What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Low confidenceOnly 1 sale in the last 90 days.
Recent CGC 9 sales
By grade
- CGC 9$20.802 sales
- CGC 10$14.001 sale
From 3 completed sales recorded between May 6, 2026 and Jun 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 3 graded sales and 5,110,777 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Chien-Pao is a Rare Pokémon card from Surging Sparks (#56), illustrated by Yuya Oka. It's a Basic Water-type Pokémon with 120 HP, weak to Metal ×2. Its current blended market value is $0.25 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $61 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 245× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history8 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2026 | PSA 7 | $7.50 | #155952468 ✓ |
| 20 May 2026 | PSA 9 | $14.00 | #145221735 ✓ |
| 5 May 2026 | PSA 10 | $61.21 | #148153135 ✓ |
| 15 Feb 2026 | PSA 9 | $12.50 | #142308861 ✓ |
| 18 Dec 2025 | PSA 9 | $10.50 | #117552774 ✓ |
| 8 Dec 2025 | PSA 9 | $19.76 | #134538625 ✓ |
| 8 Dec 2025 | PSA 10 | $44.99 | #112700309 ✓ |
| 25 Mar 2025 | PSA 9 | $15.50 | #102754151 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 44.2% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$10); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Chien-Pao is a Rare in Surging Sparks — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 24 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 40 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $61.21 | $71 | −$10 | 244.8× |
| PSA 9 | $13.25 | $70 | −$57 | 53.0× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 208 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 44.2% | $61.00 |
| PSA 9 | 30.8% | $13.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 25% | $0.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 44% of 208 CGC-graded Chien-Pao copies are a gem-mint 10 (92 of 208) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Chien-Pao 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $61$61–$61 | |
| PSA 9 | $13$11–$15 | |
| PSA 7 | $8$8–$8 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately
Price by variant
TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
68% cheaper than the USCard textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
When you play this Pokémon from your hand onto your Bench during your turn, you may discard a Stadium in play.
Put an Energy attached to this Pokémon into your hand.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
This Pokémon can control 100 tons of fallen snow. It plays around innocently by leaping in and out of avalanches it has caused.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Chien-Pao cards
There are 4 different Chien-Pao printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Surging Sparks #56 (Rare).
More from Surging Sparks
Frequently asked questions
How much is Chien-Pao (Surging Sparks #56) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Chien-Pao from Surging Sparks is worth approximately $0.25 ungraded (near-mint), and around $61 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Chien-Pao?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Chien-Pao from Surging Sparks is worth around $61 — roughly 245× the raw ungraded value of $0.25.
Should I grade my Chien-Pao?
A PSA 10 sells for about $61 versus $0.25 raw — roughly a 245× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Chien-Pao rare?
Chien-Pao is a Rare card from Surging Sparks (card #56), illustrated by Yuya Oka. Its current blended market value is $0.25 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Chien-Pao (Surging Sparks #56) — Pokémon market value $0.25, PSA 10 $61.21. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/surging-sparks/chien-pao-56<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv8-56" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Chien-Pao price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>