Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence6 sales in 90 days — enough for a guide, not a guarantee.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — 2017 Pokemon Sun & Moon Ultra Ball #161/149$7.50
- Jun 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon Ultra Ball Secret 161/149 Sun And Moon$19.99
- Jun 14, 2026eBay — Pokemon Ultra Ball Secret 161/149 Sun And Moon READ/LOOK AT PICTURES$14.99
- Jun 10, 2026eBay — ULTRA BALL TRAINER HOLO POKEMON CARD TCG SUN & MOON 161/149 ITEM SECRET HPHP$12.99
- Jun 3, 2026eBay — 2017 Pokemon SM Ultra Ball #161/149$29.00
- May 26, 2026eBay — ULTRA BALL TRAINER HOLO POKEMON CARD TCG SUN & MOON 161/149 ITEM SECRET$26.90
- Aug 2, 2025eBay — Pokémon Trainer Ultra Ball Collectable TCG Card Holo 161/149 Sun & Moon$40.47
By grade
- Raw$19.997 sales
- PSA 10$93.346 sales
- PSA 9$34.991 sale
- Lot$21.601 sale
- CGC 7.5$28.001 sale
- CGC 7$16.801 sale
From 17 completed sales recorded between Aug 2, 2025 and Aug 12, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 9 graded sales and 4,410,351 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Ultra Ball is a Rare Secret Pokémon card from Sun & Moon (#161), illustrated by Ryo Ueda. It's a Item Trainer card. Its current blended market value is $33.05 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $138 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 4× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $158.00 | #68926551 ✓ |
| 4 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $163.50 | #130779320 ✓ |
| 2 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $78.68 | #56582553 ✓ |
| 8 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $137.50 | #149573107 ✓ |
| 30 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $140.00 | #154674472 ✓ |
| 29 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $30.00 | #54007387 ✓ |
| 24 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $22.50 | #83356903 ✓ |
| 24 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $20.50 | #83356904 ✓ |
| 1 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $108.00 | #27688213 ✓ |
| 1 Jun 2026 | PSA 7 | $37.96 | #63405596 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 25% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$34); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Ultra Ball is a Secret / Rainbow in Sun & Moon — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 14 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 563 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $138.00 | $71 | +$34 | 4.2× |
| PSA 9 | $27.00 | $70 | −$76 | 0.8× |
| PSA 8 | $20.00 | $70 | −$83 | 0.6× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 803 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 25% | $138.00 |
| PSA 9 | 50.3% | $27.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 24.7% | $33.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 25% of 803 PSA-graded Ultra Ball copies are a gem-mint 10 (201 of 803) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Ultra Ball 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
2017 Pokemon ULTRA BALL Sun & Moon SECRET RARE Gold FULL ART Holo Card 161/149Raw · eBay$10.00
Pokémon TCG Ultra Ball Sun & Moon 161/149 Holo Secret Rare CardRaw · eBay$24.50
2017 Pokemon Sun And Moon Gold Card Ultra Ball Secret Rare 161/149Raw · eBay$30.00
Ultra Ball 161/149 Sun & Moon Rare Secret LPRaw · eBay$32.18
2017 Pokemon ULTRA BALL Sun & Moon SECRET RARE Gold FULL ART Holo Card 161/149Raw · eBay$39.99Cheapest raw copy $10.00 — 70% below our estimate of $33
2017 Sun And Moon Gold Ultra Ball #161 Secret PSA 10!PSA 10 · eBay$175.00
2017 POKEMON SUN & MOON ULTRA BALL #161 SECRET RARE PSA 10 GEM MINT #28805756PSA 10 · eBay$399.90Cheapest PSA 10 $175.00 — 27% above our estimate of $138
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 201 | ✓ 27 cert-verified$138$108–$154 | |
| PSA 8pop 141 | ✓ 6 cert-verified$20$16–$30 | |
| PSA 7pop 19 | $11$11–$11 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $29 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
38% spreadCurrently 38% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
22% cheaper than the USCard textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Discard 2 cards from your hand. If you do, search your deck for a Pokémon, reveal it, and put it into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck.
You may play as many Item cards as you like during your turn (before your attack).
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Ultra Ball cards
There are 9 different Ultra Ball printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Sun & Moon #161 (Rare Secret).
More from Sun & Moon
Frequently asked questions
How much is Ultra Ball (Sun & Moon #161) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Ultra Ball from Sun & Moon is worth approximately $33.05 ungraded (near-mint), and around $138 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Ultra Ball?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Ultra Ball from Sun & Moon is worth around $138 — roughly 4× the raw ungraded value of $33.05.
Should I grade my Ultra Ball?
A PSA 10 sells for about $138 versus $33.05 raw — roughly a 4× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Ultra Ball rare?
Ultra Ball is a Rare Secret card from Sun & Moon (card #161), illustrated by Ryo Ueda. Its current blended market value is $33.05 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Ultra Ball (Sun & Moon #161) — Pokémon market value $33.05, PSA 10 $138.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/sun-moon/ultra-ball-161<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm1-161" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Ultra Ball price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>