Market value · Near Mint · Normal
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for Arceus #46/99, 2009. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
Everything except the illustration window is foiled — the mirror image of a normal holo, where only the picture shines.
No foil anywhere — the non-holo printing.
What's your copy worth?
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Ponyta is a Uncommon Pokémon card from Arceus (#46, released 2009), illustrated by Kanako Eo. It's a Basic Fire-type Pokémon with 40 HP, weak to Water +10. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 14 September 2026.
Ponyta price history & recent sales
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
Medium confidence6 sales in 90 days — enough for a guide, not a guarantee. · Moderate — Occasional sales
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
By grade
- Raw$2.337 sales · 6 in 90d, occasional
- CGC 9$8.001 sale · 1 in 90d, rare
Is Ponyta worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 9 — worth $24 against the $71 you put in, a $47 loss. The money is in the 1 in 1 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $24–$61. Averaged over every outcome that is −$38 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Ponyta is a Uncommoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $60.80 | $71 | −$11 | 42.2× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 11 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 36.4% | $60.80 |
| PSA 9 — typical | 45.5% | $24.00 |
| PSA 8 | 18.2% | $1.44 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
4 of the 11 PSA-graded Ponyta copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 36%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 11.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 45.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Ponyta 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
PONYTA 46/99 UNCOMMON ARCEUS POKEMON MPRaw · eBay$0.99
Pokemon TCG Ponyta (46) Uncommon Arceus 46/99Raw · eBay$1.00
Ponyta 46/99 Uncommon Arceus Pokemon Heavily PlayedRaw · eBay$1.00
Pokemon TCG Ponyta Arceus 46/99Raw · eBay$1.00
Arceus #46/99 Ponyta (46)Raw · eBay$1.25
Arceus Ponyta (46) 46/99 LPRaw · eBay$1.40Cheapest raw copy $1.00 — 31% below our near-mint estimate of $1
Buying this card on eBay? The free CardTrack extension shows our value and a deal verdict right on the listing. Add to Chrome →
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 4 | modelled$61$61–$61 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately
Price by variant
TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
22% spreadCurrently 22% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Search your deck for a card that evolves from Ponyta and put it onto Ponyta. (This counts as evolving Ponyta.) Shuffle your deck afterward.
“As a newborn, it can barely stand. However, through galloping, its legs are made tougher and faster.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Ponyta cards
There are 26 different Ponyta printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Arceus #46 (Uncommon). The most valuable 7 are below.
More from Arceus
Frequently asked questions
How much is Ponyta (Arceus #46) worth?
As of 14 September 2026, Ponyta from Arceus is worth approximately $1.44 ungraded (near-mint), and around $61 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Ponyta?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Ponyta from Arceus is worth around $61 — roughly 42× the raw ungraded value of $1.44.
Should I grade my Ponyta?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Ponyta rare?
Ponyta is a Uncommon card from Arceus (card #46).
How do I know if my Ponyta is Reverse Holo?
The card body, not the picture: Everything except the illustration window is foiled — the mirror image of a normal holo, where only the picture shines.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Ponyta (Arceus #46) — Pokémon market value $1.44, PSA 10 $60.80. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/arceus/ponyta-46<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=pl4-46" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Ponyta price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>