Genesect
Market value · ungraded
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NOT WORTH ITBased on 0 graded sales and 1,305,862 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Genesect is a Promo Pokémon card from XY Black Star Promos (#XY196), illustrated by Ken Sugimori. It's a Basic Metal-type Pokémon with 110 HP, weak to Fire ×2. Its current blended market value is $2.73 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $44 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 16× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $95.00 | #147148816 ✓ |
| 28 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $120.00 | #122154036 ✓ |
| 27 Jul 2026 | PSA 6 | $19.99 | #90880070 ✓ |
| 3 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $70.67 | #147148816 ✓ |
| 1 Jul 2026 | PSA 7 | $16.50 | #150579910 ✓ |
| 31 May 2026 | PSA 9 | $18.34 | #147148817 ✓ |
| 11 Mar 2026 | PSA 8 | $30.00 | #76345671 ✓ |
| 3 Nov 2025 | PSA 7 | $17.00 | #118984860 ✓ |
| 14 Oct 2025 | PSA 8 | $35.00 | #107333872 ✓ |
| 7 Sep 2025 | PSA 7 | $10.50 | #118984860 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 13.8% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$29); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Genesect is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $44.00 | $70 | −$29 | 16.1× |
| PSA 9 | $18.34 | $70 | −$55 | 6.7× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 80 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 13.8% | $44.00 |
| PSA 9 | 32.5% | $18.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 53.8% | $3.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 14% of 80 PSA-graded Genesect copies are a gem-mint 10 (11 of 80) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Genesect 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 11 | $44$44–$44 | |
| PSA 9pop 26 | $18$18–$18 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 5 slab of this card sells for about $6 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
37% spreadCurrently 37% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
27% cheaper than the US🔥 Trending in the community
#39 on the radarGenesect is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Genesect page♥️” · 35↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
This attack does 30 damage to 1 of your opponent's Pokémon. (Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for Benched Pokémon.)
Flip a coin. If heads, discard an Energy attached to your opponent's Active Pokémon.
“This Pokémon existed 300 million years ago. Team Plasma altered it and attached a cannon to its back.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Over 300 million years ago, it was feared as the strongest of hunters. It has been modified by Team Plasma.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Genesect cards
There are 9 different Genesect printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is XY Black Star Promos #XY196 (Promo).
More from XY Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Genesect (XY Black Star Promos #XY196) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Genesect from XY Black Star Promos is worth approximately $2.73 ungraded (near-mint), and around $44 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Genesect?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Genesect from XY Black Star Promos is worth around $44 — roughly 16× the raw ungraded value of $2.73.
Should I grade my Genesect?
A PSA 10 sells for about $44 versus $2.73 raw — roughly a 16× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Genesect rare?
Genesect is a Promo card from XY Black Star Promos (card #XY196), illustrated by Ken Sugimori. Its current blended market value is $2.73 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Genesect (XY Black Star Promos #XY196) — Pokémon market value $2.73, PSA 10 $44.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy-black-star-promos/genesect-xy196<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xyp-XY196" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Genesect price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>