Market value · ungraded
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Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 0 graded sales and 5,110,777 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Lucian is a Uncommon Pokémon card from Twilight Masquerade (#157), illustrated by hncl. It's a Supporter Trainer card. Its current blended market value is $0.10 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $25 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 250× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history1 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2024 | PSA 10 | $13.01 | #95226689 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 46.7% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$45); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Lucian is a Uncommoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $25.00 | $70 | −$45 | 250.0× |
| PSA 9 | $10.23 | $70 | −$60 | 102.3× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 30 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 46.7% | $25.00 |
| PSA 9 | 13.3% | $10.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 40% | $0.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 50% of 2 PSA-graded Lucian copies are a gem-mint 10 (1 of 2) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Lucian 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 1 | $25$25–$25 | |
| PSA 9pop 1 | $10$10–$10 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
160% spreadCurrently 160% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Each player shuffles their hand and puts it on the bottom of their deck. If either player put any cards on the bottom of their deck in this way, each player flips a coin. If heads, that player draws 6 cards. If tails, they draw 3 cards.
You may play only 1 Supporter card during your turn.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Lucian cards
There are 2 different Lucian printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Twilight Masquerade #157 (Uncommon).
More from Twilight Masquerade
Frequently asked questions
How much is Lucian (Twilight Masquerade #157) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Lucian from Twilight Masquerade is worth approximately $0.10 ungraded (near-mint), and around $25 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Lucian?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Lucian from Twilight Masquerade is worth around $25 — roughly 250× the raw ungraded value of $0.10.
Should I grade my Lucian?
A PSA 10 sells for about $25 versus $0.10 raw — roughly a 250× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Lucian rare?
Lucian is a Uncommon card from Twilight Masquerade (card #157), illustrated by hncl. Its current blended market value is $0.10 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Lucian (Twilight Masquerade #157) — Pokémon market value $0.10, PSA 10 $25.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/twilight-masquerade/lucian-157<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv6-157" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Lucian price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>