Roaring Moon ex
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence53 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — [NM] ROARING MOON EX PARADOX RIFT 251/182 HOLO POKEMON TCGNM$37.99
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — 2023 Pokemon SV Paradox Rift Roaring Moon ex #251/182$36.00
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Pokemon Cards Roaring Moon ex 251/182 Holo Paradox Rift NM *1NM$47.19
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Roaring Moon ex 251/182 SV04 Paradox Rift Holo Eng 230HP$40.00
- Aug 10, 2026eBay — Roaring Moon ex (#251/182) - Holofoil SV - Paradox Rift NM PokemonNM$43.07
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Roaring Moon ex PAR 251/182 Pokémon SV04: Paradox Rift Special Illustration R...$49.44
- Aug 8, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Roaring Moon ex 251/182 SV04 Paradox Rift SIR Holo English$40.00
- Aug 8, 2026eBay — The Pokemon Company Roaring Moon ex 251/182 Paradox Rift SIR Holo English 230HP$35.00
By grade
- Raw$41.0054 sales
- PSA 10$20043 sales
- PSA 9$42.9025 sales
- CGC 9$37.808 sales
- CGC 10$88.308 sales
- PSA 8$34.803 sales
- CGC 8.5$32.403 sales
- ACE 10$1233 sales
From 152 completed sales recorded between Dec 23, 2024 and Aug 16, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 98 graded sales and 5,122,335 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Roaring Moon ex is a Special Illustration Rare Pokémon card from Paradox Rift (#251), illustrated by Ryota Murayama. It's a Basic ex Ancient Darkness-type Pokémon with 230 HP, weak to Grass ×2. Its current blended market value is $39.20 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $200 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 5× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $45.00 | #138466883 ✓ |
| 15 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $42.00 | #102792931 ✓ |
| 15 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $172.50 | #88237148 ✓ |
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $49.50 | #109719876 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $46.99 | #159733808 ✓ |
| 12 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $45.99 | #159733810 ✓ |
| 12 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $167.50 | #138686497 ✓ |
| 12 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $174.00 | #88237169 ✓ |
| 9 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $174.53 | #99601547 ✓ |
| 8 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $190.00 | #108758797 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 33.3% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$89); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Roaring Moon ex is a Secret / Rainbow in Paradox Rift — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 22 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 884 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $200.00 | $72 | +$89 | 5.1× |
| PSA 9 | $44.99 | $70 | −$65 | 1.1× |
| PSA 8 | $33.99 | $70 | −$76 | 0.9× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 11,559 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 33.3% | $200.00 |
| PSA 9 | 52.9% | $45.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 13.7% | $39.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 33% of 11,559 PSA-graded Roaring Moon ex copies are a gem-mint 10 (3,852 of 11,559) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Roaring Moon ex 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Roaring Moon ex 251/182 SV04: Paradox Rift HoloRaw · eBay$37.50
Pokemon TCG Roaring Moon ex SV04 Paradox Rift 251/182 SIR Full Art Holo ENRaw · eBay$40.00
Roaring Moon EX 251/182: Paradox Rift Special IllustrationRaw · eBay$40.00
Roaring Moon EX 251/182SV04: Paradox Rift Holo Special Illustration Rare NMRaw · eBay$40.98
Roaring Moon ex PAR 251/182 Pokémon SV04: Paradox Rift Special Illustration R...Raw · eBay$50.33Cheapest raw copy $37.50 — 4% below our estimate of $39
Pokemon TCG Roaring Moon ex 251/182 SV04 Paradox Rift SIR Holo PSA 10 EN 2023PSA 10 · eBay$195.00
2023 POKEMON PAR EN-PARADOX RIFT #251 ROARING MOON EX PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$195.00
2023 POKEMON PAR EN-PARADOX RIFT #251 ROARING MOON EX PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$199.99
2023 POKEMON PAR EN-PARADOX RIFT #251 ROARING MOON EX PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$199.99
2023 Pokemon Scarlet And Violet Paradox Rift Roaring Moon EX #251 PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$205.00
2023 Pokemon Scarlet & Violet Paradox Rift SIR Roaring Moon ex #251 PSA 10 GEM MINTPSA 10 · auction · Fanatics$24.00Cheapest PSA 10 $195.00 — in line with our estimate of $200
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 3,852 | $200$170–$230 | |
| PSA 9pop 6,118 | $45$38–$52 | |
| PSA 8pop 1,332 | $34$29–$39 | |
| PSA 6pop 50 | $25$25–$37 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $43 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
40% spreadCurrently 40% cheaper on TCGplayer than Cardmarket. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Knock Out your opponent's Active Pokémon. If your opponent's Active Pokémon is Knocked Out in this way, this Pokémon does 200 damage to itself.
You may discard a Stadium in play. If you do, this attack does 120 more damage.
Pokémon ex rule: When your Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Roaring Moon ex cards
There are 6 different Roaring Moon ex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Paradox Rift #251 (Special Illustration Rare).
More from Paradox Rift
Frequently asked questions
How much is Roaring Moon ex (Paradox Rift #251) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Roaring Moon ex from Paradox Rift is worth approximately $39.20 ungraded (near-mint), and around $200 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Roaring Moon ex?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Roaring Moon ex from Paradox Rift is worth around $200 — roughly 5× the raw ungraded value of $39.20.
Should I grade my Roaring Moon ex?
A PSA 10 sells for about $200 versus $39.20 raw — roughly a 5× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Roaring Moon ex rare?
Roaring Moon ex is a Special Illustration Rare card from Paradox Rift (card #251), illustrated by Ryota Murayama. Its current blended market value is $39.20 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Roaring Moon ex (Paradox Rift #251) — Pokémon market value $39.20, PSA 10 $200.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/paradox-rift/roaring-moon-ex-251<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv4-251" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Roaring Moon ex price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>