Greninja ex
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence4 sales in 90 days — enough for a guide, not a guarantee.
Recent CGC 10 sales
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$10.80
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$16.80
- Jul 20, 2026Fanatics$13.20
- Jun 15, 2026Fanatics$31.20
- May 18, 2026Fanatics$174
- Mar 9, 2026Fanatics$15.60
- Feb 16, 2026Fanatics$18.00
- Feb 16, 2026Fanatics$15.60
By grade
- CGC 10$16.208 sales
- CGC 9$45.605 sales
- PSA 9$15.602 sales
- PSA 10$3722 sales
- CGC 9.5$7.802 sales
- Lot$25.201 sale
From 20 completed sales recorded between Feb 16, 2026 and Jul 27, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 19 graded sales and 5,111,650 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Greninja ex is a Double Rare Pokémon card from Twilight Masquerade (#106), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a Stage 2 Tera ex Fighting-type Pokémon with 310 HP, evolving from Frogadier, weak to Psychic ×2. Its current blended market value is $2.69 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $60 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 22× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 21 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $60.00 | #147218170 ✓ |
| 9 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $50.00 | #143120706 ✓ |
| 7 Aug 2026 | PSA 5 | $12.50 | #151187510 ✓ |
| 29 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $25.00 | #131564872 ✓ |
| 25 Jul 2026 | PSA 7 | $10.50 | #147091290 ✓ |
| 23 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $60.00 | #126509374 ✓ |
| 19 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $60.00 | #105673861 ✓ |
| 18 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $100.00 | #123814700 ✓ |
| 13 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $60.00 | #145289506 ✓ |
| 12 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $9.99 | #145057658 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 51.8% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$13); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Greninja ex is a Holo / V / ex in Twilight Masquerade — the pack's hit slot lands on Holo / V / ex 27.9% of the time, split across 14 holo / v / ex cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 50 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $60.00 | $71 | −$13 | 22.3× |
| PSA 9 | $18.00 | $70 | −$55 | 6.7× |
| PSA 8 | $11.37 | $70 | −$61 | 4.2× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 874 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 51.8% | $60.00 |
| PSA 9 | 35% | $18.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 13.2% | $3.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 52% of 874 PSA-graded Greninja ex copies are a gem-mint 10 (453 of 874) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Greninja ex 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 453 | ✓ 13 cert-verified$60$44–$60 | |
| PSA 9pop 306 | ✓ 7 cert-verified$18$13–$18 | |
| PSA 8pop 85 | $11$6–$20 | |
| PSA 7pop 15 | $5$5–$10 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
19% spreadCurrently 19% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
60% cheaper than the US🔥 Trending in the community
#10 on the radarGreninja is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Sword & Shield Interest Waining?” · 132↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Frogadier.
You may search your deck for a card and put it into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck.
Discard 2 Energy from this Pokémon. This attack does 120 damage to 2 of your opponent's Pokémon. (Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for Benched Pokémon.)
As long as this Pokémon is on your Bench, prevent all damage done to this Pokémon by attacks (both yours and your opponent's).
Pokémon ex rule: When your Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
Tera: As long as this Pokémon is on your Bench, prevent all damage done to this Pokémon by attacks (both yours and your opponent's).
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Greninja ex cards
There are 6 different Greninja ex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Twilight Masquerade #106 (Double Rare).
More from Twilight Masquerade
Frequently asked questions
How much is Greninja ex (Twilight Masquerade #106) worth?
As of 21 August 2026, Greninja ex from Twilight Masquerade is worth approximately $2.69 ungraded (near-mint), and around $60 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Greninja ex?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Greninja ex from Twilight Masquerade is worth around $60 — roughly 22× the raw ungraded value of $2.69.
Should I grade my Greninja ex?
A PSA 10 sells for about $60 versus $2.69 raw — roughly a 22× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Greninja ex rare?
Greninja ex is a Double Rare card from Twilight Masquerade (card #106), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. Its current blended market value is $2.69 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Greninja ex (Twilight Masquerade #106) — Pokémon market value $2.69, PSA 10 $60.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/twilight-masquerade/greninja-ex-106<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv6-106" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Greninja ex price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>