Lucario
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence84 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.
What each version actually sells for
Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 17, 2026eBay — Lucario Pokemon XY Promo XY140 Holo Rare 2016 Black Star CLEAN NMNM$3.99
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — 2016 Pokemon XY140 Lucario Holo Black Star Promo Ste$19.99
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — 2016 Pokémon XY Black Star Promo #140 Lucario Cosmos Holo XY140 TCG Nm.NM$14.00
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Lucario XY140 Holo Rare Black Star Promo Card Near Mint ConditionNM$7.99
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Lucario - XY140 - XY Black Star Promos - Pokemon - Promo Holo - PlayedMP$12.50
- Aug 8, 2026eBay — Lucario XY140 Holo Rare Black Star Promo Card Pokémon TCG NMNM$13.98
- Aug 7, 2026eBay — Lucario XY140 NM -Holo Pokemon Card- Black Star Promo (8z)NM$11.95
- Aug 4, 2026eBay — Pokemon Lucario XY140 XY Black Star Promo Holo 2016 NM/MNM$12.99
By grade
- Raw$10.00124 sales
- PSA 9$10712 sales
- PSA 8$25.999 sales
- PSA 10$1,8254 sales
- TAG 10$1,7502 sales
- CGC 10$2192 sales
- TAG 8.5$26.001 sale
- TAG 8$26.001 sale
From 158 completed sales recorded between Jan 21, 2026 and Aug 17, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 34 graded sales and 1,306,395 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Lucario is a Promo Pokémon card from XY Black Star Promos (#XY140), illustrated by Naoki Saito. It's a Stage 1 Fighting-type Pokémon with 100 HP, evolving from Riolu, weak to Psychic ×2. Its current blended market value is $13.60 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $1,600 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 118× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 21 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history22 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
Demand & liquidity
Last sold $26 · PSA 8 · 26 Jun 2026
Should you grade it?
Raw $13.60 → graded PSA 10 ≈ $1,600.00, after ~$120.99 grading fee → 117.6× the raw value.
The odds
Lucario is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $1,600.00 | $121 | +$1,465 | 117.6× |
| PSA 9 | $84.00 | $71 | −$0 | 6.2× |
| PSA 8 | $20.25 | $70 | −$64 | 1.5× |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Real outcome depends on the grade achieved; PSA 10 is best-case.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 12% of 533 PSA-graded Lucario copies are a gem-mint 10 (62 of 533) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Lucario 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 62 | ✓ 26 cert-verified$1,600$807–$1,600 | |
| PSA 9pop 219 | ✓ 45 cert-verified$84$62–$84 | |
| PSA 8pop 138 | $20$17–$23 | |
| PSA 7pop 54 | ✓ 6 cert-verified$20$15–$22 | |
| PSA 6pop 42 | $10$10–$10 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
23% spreadCurrently 23% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#7 on the radarLucario is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “My girlfriend and I broke up” · 3055↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Riolu.
Flip a coin until you get tails. This attack does 30 damage times the number of heads.
This attack's damage isn't affected by Resistance.
“By reading the auras of all things, it can tell how others are feeling from over half a mile away.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Lucario cards
There are 9 different Lucario printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is XY Black Star Promos #XY140 (Promo).
More from XY Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Lucario (XY Black Star Promos #XY140) worth?
As of 21 August 2026, Lucario from XY Black Star Promos is worth approximately $13.60 ungraded (near-mint), and around $1,600 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Lucario?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Lucario from XY Black Star Promos is worth around $1,600 — roughly 118× the raw ungraded value of $13.60.
Should I grade my Lucario?
A PSA 10 sells for about $1,600 versus $13.60 raw — roughly a 118× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Lucario rare?
Lucario is a Promo card from XY Black Star Promos (card #XY140), illustrated by Naoki Saito. Its current blended market value is $13.60 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Lucario (XY Black Star Promos #XY140) — Pokémon market value $13.60, PSA 10 $1600.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy-black-star-promos/lucario-xy140<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xyp-XY140" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Lucario price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>