Cinderace
Market value · ungraded
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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Cinderace is a Rare Shiny Pokémon card from Shining Fates Shiny Vault (#SV017), illustrated by Hitoshi Ariga. It's a Stage 2 Fire-type Pokémon with 170 HP, evolving from Raboot, weak to Water ×2. Its current blended market value is $6.40 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $101 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 16× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $101.00 | #59462286 ✓ |
| 20 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $18.00 | #162223578 ✓ |
| 6 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $14.99 | #154500605 ✓ |
| 3 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $26.00 | #75376080 ✓ |
| 25 Mar 2026 | PSA 8 | $11.50 | #146199169 ✓ |
| 20 Mar 2026 | PSA 10 | $69.95 | #61741530 ✓ |
| 1 Mar 2026 | PSA 10 | $95.00 | #59212300 ✓ |
| 17 Feb 2026 | PSA 10 | $35.00 | #60929373 ✓ |
| 30 Nov 2025 | PSA 9 | $24.99 | #103353815 ✓ |
| 5 Jun 2025 | PSA 10 | $20.00 | #59717318 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 52.8% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$24); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Cinderace is a Rare in Shining Fates Shiny Vault — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 66.3% of the time, split across 104 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 157 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $101.00 | $71 | +$24 | 15.8× |
| PSA 9 | $25.17 | $70 | −$51 | 3.9× |
| PSA 8 | $11.50 | $70 | −$65 | 1.8× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 161 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 52.8% | $101.00 |
| PSA 9 | 37.9% | $25.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 9.3% | $6.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 53% of 161 PSA-graded Cinderace copies are a gem-mint 10 (85 of 161) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Cinderace 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 85 | ✓ 9 cert-verified$101$30–$101 | |
| PSA 9pop 61 | $25$25–$50 | |
| PSA 8pop 12 | $12$12–$12 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
24% spreadCurrently 24% cheaper on Cardmarket than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
17% cheaper than the USCard textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Raboot.
Once during your turn, when this Pokémon moves from your Bench to the Active Spot, you may attach up to 2 Fire Energy cards from your discard pile to it.
Discard 2 Energy from this Pokémon.
“It's skilled at both offense and defense, and it gets pumped up when cheered on. But if it starts showboating, it could put itself in a tough spot.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Cinderace cards
There are 8 different Cinderace printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Shining Fates Shiny Vault #SV017 (Rare Shiny).
More from Shining Fates Shiny Vault
Frequently asked questions
How much is Cinderace (Shining Fates Shiny Vault #SV017) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Cinderace from Shining Fates Shiny Vault is worth approximately $6.40 ungraded (near-mint), and around $101 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Cinderace?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Cinderace from Shining Fates Shiny Vault is worth around $101 — roughly 16× the raw ungraded value of $6.40.
Should I grade my Cinderace?
A PSA 10 sells for about $101 versus $6.40 raw — roughly a 16× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Cinderace rare?
Cinderace is a Rare Shiny card from Shining Fates Shiny Vault (card #SV017), illustrated by Hitoshi Ariga. Its current blended market value is $6.40 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Cinderace (Shining Fates Shiny Vault #SV017) — Pokémon market value $6.40, PSA 10 $101.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/shining-fates-shiny-vault/cinderace-sv017<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=swsh45sv-SV017" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Cinderace price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>