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Check your printing4 different Palafin ex printings exist — is this your card? Twilight Masquerade #193
Palafin ex Twilight Masquerade #193 Pokémon card
Ultra Rare

Palafin ex

Twilight Masquerade · 193/167 · Illustrated by PLANETA Mochizuki
340 HPWaterPokémonStage 1ex

Market value · ungraded

$1.69 3.4% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Range$2$2
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. 2 sources agree within 14%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$1.69

What this price is based on

Low confidence

Only 1 sale in the last 90 days.

Median · CGC 10$13.804 sales
Trimmed mean$17.00outliers removed
Range$10.80$17.00lowest to highest sale
Sales rate1/mo6 recorded

Recent CGC 10 sales

By grade

  • CGC 10$13.804 sales
  • PSA 10$25.001 sale
  • CGC 7.5$7.201 sale

From 6 completed sales recorded between Mar 2, 2026 and Jun 7, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

NOT WORTH IT

Based on 6 graded sales and 5,111,066 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

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Palafin ex is a Ultra Rare Pokémon card from Twilight Masquerade (#193), illustrated by PLANETA Mochizuki. It's a Stage 1 ex Water-type Pokémon with 340 HP, evolving from Finizen, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $1.69 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $28 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 17× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

0.3%
Played in 0.3% of competitive decks — 8 of 3,174 decklists across the last 41 Standard tournaments.

The receipts

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202520 Aug 2026
Latest
$1.69
Period high
$3.10
Period low
$1.42
Change
32.4%
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Verified sales history10 in 90 daysreal completed listings

DateGradePriceCert
11 Aug 2026PSA 10$27.99#130779318
9 Aug 2026PSA 10$28.00#153330250
6 Aug 2026PSA 10$28.00#98934479
19 Jul 2026PSA 10$30.50#118860846
29 May 2026PSA 10$33.00#148524580
25 May 2026PSA 10$27.50#94141854
4 May 2026PSA 9$19.02#147091289
30 Apr 2026PSA 9$17.99#95148808
13 Apr 2026PSA 9$19.50#98316400
7 Apr 2026PSA 9$19.99#111102531

Should you grade it?

$50

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 49.1% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case $44); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)49.1%
Expected return$50
PSA 10 best case$44
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Palafin ex is a Ultra Rare in Twilight Masquerade — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 42 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 422 packs.

Ultra Rare10%42 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)49.1%142 of 289
PSA 942.6%123 of 289
PSA graded so far289
Gem Mint 10142
Total graded289

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$28.00$70$4416.6×
PSA 9$19.74$70$5211.7×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 289 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1049.1%$28.00
PSA 942.6%$20.00
PSA ≤88.3%$2.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 49% of 289 PSA-graded Palafin ex copies are a gem-mint 10 (142 of 289) — the rest grade lower.

PSA289 gradedPSA 10 · 142 · 49% gem
10142
9123
823
61
CGC418 gradedCGC 10 · 234 · 56% gem
10234
9.548
978
8.520
820

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Palafin ex 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$1.75
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 142✓ 15 cert-verified$28$26$36
PSA 9pop 123$20$17$23
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$1.69
LPLightly Played$1.50
MPModerately Played$1.41
DMGDamaged$1.41
7-day 11.7%
30-dayflat
90-day 4.2%
All-time high$2
All-time low$1
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

14% spread
TCGplayer · cheapest$2
PriceCharting · dearest$2

Currently 14% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFalling -3%
Cross-marketSome gap 14% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Finizen.

Hero's SpiritAbility

Put this Pokémon into play only with the effect of Palafin's Zero to Hero Ability.

Giga Impact250
Water

During your next turn, this Pokémon can't attack.

Weakness Lightning ×2Retreat 2

Pokémon ex rule: When your Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Dolphin PokémonGEN IXFinizenPalafin

This Pokémon changes its appearance if it hears its allies calling for help. Palafin will never show anybody its moment of transformation.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#193
RarityUltra Rare
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesStage 1, ex
TypeWater
HP340
Evolves fromFinizen
WeaknessLightning ×2
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#964
Card IDsv6-193
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Palafin ex cards

There are 4 different Palafin ex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Twilight Masquerade #193 (Ultra Rare).

More from Twilight Masquerade

Frequently asked questions

How much is Palafin ex (Twilight Masquerade #193) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Palafin ex from Twilight Masquerade is worth approximately $1.69 ungraded (near-mint), and around $28 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Palafin ex?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Palafin ex from Twilight Masquerade is worth around $28 — roughly 17× the raw ungraded value of $1.69.

Should I grade my Palafin ex?

A PSA 10 sells for about $28 versus $1.69 raw — roughly a 17× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Palafin ex rare?

Palafin ex is a Ultra Rare card from Twilight Masquerade (card #193), illustrated by PLANETA Mochizuki. Its current blended market value is $1.69 ungraded.

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Citation
Palafin ex (Twilight Masquerade #193) — Pokémon market value $1.69, PSA 10 $28.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/twilight-masquerade/palafin-ex-193
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