Greninja ex106/167 · Twilight Masquerade Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
- PSA 8$111 sold · 90d · modelled · pop 90
- PSA 9$18pop 313
- PSA 10$605 sold · 90d · pop 469
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for Twilight Masquerade #106/167, 2024. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
What's your copy worth?
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Greninja ex is a Double Rare Pokémon card from Twilight Masquerade (#106, released 2024), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a Stage 2 Tera ex Fighting-type Pokémon with 310 HP, evolving from Frogadier, weak to Psychic ×2. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 7 September 2026.
Greninja ex price history & recent sales
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
Low confidenceOnly 1 sale in the last 90 days. · Very liquid — Sells often
Sale mix: 3 auctions, 3 accepted offers, 4 fixed-price. A graded copy trades roughly every 4 days (median gap between cert-verified sales).
By grade
- CGC 10$16.2012 sales · 8 in 90d, occasional
- CGC 9$10.4010 sales · 6 in 90d, occasional
- PSA 10$67.506 sales · 5 in 90d, occasional
- PSA 9$15.602 sales
- CGC 9.5$7.802 sales · 1 in 90d, rare
- Raw$2.001 sale · 1 in 90d, rare
- PSA 8$25.001 sale · 1 in 90d, rare
- PSA 7$10.501 sale
Is Greninja ex worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 10 — worth $68 against the $72 you put in, a $5 loss. The money is in the 1 in 1 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $18–$68. Averaged over every outcome that is −$30 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Greninja ex is a Holo / V / ex in Twilight Masquerade — the pack's hit slot lands on Holo / V / ex 27.9% of the time, split across 14 holo / v / ex cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 50 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $60.00 | $71 | −$13 | 26.4× |
| PSA 9 | $18.00 | $70 | −$54 | 7.9× |
| PSA 8 | $11.37 | $70 | −$61 | 5.0× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 874 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 — typical | 51.8% | $67.50 |
| PSA 9 | 35% | $18.00 |
| PSA 8 | 9.7% | $11.37 |
| PSA 7 | 1.7% | $5.13 |
| PSA 6 | 1.3% | $2.27 |
| PSA 5 | 0.2% | $2.27 |
| PSA 4 | 0.1% | $2.27 |
| Other (half grades, authentic) | 0.1% | $2.27 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
469 of the 905 PSA-graded Greninja ex copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 52%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 905.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 1.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 18.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Greninja ex 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
SV06: Twilight Masquerade #106/167 Greninja exRaw · eBay$1.37
Greninja ex Double Rare SV06: Twilight Masquerade Holo 106/167 NMRaw · eBay$1.99
Greninja ex 106/167 Double Rare Twilight Masquerade Pokemon TCGRaw · eBay$2.00
GRENINJA EX 106/167 TWILIGHT MASQUERADE DOUBLE RARE POKEMON HOLO LPRaw · eBay$2.15
Greninja ex 106/167 Holo SV06: Twilight Masquerade LP Pokémon TCGRaw · eBay$2.19
SV06: Twilight Masquerade #106/167 Greninja exRaw · eBay$2.25Cheapest raw copy $1.37 — 40% below our near-mint estimate of $2
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 469 | $60$51–$69 | |
| PSA 9pop 313 | $18$15–$21 | |
| PSA 8pop 90 | modelled$11$6–$20 | |
| PSA 7pop 17 | modelled$5$5–$10 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
41% spreadCurrently 41% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#34 on the radarGreninja is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “First ever ETB box opening” · 1776↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Frogadier.
You may search your deck for a card and put it into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck.
Discard 2 Energy from this Pokémon. This attack does 120 damage to 2 of your opponent's Pokémon. (Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for Benched Pokémon.)
As long as this Pokémon is on your Bench, prevent all damage done to this Pokémon by attacks (both yours and your opponent's).
Pokémon ex rule: When your Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
Tera: As long as this Pokémon is on your Bench, prevent all damage done to this Pokémon by attacks (both yours and your opponent's).
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Greninja ex cards
There are 6 different Greninja ex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Twilight Masquerade #106 (Double Rare).
More from Twilight Masquerade
Frequently asked questions
How much is Greninja ex (Twilight Masquerade #106) worth?
As of 7 September 2026, Greninja ex from Twilight Masquerade is worth approximately $2.27 ungraded (near-mint), and around $60 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Greninja ex?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Greninja ex from Twilight Masquerade is worth around $60 — roughly 26× the raw ungraded value of $2.27.
Should I grade my Greninja ex?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Greninja ex rare?
Greninja ex is a Double Rare card from Twilight Masquerade (card #106).
How do I know if my Greninja ex is Holofoil?
The illustration window: The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Greninja ex (Twilight Masquerade #106) — Pokémon market value $2.27, PSA 10 $60.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/twilight-masquerade/greninja-ex-106<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv6-106" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Greninja ex price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>