Lugia
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence84 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
What each version actually sells for
Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 17, 2026eBay — Pokémon Lugia Black Star Promo Holo Rare Card XY156 2016 LPLP$30.00
- Aug 17, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Lugia XY156 Holo Black Star Promo Card$19.00
- Aug 13, 2026eBay — Lugia Pokémon XY Black Star Promo #XY156$20.50
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Lugia XY156 XY Promo Holo English 2016 120 HP Basic Colorless$14.49
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Lugia XY156 XY Holo Promo Pokemon Card English 2016 Basic 120 HP$16.00
- Aug 10, 2026eBay — Lugia Pokémon XY Black Star Promo #XY156$11.49
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Lugia XY156 Holo Black Star Promo Card$10.50
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Lugia XY156 Lightly Played Holo XY Promo P PokemonLP$22.49
By grade
- Raw$19.3896 sales
- PSA 7$62.305 sales
- PSA 9$5503 sales
- PSA 8$1202 sales
- PSA 6$68.082 sales
- PSA 1$1501 sale
- CGC 7$45.001 sale
- AGS 9$1901 sale
From 111 completed sales recorded between Jan 31, 2026 and Aug 17, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 15 graded sales and 1,306,335 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Lugia is a Promo Pokémon card from XY Black Star Promos (#XY156), illustrated by Hajime Kusajima. It's a Basic Colorless-type Pokémon with 120 HP, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $24.99 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $886 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 35× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 9? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history22 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
Demand & liquidity
Last sold $600 · PSA 9 · 22 Jul 2026
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 1.3% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$772); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Lugia is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $886.17 | $89 | +$772 | 35.5× |
| PSA 9 | $500.00 | $75 | +$400 | 20.0× |
| PSA 8 | $119.90 | $71 | +$24 | 4.8× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 473 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 1.3% | $886.00 |
| PSA 9 | 11.4% | $500.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 87.3% | $25.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 1% of 473 PSA-graded Lugia copies are a gem-mint 10 (6 of 473) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Lugia 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 6 | $886$886–$886 | |
| PSA 9pop 54 | ✓ 17 cert-verified$500$189–$500 | |
| PSA 8pop 187 | $120$102–$138 | |
| PSA 7pop 126 | ✓ 6 cert-verified$61$61–$102 | |
| PSA 6pop 58 | 2 sold$48$41–$55 | |
| PSA 5pop 27 | $16$16–$16 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 6 slab of this card sells for about $69 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
74% cheaper than the US🔥 Trending in the community
#8 on the radarLugia is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Lugia Neo genesis first edition” · 466↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Flip 2 coins. This attack does 20 more damage for each heads.
“It is said to be the guardian of the seas. It is rumored to have been seen on the night of a storm.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
It is said that it quietly spends its time deep at the bottom of the sea because its powers are too strong.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Lugia cards
There are 9 different Lugia printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is XY Black Star Promos #XY156 (Promo).
More from XY Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Lugia (XY Black Star Promos #XY156) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Lugia from XY Black Star Promos is worth approximately $24.99 ungraded (near-mint), and around $886 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Lugia?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Lugia from XY Black Star Promos is worth around $886 — roughly 35× the raw ungraded value of $24.99.
Should I grade my Lugia?
A PSA 10 sells for about $886 versus $24.99 raw — roughly a 35× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Lugia rare?
Lugia is a Promo card from XY Black Star Promos (card #XY156), illustrated by Hajime Kusajima. Its current blended market value is $24.99 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Lugia (XY Black Star Promos #XY156) — Pokémon market value $24.99, PSA 10 $886.17. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy-black-star-promos/lugia-xy156<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xyp-XY156" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Lugia price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>