Sinistcha ex189/167 · Twilight Masquerade Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
What's your copy worth?
Estimated. This card has enough sales to price the top 15% but not the top 5%, so pack-fresh is projected from the gap we measure between those two tiers on cards that do — about 1.4x on vintage, 1.2x on modern. $4.22. That's about +172% over a typical Near Mint copy.
ⓘ How do we work this out?
We take every real sale of this exact card over the last 12 months (27 sales), sort them by price, and read off the top 15% and top 5%. No multipliers, no guesses — the prices cleaner copies actually fetched.
Why cleaner copies cost more: buyers can see condition in the photos and pay for it. Listings sellers describe as pack fresh or gem mint land in this top band 1.7× more often than ordinary ones — the premium follows the card, not the hype.
Copies in this band are also the ones collectors send to grading: far more likely than a typical binder copy to be submitted at all — and to come back with the strong grade that carries the PSA prices shown on this page. That prospect is part of what buyers are paying for here.
These are read straight off this card's own completed sales — sort them by price and take the top 15% and top 5%. Whether your copy qualifies is a judgment made by looking at the card.
What this price is based on
High confidence92 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 31, 2026eBay — Sinistcha ex 189/167 Ultra Rare Twilight Masquerade Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$1.99
- Aug 30, 2026eBay — Sinistcha ex 189/167 Ultra Rare Twilight Masquerade Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$3.25
- Aug 30, 2026eBay — Pokemon Sinistcha ex 189/167 Twilight Masquerade Ultra Rare Holo NMNM$2.37
- Aug 29, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Sinistcha ex Twilight Masquerade 189/167 Holo Ultra NMNM$1.41
- Aug 29, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Sinistcha Ex 189/167 Twilight Masquerade NMNM$2.89
- Aug 29, 2026eBay — Sinistcha ex 189/167 Ultra Rare Twilight Masquerade Pokemon Near MintNM$3.60
- Aug 28, 2026eBay — Sinistcha ex 189/167 Ultra Rare Holo Twilight Masquerade NMNM$3.49
- Aug 28, 2026eBay — Sinistcha ex 189/167 Twilight Masquerade Holo Ultra Rare Pokemon$3.19
By grade
- Raw$2.4995 sales
- CGC 10$16.206 sales
- PSA 9$20.354 sales
- PSA 10$72.752 sales
- PSA 8$13.401 sale
- CGC 9.5$9.601 sale
From 109 completed sales recorded between Feb 23, 2026 and Aug 31, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 14 graded sales and 5,111,127 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Sinistcha ex is a Ultra Rare Pokémon card from Twilight Masquerade (#189, released 2024), illustrated by aky CG Works. It's a Stage 1 ex Grass-type Pokémon with 240 HP, evolving from Poltchageist, weak to Fire ×2. Its current blended market value is $1.55 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $50 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 32× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 4 September 2026.
Sinistcha ex price history & recent sales
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history110 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
Demand & liquidity
Last sold $2 · Raw · 31 Aug 2026
How often each grade sells · last 90 days, all marketplaces
Is Sinistcha ex worth grading?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 51.9% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$22); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Sinistcha ex is a Ultra Rare in Twilight Masquerade — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 42 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 422 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $50.00 | $70 | −$22 | 32.3× |
| PSA 9 | $18.26 | $70 | −$53 | 11.8× |
| PSA 8 | $14.94 | $70 | −$57 | 9.6× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 241 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 51.9% | $50.00 |
| PSA 9 | 40.7% | $18.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 7.5% | $11.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
Only 52% of 254 PSA-graded Sinistcha ex copies are a gem-mint 10 (131 of 254) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Sinistcha ex 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Sinistcha ex 189/167 Sv06: Twilight Masquerade Ultra Rare Holo NMRaw · eBay$1.20
Sinistcha ex 189/167 Sv06: Twilight Masquerade HoloRaw · eBay$1.25
Sinistcha ex 189/167 Sv06: Twilight Masquerade Ultra Rare Holo NMRaw · eBay$1.25
Sinistcha ex #189/167 SV06: Twilight MasqueradeRaw · eBay$1.49
Sinistcha ex 189/167 Pokemon Twilight Masquerade set 2024 MPRaw · eBay$1.50
Pokémon TCG Near Mint Twilight Masquerade Sinistcha 189/167 Ultra RareRaw · eBay$1.50Cheapest raw copy $1.20 — 23% below our estimate of $2
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 131 | $50$43–$57 | |
| PSA 9pop 102 | $18$16–$21 | |
| PSA 8pop 16 | $15$10–$15 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
28% spreadCurrently 28% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Poltchageist.
Put 2 damage counters on 1 of your opponent's Pokémon for each Basic Grass Energy card in your discard pile. Then, shuffle those Energy cards into your deck.
Heal 30 damage from each of your Pokémon.
Pokémon ex rule: When your Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
It pretends to be tea, trying to fool people into drinking it so it can drain their life-force. Its ruse is generally unsuccessful.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Sinistcha ex cards
There are 3 different Sinistcha ex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Twilight Masquerade #189 (Ultra Rare).
More from Twilight Masquerade
Frequently asked questions
How much is Sinistcha ex (Twilight Masquerade #189) worth?
As of 4 September 2026, Sinistcha ex from Twilight Masquerade is worth approximately $1.55 ungraded (near-mint), and around $50 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Sinistcha ex?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Sinistcha ex from Twilight Masquerade is worth around $50 — roughly 32× the raw ungraded value of $1.55.
Should I grade my Sinistcha ex?
A PSA 10 sells for about $50 versus $1.55 raw — roughly a 32× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Sinistcha ex rare?
Sinistcha ex is a Ultra Rare card from Twilight Masquerade (card #189), illustrated by aky CG Works. Its current blended market value is $1.55 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Sinistcha ex (Twilight Masquerade #189) — Pokémon market value $1.55, PSA 10 $50.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/twilight-masquerade/sinistcha-ex-189<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv6-189" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Sinistcha ex price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>