Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence33 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.
What each version actually sells for
Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Bagon (Shiny) Arceus SH10 Reverse Holo Shiny Holo Rare HP50 EN$125
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — 🐉✨ POKÉMON TCG BAGON SH10 REVERSE HOLO 🌟 SUPREME VICTORS 2009 ENGLISH 🔥$85.00
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Bagon (Shiny) SH10 Pokemon TCG English Reverse Holo - Arceus (AR) 2009$80.00
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Bagon (Shiny) Arceus SH10 Reverse Holo Shiny Holo Rare HP50 EN$125
- Aug 10, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Bagon sh10 2009 Reverse Holo LP+ CardLP$120
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Bagon Arceus SH10 REVERSE Holo Rare$169
- Aug 8, 2026eBay — Pokemon Bagon (Shiny) Arceus SH10 Reverse Holo Shiny Holo Rare English 50$80.00
- Jul 27, 2026eBay — Bagon (Shiny) SH10 Arceus Reverse Holo Pokémon TCG$105
By grade
- Raw$89.9537 sales
- PSA 8$2975 sales
- PSA 9$1,7572 sales
- PSA 6$1402 sales
- CGC 8$1732 sales
- CGC 9$2991 sale
- CGC 8.5$1951 sale
From 50 completed sales recorded between May 4, 2026 and Aug 16, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 13 graded sales and 1,306,223 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Bagon is a Rare Pokémon card from Arceus (#SH10), illustrated by Naoyo Kimura. It's a Basic Colorless-type Pokémon with 50 HP, weak to Colorless +10. Its current blended market value is $90.17 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $1,030 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 11× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history11 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed sale prices from Fanatics Collect — weekly and premier auctions plus marketplace Buy It Now sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title.
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 3% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$825); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Bagon is a Rare in Arceus — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 67% of the time, split across 32 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 48 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $1,030.00 | $115 | +$825 | 11.4× |
| PSA 9 | $1,004.00 | $115 | +$799 | 11.1× |
| PSA 8 | $297.00 | $73 | +$134 | 3.3× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 362 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 3% | $1,030.00 |
| PSA 9 | 16.9% | $1,004.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 80.1% | $90.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 3% of 362 PSA-graded Bagon copies are a gem-mint 10 (11 of 362) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Bagon 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 11 | $1,030$1,030–$1,030 | |
| PSA 9pop 61 | ✓ 5 cert-verified$1,004$299–$1,004 | |
| PSA 8pop 114 | ✓ 11 cert-verified$297$189–$297 | |
| PSA 6pop 60 | ✓ 5 cert-verified$104$104–$179 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 6 slab of this card sells for about $100 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
2% spreadCurrently 2% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
As long as Bagon has any Energy attached to it, Bagon has no Weakness.
Flip 2 coins. If either of them is tails, this attack does nothing.
“Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Bagon cards
There are 9 different Bagon printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Arceus #SH10 (Rare).
More from Arceus
Frequently asked questions
How much is Bagon (Arceus #SH10) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Bagon from Arceus is worth approximately $90.17 ungraded (near-mint), and around $1,030 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Bagon?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Bagon from Arceus is worth around $1,030 — roughly 11× the raw ungraded value of $90.17.
Should I grade my Bagon?
A PSA 10 sells for about $1,030 versus $90.17 raw — roughly a 11× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Bagon rare?
Bagon is a Rare card from Arceus (card #SH10), illustrated by Naoyo Kimura. Its current blended market value is $90.17 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Bagon (Arceus #SH10) — Pokémon market value $90.17, PSA 10 $1030.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/arceus/bagon-sh10<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=pl4-SH10" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Bagon price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>