PikachuPR-XY XY202 · XY Black Star Promos Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
- PSA 8$906 sold · 90d · pop 226
- PSA 9$2242 sold · 90d · pop 202
- PSA 10$1,047asking · pop 28
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for XY Black Star Promos #PR-XY XY202, 2013. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
What's your copy worth?
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Pikachu is a Promo Pokémon card from XY Black Star Promos (#XY202, released 2013), illustrated by Ken Sugimori. It's a Basic Lightning-type Pokémon with 50 HP, weak to Fighting ×2. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 10 September 2026.
Pikachu price history & recent sales
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
High confidence11 sales in 90 days, closely clustered. · Liquid — Sells regularly
Sale mix: 3 auctions, 5 accepted offers, 2 fixed-price. A graded copy trades roughly every 2 days (median gap between cert-verified sales).
By grade
- Raw$70.0017 sales · 11 in 90d, sells regularly
- PSA 8$90.009 sales · 6 in 90d, occasional
- PSA 9$2118 sales · 2 in 90d, rare
- PSA 7$75.003 sales · 3 in 90d, occasional
- CGC 8.5$1052 sales
Is Pikachu worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 8 — worth $90 against the $153 you put in, a $63 loss. The money is in the 1 in 3 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $224–$1,047. Averaged over every outcome that is +$18 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Pikachu is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $1,047.00 | $110 | +$857 | 13.2× |
| PSA 9 | $224.00 | $72 | +$72 | 2.8× |
| PSA 8 | $90.00 | $71 | −$60 | 1.1× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 610 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 4.6% | $1,047.00 |
| PSA 9 | 33.1% | $224.00 |
| PSA 8 — typical | 36.6% | $90.00 |
| PSA 7 | 16.7% | $75.50 |
| PSA 6 | 6.2% | $31.49 |
| PSA 5 | 1.5% | $31.49 |
| PSA 4 | 0.3% | $31.49 |
| Other (half grades, authentic) | 1% | $79.59 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
28 of the 615 PSA-graded Pikachu copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 4.6%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 615.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 5.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Pikachu 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Buying this card on eBay? The free CardTrack extension shows our value and a deal verdict right on the listing. Add to Chrome →
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 28 | asking$1,047$838–$1,256 | |
| PSA 9pop 202 | ✓ 33 cert-verified$224$186–$251 | |
| PSA 8pop 226 | $90$77–$103 | |
| PSA 7pop 106 | $76$64–$87 | |
| PSA 6pop 39 | modelled$31$31–$31 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $76 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
2% spreadCurrently 2% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#1 on the radarPikachu is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Crying, not shaking. Found my childhood factory-sealed Pokémon boxes after 26 years.” · 10108↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Search your deck for a Lightning Energy card and attach it to this Pokémon. Shuffle your deck afterward.
Discard all Energy attached to this Pokémon.
“When several of these Pokémon gather, their electricity can build and cause lightning storms.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Pikachu cards
There are 109 different Pikachu printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is XY Black Star Promos #XY202 (Promo). The most valuable 7 are below.
More from XY Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Pikachu (XY Black Star Promos #XY202) worth?
As of 10 September 2026, Pikachu from XY Black Star Promos is worth approximately $79.59 ungraded (near-mint), and around $1,047 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Pikachu?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Pikachu from XY Black Star Promos is worth around $1,047 — roughly 13× the raw ungraded value of $79.59.
Should I grade my Pikachu?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Pikachu rare?
Pikachu is a Promo card from XY Black Star Promos (card #XY202).
How do I know if my Pikachu is Holofoil?
The illustration window: The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Pikachu (XY Black Star Promos #XY202) — Pokémon market value $79.59, PSA 10 $1047.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy-black-star-promos/pikachu-xy202<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xyp-XY202" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Pikachu price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>