Pikachu
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence12 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — 2016 XY Pokémon League Pikachu XY202 Black Star Promo - LPLP$80.00
- Jul 16, 2026eBay — Pokemon Pikachu Holo XY League/Championship Black Star Promo XY202 10 x Pack Ins$900
- Jul 16, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Pikachu XY202 Pokemon League Holo Promo English 2016 50 HP$49.99
- Jul 9, 2026eBay — Pokemon - Pikachu - XY202 - Black Star Promo - Pokemon League Stamp Holo - LPLP$70.00
- Jul 6, 2026eBay — Pikachu - XY202 - Black Star Promo - Pokemon League Holo - LP - PokemonLP$69.96
- Jun 30, 2026eBay — Pokemon Pikachu Holo XY League/Championship Black Star Promo XY202 10 x Pack Ins$450
- Jun 28, 2026eBay — Pikachu LP XY202 - Holo League Stamp Black Star Promo - PokemonLP$60.00
- Jun 28, 2026eBay — Pikachu XY202 - Black Star Pokemon League Promo Stamped - Pokemon TCG$55.00
By grade
- Raw$70.0018 sales
- PSA 9$2118 sales
- PSA 8$90.007 sales
- PSA 7$75.504 sales
- CGC 8.5$1052 sales
From 39 completed sales recorded between May 3, 2026 and Aug 12, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 21 graded sales and 1,306,469 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Pikachu is a Promo Pokémon card from XY Black Star Promos (#XY202), illustrated by Ken Sugimori. It's a Basic Lightning-type Pokémon with 50 HP, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $28.38 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $800 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 28× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 21 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | PSA 8 | $134.79 | #98937157 ✓ |
| 5 Aug 2026 | PSA 8 | $213.00 | #57976153 ✓ |
| 3 Aug 2026 | PSA 7 | $76.00 | #157598304 ✓ |
| 22 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $188.00 | #62821416 ✓ |
| 20 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $5,040.00 | #91589001 ✓ |
| 18 Jul 2026 | PSA 7 | $76.00 | #157598304 ✓ |
| 17 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $150.00 | #128959857 ✓ |
| 16 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $250.00 | #91589004 ✓ |
| 14 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $299.00 | #54087162 ✓ |
| 11 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $75.00 | #127671889 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 4.6% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$684); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Pikachu is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $800.00 | $88 | +$684 | 28.2× |
| PSA 9 | $215.00 | $72 | +$114 | 7.6× |
| PSA 8 | $90.00 | $71 | −$9 | 3.2× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 610 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 4.6% | $800.00 |
| PSA 9 | 33.1% | $215.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 62.3% | $28.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 5% of 610 PSA-graded Pikachu copies are a gem-mint 10 (28 of 610) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Pikachu 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 28 | ✓ 5 cert-verified$800$800–$800 | |
| PSA 9pop 202 | ✓ 33 cert-verified$215$186–$251 | |
| PSA 8pop 223 | $90$77–$103 | |
| PSA 7pop 102 | $75$64–$86 | |
| PSA 6pop 38 | $31$31–$31 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $76 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
14% spreadCurrently 14% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#1 on the radarPikachu is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “My girlfriend and I broke up” · 3226↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Search your deck for a Lightning Energy card and attach it to this Pokémon. Shuffle your deck afterward.
Discard all Energy attached to this Pokémon.
“When several of these Pokémon gather, their electricity can build and cause lightning storms.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Pikachu cards
There are 9 different Pikachu printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is XY Black Star Promos #XY202 (Promo).
More from XY Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Pikachu (XY Black Star Promos #XY202) worth?
As of 21 August 2026, Pikachu from XY Black Star Promos is worth approximately $28.38 ungraded (near-mint), and around $800 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Pikachu?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Pikachu from XY Black Star Promos is worth around $800 — roughly 28× the raw ungraded value of $28.38.
Should I grade my Pikachu?
A PSA 10 sells for about $800 versus $28.38 raw — roughly a 28× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Pikachu rare?
Pikachu is a Promo card from XY Black Star Promos (card #XY202), illustrated by Ken Sugimori. Its current blended market value is $28.38 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Pikachu (XY Black Star Promos #XY202) — Pokémon market value $28.38, PSA 10 $800.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy-black-star-promos/pikachu-xy202<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xyp-XY202" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Pikachu price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>