Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence36 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 17, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Ponyta Aquapolis 102/147 LPLP$7.45
- Aug 17, 2026eBay — Ponyta 102/147 - C Aquapolis Pokemon LPLP$7.49
- Aug 10, 2026eBay — Pokemon Ponyta Regular Card 102/147 Aquapolis$6.00
- Aug 7, 2026eBay — Ponyta LP 102/147 - Aquapolis - Pokemon 2002 WOTCLP$5.95
- Aug 5, 2026eBay — MINT Ponyta 102/147 Non Holo Aquapolis E-Reader Pokemon Card LP/MintLP$5.25
- Jul 31, 2026eBay — Ponyta - 102/147 - Common - Aquapolis - Pokemon Card - LPLP$14.03
- Jul 29, 2026eBay — MINT Ponyta 102/147 Non Holo Aquapolis E-Reader Pokemon CardNM$12.00
- Jul 28, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Ponyta 102/147 Aquapolis 40 HP Common Basic Regular English$3.25
By grade
- Raw$7.0040 sales
- CGC 9$25.005 sales
- CGC 8.5$29.404 sales
- PSA 10$1762 sales
- CGC 9.5$24.102 sales
- CGC 10$34.252 sales
- PSA 9$33.001 sale
- Lot$6.001 sale
From 59 completed sales recorded between Mar 2, 2026 and Aug 17, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 17 graded sales and 1,889,841 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Ponyta is a Common Pokémon card from Aquapolis (#102), illustrated by Shin-ichi Yoshida. It's a Basic Fire-type Pokémon with 40 HP, weak to Water ×2. Its current blended market value is $8.42 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $180 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 21× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $33.00 | #57470805 ✓ |
| 27 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $172.50 | #120974254 ✓ |
| 17 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $179.53 | #99502009 ✓ |
| 15 Apr 2026 | PSA 10 | $182.50 | #77469199 ✓ |
| 18 Mar 2026 | PSA 9 | $40.00 | #145992849 ✓ |
| 23 Feb 2026 | PSA 7 | $61.00 | #77096955 ✓ |
| 31 Jan 2026 | PSA 10 | $170.00 | #120974256 ✓ |
| 30 Jan 2026 | PSA 10 | $85.00 | #68037433 ✓ |
| 18 Oct 2025 | PSA 10 | $70.65 | #27937377 ✓ |
| 24 Mar 2025 | PSA 8 | $13.20 | #97256433 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 43.4% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$99); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Ponyta is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $179.53 | $72 | +$99 | 21.3× |
| PSA 9 | $39.90 | $70 | −$39 | 4.7× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 83 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 43.4% | $180.00 |
| PSA 9 | 39.8% | $40.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 16.9% | $8.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 43% of 83 PSA-graded Ponyta copies are a gem-mint 10 (36 of 83) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Ponyta 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 36 | $180$153–$206 | |
| PSA 9pop 33 | $40$25–$40 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
7% spreadCurrently 7% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Discard a Fire Energy card attached to Ponyta.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Ponyta cards
There are 9 different Ponyta printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Aquapolis #102 (Common).
More from Aquapolis
Frequently asked questions
How much is Ponyta (Aquapolis #102) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Ponyta from Aquapolis is worth approximately $8.42 ungraded (near-mint), and around $180 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Ponyta?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Ponyta from Aquapolis is worth around $180 — roughly 21× the raw ungraded value of $8.42.
Should I grade my Ponyta?
A PSA 10 sells for about $180 versus $8.42 raw — roughly a 21× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Ponyta rare?
Ponyta is a Common card from Aquapolis (card #102), illustrated by Shin-ichi Yoshida. Its current blended market value is $8.42 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Ponyta (Aquapolis #102) — Pokémon market value $8.42, PSA 10 $179.53. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/aquapolis/ponyta-102<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=ecard2-102" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Ponyta price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>