Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Low confidenceOnly 2 sales in the last 90 days.
Recent CGC 10 sales
- Jul 20, 2026Fanatics$10.80
- Jun 8, 2026Fanatics$19.20
- Mar 16, 2026Fanatics$12.00
- May 19, 2025Fanatics$46.80
By grade
- CGC 10$15.604 sales
- CGC 9$7.202 sales
- PSA 8.5$14.401 sale
- CGC 9.5$12.001 sale
From 8 completed sales recorded between May 19, 2025 and Jul 20, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 8 graded sales and 5,112,072 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Shiinotic is a Illustration Rare Pokémon card from Surging Sparks (#194), illustrated by matazo. It's a Stage 1 Grass-type Pokémon with 110 HP, evolving from Morelull, weak to Fire ×2. Its current blended market value is $4.04 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $85 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 21× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $80.00 | #104783097 ✓ |
| 10 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $83.00 | #147019579 ✓ |
| 6 Aug 2026 | PSA 7 | $7.50 | #163341494 ✓ |
| 2 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $65.00 | #101775797 ✓ |
| 1 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $20.00 | #105644451 ✓ |
| 15 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $26.00 | #156603428 ✓ |
| 10 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $38.99 | #115871941 ✓ |
| 30 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $60.00 | #140870072 ✓ |
| 30 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $17.50 | #117331277 ✓ |
| 29 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $88.00 | #116748796 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 28.9% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$10); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Shiinotic is a Ultra Rare in Surging Sparks — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 44 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 442 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $85.00 | $71 | +$10 | 21.0× |
| PSA 9 | $20.00 | $70 | −$54 | 5.0× |
| PSA 8 | $15.98 | $70 | −$58 | 4.0× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 1,296 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 28.9% | $85.00 |
| PSA 9 | 55.6% | $20.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 15.5% | $4.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 29% of 1,296 PSA-graded Shiinotic copies are a gem-mint 10 (375 of 1,296) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Shiinotic 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 375 | ✓ 13 cert-verified$85$50–$85 | |
| PSA 9pop 720 | ✓ 8 cert-verified$20$14–$20 | |
| PSA 8pop 157 | $16$14–$18 | |
| PSA 7pop 27 | $7$7–$7 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
27% spreadCurrently 27% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
21% cheaper than the USCard textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Morelull.
Once during your turn, if this Pokémon is in the Active Spot, you may make your opponent's Active Pokémon Asleep.
Flip a coin until you get tails. This attack does 30 more damage for each heads.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Shiinotic cards
There are 8 different Shiinotic printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Surging Sparks #194 (Illustration Rare).
More from Surging Sparks
Frequently asked questions
How much is Shiinotic (Surging Sparks #194) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Shiinotic from Surging Sparks is worth approximately $4.04 ungraded (near-mint), and around $85 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Shiinotic?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Shiinotic from Surging Sparks is worth around $85 — roughly 21× the raw ungraded value of $4.04.
Should I grade my Shiinotic?
A PSA 10 sells for about $85 versus $4.04 raw — roughly a 21× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Shiinotic rare?
Shiinotic is a Illustration Rare card from Surging Sparks (card #194), illustrated by matazo. Its current blended market value is $4.04 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Shiinotic (Surging Sparks #194) — Pokémon market value $4.04, PSA 10 $85.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/surging-sparks/shiinotic-194<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv8-194" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Shiinotic price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>