Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Low confidenceOnly 1 sale in the last 90 days.
Recent CGC 9 sales
From 3 completed sales recorded between Feb 23, 2026 and Jun 8, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 3 graded sales and 1,305,862 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Ponyta is a Uncommon Pokémon card from Arceus (#46), illustrated by Kanako Eo. It's a Basic Fire-type Pokémon with 40 HP, weak to Water +10. Its current blended market value is $1.25 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $61 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 49× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Recent sold prices
No recent sold listings tracked.
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 36.4% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$11); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Ponyta is a Uncommoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $60.69 | $71 | −$11 | 48.6× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 11 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 36.4% | $61.00 |
| PSA 9 | 45.5% | $24.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 18.2% | $1.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 36% of 11 PSA-graded Ponyta copies are a gem-mint 10 (4 of 11) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Ponyta 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 4 | $61$61–$61 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
53% spreadCurrently 53% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Search your deck for a card that evolves from Ponyta and put it onto Ponyta. (This counts as evolving Ponyta.) Shuffle your deck afterward.
“As a newborn, it can barely stand. However, through galloping, its legs are made tougher and faster.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Ponyta cards
There are 9 different Ponyta printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Arceus #46 (Uncommon).
More from Arceus
Frequently asked questions
How much is Ponyta (Arceus #46) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Ponyta from Arceus is worth approximately $1.25 ungraded (near-mint), and around $61 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Ponyta?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Ponyta from Arceus is worth around $61 — roughly 49× the raw ungraded value of $1.25.
Should I grade my Ponyta?
A PSA 10 sells for about $61 versus $1.25 raw — roughly a 49× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Ponyta rare?
Ponyta is a Uncommon card from Arceus (card #46), illustrated by Kanako Eo. Its current blended market value is $1.25 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Ponyta (Arceus #46) — Pokémon market value $1.25, PSA 10 $60.69. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/arceus/ponyta-46<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=pl4-46" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Ponyta price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>