cardtrack
Upgrade
Sign in
Check your printing3 different Iron Thorns ex printings exist — is this your card? Twilight Masquerade #196
Iron Thorns ex Twilight Masquerade #196 Pokémon card
Ultra Rare

Iron Thorns ex

Twilight Masquerade · 196/167 · Illustrated by PLANETA Mochizuki
230 HPLightningPokémonBasicexFuture

Market value · ungraded

$2.47 7.1% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Range$2$3
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. 2 sources agree within 11%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$2.47

What this price is based on

Medium confidence

4 sales in 90 days — enough for a guide, not a guarantee.

Median · CGC 10$16.208 sales
Trimmed mean$17.10outliers removed
Range$13.20$18.00lowest to highest sale
Sales rate1.8/mo12 recorded

Recent CGC 10 sales

By grade

  • CGC 10$16.208 sales
  • CGC 9$10.803 sales
  • Lot$7.201 sale

From 12 completed sales recorded between Aug 18, 2025 and Jul 20, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

NOT WORTH IT

Based on 11 graded sales and 5,111,545 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Iron Thorns ex is a Ultra Rare Pokémon card from Twilight Masquerade (#196), illustrated by PLANETA Mochizuki. It's a Basic ex Future Lightning-type Pokémon with 230 HP, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $2.47 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $50 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 20× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

0.1%
Played in 0.1% of competitive decks — 4 of 3,174 decklists across the last 41 Standard tournaments.

The receipts

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202520 Aug 2026
Latest
$2.47
Period high
$3.99
Period low
$2.06
Change
33.6%
Set a price alert

We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.

Alert me when the priceNo password needed — we'll set up your free account.

Verified sales history10 in 90 daysreal completed listings

DateGradePriceCert
12 Aug 2026PSA 10$80.00#151920420
12 Aug 2026PSA 10$50.00#114577144
31 Jul 2026PSA 10$34.00#155211633
27 Jul 2026PSA 9$11.10#116148181
26 Jul 2026PSA 10$27.00#136956384
5 Jul 2026PSA 10$39.00#107217473
29 Jun 2026PSA 10$51.99#94428612
2 Jun 2026PSA 9$10.51#145309278
14 May 2026PSA 9$25.00#136071285
13 Mar 2026PSA 9$13.00#147119902

Should you grade it?

$38

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 54% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case $23); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)54%
Expected return$38
PSA 10 best case$23
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Iron Thorns ex is a Ultra Rare in Twilight Masquerade — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 42 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 422 packs.

Ultra Rare10%42 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)54%415 of 768
PSA 940%307 of 768
PSA graded so far768
Gem Mint 10415
Total graded768

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$49.99$70$2320.2×
PSA 9$20.20$70$528.2×
PSA 8$12.41$70$605.0×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 768 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1054%$50.00
PSA 940%$20.00
PSA ≤86%$2.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 54% of 768 PSA-graded Iron Thorns ex copies are a gem-mint 10 (415 of 768) — the rest grade lower.

PSA768 gradedPSA 10 · 415 · 54% gem
10415
9307
838
75
61
52
CGC640 gradedCGC 10 · 374 · 58% gem
10374
9.562
9134
8.528
826

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Iron Thorns ex 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.

All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$2.47
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 415$50$42$57
PSA 9pop 307$20$17$23
PSA 8pop 38$12$6$19
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$2.47
LPLightly Played$2.05
MPModerately Played$1.91
HPHeavily Played$1.43
DMGDamaged$1.25
7-day 8.9%
30-day 12.2%
90-day 27.2%
All-time high$3
All-time low$1
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

11% spread
TCGplayer · cheapest$2
PriceCharting · dearest$3

Currently 11% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFalling -7%
Cross-marketSome gap 11% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
InitializationAbility

As long as this Pokémon is in the Active Spot, Pokémon with a Rule Box in play (both yours and your opponent's) have no Abilities, except for Future Pokémon. (Pokémon ex, Pokémon V, etc. have Rule Boxes.)

Volt Cyclone140
Lightning · Colorless · Colorless

Move an Energy from this Pokémon to 1 of your Benched Pokémon.

Weakness Fighting ×2Retreat 4

Pokémon ex rule: When your Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#196
RarityUltra Rare
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesBasic, ex, Future
TypeLightning
HP230
WeaknessFighting ×2
Retreat cost4
National Pokédex#995
Card IDsv6-196
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Iron Thorns ex cards

There are 3 different Iron Thorns ex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Twilight Masquerade #196 (Ultra Rare).

More from Twilight Masquerade

Frequently asked questions

How much is Iron Thorns ex (Twilight Masquerade #196) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Iron Thorns ex from Twilight Masquerade is worth approximately $2.47 ungraded (near-mint), and around $50 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Iron Thorns ex?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Iron Thorns ex from Twilight Masquerade is worth around $50 — roughly 20× the raw ungraded value of $2.47.

Should I grade my Iron Thorns ex?

A PSA 10 sells for about $50 versus $2.47 raw — roughly a 20× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Iron Thorns ex rare?

Iron Thorns ex is a Ultra Rare card from Twilight Masquerade (card #196), illustrated by PLANETA Mochizuki. Its current blended market value is $2.47 ungraded.

Cite & embed this card

Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Iron Thorns ex (Twilight Masquerade #196) — Pokémon market value $2.47, PSA 10 $49.99. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/twilight-masquerade/iron-thorns-ex-196
Embed this on your site
<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv6-196" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Iron Thorns ex price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>