 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $141.40 | #91161800 ✓ |
| 13 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $122.50 | #86844667 ✓ |
| 23 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $25.00 | #108689892 ✓ |
| 22 Jun 2026 | PSA 8 | $16.01 | #146317054 ✓ |
| 15 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $250.00 | #111111475 ✓ |
| 15 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $27.00 | #103115343 ✓ |
| 8 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $20.40 | #152256495 ✓ |
| 28 May 2026 | PSA 10 | $200.00 | #89557323 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 49.4% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$37); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Riolu is a Rare in Paldean Fates — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 136 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 228 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $123.00 | $71 | +$37 | 8.3× |
| PSA 9 | $25.00 | $70 | −$60 | 1.7× |
| PSA 8 | $16.01 | $70 | −$69 | 1.1× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 356 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 49.4% | $123.00 |
| PSA 9 | 40.4% | $25.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 10.1% | $15.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 49% of 356 PSA-graded Riolu copies are a gem-mint 10 (176 of 356) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Riolu 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 176 | ✓ 38 cert-verified$123$116–$158 | |
| PSA 9pop 144 | ✓ 21 cert-verified$25$22–$30 | |
| PSA 8pop 34 | $16$14–$18 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
4% spreadCurrently 4% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#116 on the radarRiolu is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Thoughts on my Mega Lucario ex/Hariyama deck?” · 7↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
This Pokémon also does 20 damage to itself.
“They communicate with one another using their auras. They are able to run all through the night.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Riolu cards
There are 9 different Riolu printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Paldean Fates #173 (Shiny Rare).
More from Paldean Fates
Frequently asked questions
How much is Riolu (Paldean Fates #173) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Riolu from Paldean Fates is worth approximately $14.82 ungraded (near-mint), and around $123 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Riolu?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Riolu from Paldean Fates is worth around $123 — roughly 8× the raw ungraded value of $14.82.
Should I grade my Riolu?
A PSA 10 sells for about $123 versus $14.82 raw — roughly a 8× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Riolu rare?
Riolu is a Shiny Rare card from Paldean Fates (card #173), illustrated by sowsow. Its current blended market value is $14.82 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Riolu (Paldean Fates #173) — Pokémon market value $14.82, PSA 10 $123.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/paldean-fates/riolu-173<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv4pt5-173" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Riolu price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>