Toxel
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Low confidenceOnly 1 sale in the last 90 days.
Recent CGC 8.5 sales
- Jun 8, 2026Fanatics$9.60
By grade
- CGC 8.5$9.601 sale
- CGC 8$9.601 sale
- CGC 10$15.601 sale
From 3 completed sales recorded between Jun 8, 2026 and Jul 27, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 3 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Toxel is a Rare Shiny Pokémon card from Shining Fates Shiny Vault (#SV041), illustrated by Kouki Saitou. It's a Basic Lightning-type Pokémon with 70 HP, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $4.80 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $27 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 6× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $109.00 | #154353098 ✓ |
| 27 Apr 2026 | PSA 10 | $28.00 | #60733589 ✓ |
| 17 Apr 2026 | PSA 9 | $14.99 | #64298144 ✓ |
| 9 Apr 2026 | PSA 8 | $18.95 | #108307692 ✓ |
| 29 Nov 2025 | PSA 9 | $19.95 | #106483077 ✓ |
| 5 Oct 2025 | PSA 10 | $25.00 | #59917197 ✓ |
| 24 Aug 2025 | PSA 8 | $6.51 | #121345644 ✓ |
| 1 Aug 2025 | PSA 10 | $21.50 | #59917197 ✓ |
| 18 May 2025 | PSA 9 | $23.00 | #71280166 ✓ |
| 3 May 2025 | PSA 10 | $19.02 | #62652441 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 53.1% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$49); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Toxel is a Rare in Shining Fates Shiny Vault — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 66.3% of the time, split across 104 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 157 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $26.50 | $70 | −$49 | 5.5× |
| PSA 9 | $14.99 | $70 | −$60 | 3.1× |
| PSA 8 | $7.00 | $70 | −$68 | 1.5× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 113 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 53.1% | $27.00 |
| PSA 9 | 42.5% | $15.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 4.4% | $5.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 53% of 113 PSA-graded Toxel copies are a gem-mint 10 (60 of 113) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Toxel 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 60 | ✓ 6 cert-verified$27$27–$27 | |
| PSA 9pop 48 | $15$15–$15 | |
| PSA 8pop 3 | $7$7–$7 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
63% spreadCurrently 63% cheaper on Cardmarket than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
37% cheaper than the US🔥 Trending in the community
#78 on the radarToxel is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Looking to refine dark type turbo deck” · 4↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
“It stores poison in an internal poison sac and secretes that poison through its skin. If you touch this Pokémon, a tingling sensation follows.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
It stores poison in an internal poison sac and secretes that poison through its skin. If you touch this Pokémon, a tingling sensation follows.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Toxel cards
There are 9 different Toxel printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Shining Fates Shiny Vault #SV041 (Rare Shiny).
More from Shining Fates Shiny Vault
Frequently asked questions
How much is Toxel (Shining Fates Shiny Vault #SV041) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Toxel from Shining Fates Shiny Vault is worth approximately $4.80 ungraded (near-mint), and around $27 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Toxel?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Toxel from Shining Fates Shiny Vault is worth around $27 — roughly 6× the raw ungraded value of $4.80.
Should I grade my Toxel?
A PSA 10 sells for about $27 versus $4.80 raw — roughly a 6× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Toxel rare?
Toxel is a Rare Shiny card from Shining Fates Shiny Vault (card #SV041), illustrated by Kouki Saitou. Its current blended market value is $4.80 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Toxel (Shining Fates Shiny Vault #SV041) — Pokémon market value $4.80, PSA 10 $26.50. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/shining-fates-shiny-vault/toxel-sv041<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=swsh45sv-SV041" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Toxel price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>