Lucario78/135 · Plasma Storm Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint · Holofoil
Typical copy sold $7 25 sales, all conditionsPack fresh $13est.
- PSA 8$15pop 22
- PSA 9$402 sold · 90d · modelled · pop 41
- PSA 10$45pop 10
What's your copy worth?
Estimated. This card has enough sales to price the top 15% but not the top 5%, so pack-fresh is projected from the gap we measure between those two tiers on cards that do — about 1.4x on vintage, 1.2x on modern. $12.68. That's about +43% over a typical Near Mint copy.
ⓘ How do we work this out?
We take every real sale of this exact card over the last 12 months (4 sales), sort them by price, and read off the top 15% and top 5%. No multipliers, no guesses — the prices cleaner copies actually fetched.
Why cleaner copies cost more: buyers can see condition in the photos and pay for it. Listings sellers describe as pack fresh or gem mint land in this top band 1.7× more often than ordinary ones — the premium follows the card, not the hype.
Copies in this band are also the ones collectors send to grading: far more likely than a typical binder copy to be submitted at all — and to come back with the strong grade that carries the PSA prices shown on this page. That prospect is part of what buyers are paying for here.
These are read straight off this card's own completed sales — sort them by price and take the top 15% and top 5%. Whether your copy qualifies is a judgment made by looking at the card.
What this price is based on
Medium confidence25 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — 2012 Pokemon Lucario 78/135 Plasma Storm Holo Rare$7.00
- Aug 13, 2026eBay — Lucario 78/135 Plasma Storm Holo Rare Pokemon MPMP$3.60
- Aug 6, 2026eBay — 1x Lucario - 78/135 - Holo Rare Lightly Played Pokemon BW - Plasma StormLP$8.16
- Jul 28, 2026eBay — Lucario 78/135 Holo Rare Plasma Storm Pokemon Lightly PlayedLP$8.95
- Jul 27, 2026eBay — LUCARIO Holo 78/135 RARE Plasma Storm Pokemon$17.71
- Jul 25, 2026eBay — POKEMON LUCARIO 78/135 HOLO RARE PLASMA STORM MP-LPMP$9.99
- Jul 24, 2026eBay — Lucario 78/135 Holo Rare Plasma Storm Pokemon LPLP$9.49
- Jul 23, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Lucario B&W Plasma Storm 78/135 - Excellent LPLP$5.00
By grade
- Raw$7.0033 sales
- PSA 9$50.004 sales
- PSA 8$14.503 sales
- PSA 10$9292 sales
- TAG 9$15.501 sale
- PSA 7$16.501 sale
- CGC 9$39.991 sale
- CGC 8.5$29.991 sale
From 46 completed sales recorded between Jul 13, 2025 and Aug 16, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 13 graded sales and 1,305,862 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Lucario is a Rare Holo Pokémon card from Plasma Storm (#78, released 2013), illustrated by Satoshi Shirai. It's a Stage 1 Fighting-type Pokémon with 100 HP, evolving from Riolu, weak to Psychic ×2. Its current blended market value is $8.86 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $45 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 5× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 4 September 2026.
Lucario price history & recent sales
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history28 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
Demand & liquidity
Last sold $7 · Raw · 16 Aug 2026
How often each grade sells · last 90 days, all marketplaces
Is Lucario worth grading?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 11.5% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$35); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Lucario is a Holo / V / ex in Plasma Storm — the pack's hit slot lands on Holo / V / ex 27.9% of the time, split across 18 holo / v / ex cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 65 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $44.70 | $70 | −$35 | 5.0× |
| PSA 9 | $39.99 | $70 | −$39 | 4.5× |
| PSA 8 | $14.50 | $70 | −$65 | 1.6× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 87 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 11.5% | $45.00 |
| PSA 9 | 46% | $40.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 42.5% | $13.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
Only 11% of 89 PSA-graded Lucario copies are a gem-mint 10 (10 of 89) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Lucario 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 10 | 4 sold$45$38–$51 | |
| PSA 9pop 412 · 90d | modelled$40$34–$46 | |
| PSA 8pop 22 | $15$12–$17 | |
| PSA 7pop 9 | modelled$13$11–$15 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
A typical Near Mint copy sells for $5.69. Grading-candidate copies — the cleanest 15% of sales — typically fetch $9.39 (+65%). Pack-fresh examples — the top 5% — go for about $12.68.
From 4 sales in the last 12 months. These describe the market — whether a specific copy is a grading candidate is a judgment made by looking at it.
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately
Price by variant
TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
24% spreadCurrently 24% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#12 on the radarLucario is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Mega Lucario results at worlds” · 46↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Riolu.
If this Pokémon has any Metal Energy attached to it, this Pokémon's type is both Fighting and Metal.
Does 30 more damage for each Prize card your opponent has taken.
“By reading the auras of all things, it can tell how others are feeling from over half a mile away.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Lucario cards
There are 9 different Lucario printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Plasma Storm #78 (Rare Holo).
More from Plasma Storm
Frequently asked questions
How much is Lucario (Plasma Storm #78) worth?
As of 4 September 2026, Lucario from Plasma Storm is worth approximately $8.86 ungraded (near-mint), and around $45 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Lucario?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Lucario from Plasma Storm is worth around $45 — roughly 5× the raw ungraded value of $8.86.
Should I grade my Lucario?
A PSA 10 sells for about $45 versus $8.86 raw — roughly a 5× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Lucario rare?
Lucario is a Rare Holo card from Plasma Storm (card #78), illustrated by Satoshi Shirai. Its current blended market value is $8.86 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Lucario (Plasma Storm #78) — Pokémon market value $8.86, PSA 10 $44.70. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/plasma-storm/lucario-78<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=bw8-78" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Lucario price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>