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Check your printing9 different Arceus printings exist — is this your card? Arceus #AR4
Arceus Arceus #AR4 Pokémon card
Rare

Arceus

Arceus · AR4/AR99 · Illustrated by Kouki Saitou
90 HPWaterPokémonBasic

Market value · ungraded

$51.44 51.3% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Sales · 90 days12
Last sale$44 Raw · 26 Jun 2026
Range$35$52
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. eBay + TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$51.44

What this price is based on

Medium confidence

115 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.

Median · Raw$30.00129 sales
Trimmed mean$31.13outliers removed
Range$5.00$120lowest to highest sale
Sales rate28.8/mo174 recorded

What each version actually sells for

PrintingNear MintLightly PlayedModerately Played
Common$31.00 75 sales$25.30 18 sales

Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.

Recent Raw sales

  • Aug 14, 2026eBay — Arceus AR4 Arceus Holo Pokémon TCG$35.00
  • Aug 14, 2026eBay — Pokémon Arceus AR4 Holo Rare LV. 100 2009 Platinum HP90$17.30
  • Aug 13, 2026eBay — 2009 Pokemon Platinum Arceus AR4 Arceus Holo LPLP$35.00
  • Aug 12, 2026eBay — 2009 Arceus DMG Holo Rare Water AR4 LV. 100 Platinum Mid-Era Pokemon TCGDM$18.99
  • Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Arceus AR4 Arceus Holo Rare ENG 2009 90HP Fastwave 50 MPMP$25.99
  • Aug 11, 2026eBay — Arceus AR4 Holo Rare Arceus Pokemon Card$59.99
  • Aug 10, 2026eBay — Arceus Lv.100 - AR4 - Holo Rare - Pokemon TCG - Platinum Arceus 2009$39.00
  • Aug 10, 2026eBay — Pokemon Company Arceus AR4 Holo Rare HP90 Basic Arceus Set English$24.50

By grade

  • Raw$30.00129 sales
  • PSA 7$74.958 sales
  • PSA 9$4057 sales
  • CGC 9$1255 sales
  • PSA 8$3334 sales
  • PSA 6$62.504 sales
  • PSA 10$10,0003 sales
  • CGC 8.5$50.003 sales

From 174 completed sales recorded between Sep 8, 2025 and Aug 14, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.

Grade it or not

GRADE IT

Based on 45 graded sales and 1,306,393 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)PSA 10 price pagePSA 9 price page

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Arceus is a Rare Pokémon card from Arceus (#AR4), illustrated by Kouki Saitou. It's a Basic Water-type Pokémon with 90 HP, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $51.44 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $3,787 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 74× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.

Price history · Raw

23 May 202620 Aug 2026
Latest
$51.44
Period high
$52.17
Period low
$49.82
Change
3.2%
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Verified sales history22 in 90 daysreal completed listings

Last sold
$44
Raw · 26 Jun 2026
Typical Raw
$23
Sales · last 90 days
12
How often it sells
Rarely sells
daily · 0 in last 30 days

Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.

DateGradePriceCert
13 Aug 2026PSA 9$550.00#68569813
10 Aug 2026PSA 10$3,960.00#67501266
9 Aug 2026PSA 7$110.00#122992801
30 Jul 2026PSA 9$127.50#53357329
26 Jul 2026PSA 1$99.00#157704059
20 Jul 2026PSA 8$315.00#98562874
16 Jul 2026PSA 8$67.40#89406091
8 Jul 2026PSA 6$55.00#158818996
6 Jul 2026PSA 10$6,000.00#46875091
6 Jul 2026PSA 8.5$305.00#147101700

Demand & liquidity

Thin · Rarely sellsDemand 46/100
Sales · 30d0
Sales · 90d12
Price momentum+51%
Hype🔥 Heating
Raw
$23
RawNM
$21

Last sold $44 · Raw · 26 Jun 2026

Should you grade it?

+$62

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 5.5% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$3,503); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)5.5%
Expected return+$62
PSA 10 best case+$3,503
Break-evenPSA 9+
VerdictWorth grading

The odds

Arceus is a Rare in Arceus — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 67% of the time, split across 32 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 48 packs.

Rare67%32 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)5.5%29 of 531
PSA 928.4%151 of 531
PSA graded so far531
Gem Mint 1029
Total graded531

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$3,787.10$233+$3,50373.6×
PSA 9$370.00$74+$2457.2×
PSA 8$110.00$71$132.1×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 531 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 105.5%$3,787.00
PSA 928.4%$370.00
PSA ≤866.1%$51.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 5% of 531 PSA-graded Arceus copies are a gem-mint 10 (29 of 531) — the rest grade lower.

PSA531 gradedPSA 10 · 29 · 5% gem
1029
9151
8.53
8158
7.51
788
652
533
48
32
22
14
CGC191 gradedCGC 10 · 10 · 5% gem
1010
9.53
944
8.555
827

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Arceus 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.

All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$50.12
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 29$3,787$3,219$4,355
PSA 9pop 151✓ 14 cert-verified$370$239$370
PSA 8pop 158✓ 26 cert-verified$110$55$110
PSA 7pop 88✓ 19 cert-verified$70
PSA 6pop 52✓ 7 cert-verified$55$35$55
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$51.44
LPLightly Played$32.03real sales: $50 n2
MPModerately Played$21.33
HPHeavily Played$12.96real sales: $14 n2
DMGDamaged$11.45
7-day 0.4%
30-day 0.6%
90-day 6.4%
All-time high$52
All-time low$26
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost

For context: a graded PSA 6 slab of this card sells for about $70 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.

Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

50% spread
PriceCharting · cheapest$35
TCGplayer · dearest$52

Currently 50% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dRising +51%
Volatility · 90dStable ±1%
Cross-marketMarkets disagree 50% gap
90d low $50near its high$52 high

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🔥 Trending in the community

#85 on the radar
Mentions this week2

Arceus is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →

What people are saying: Pokemon Center Queue is up! · 27↑

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Fastwave50
Water · Colorless · Colorless

This attack's damage isn't affected by Resistance, Poké-Powers, Poké-Bodies, or any other effects on the Defending Pokémon.

Weakness Lightning ×2Retreat 2

You may have as many of this card in your deck as you like.

It is told in mythology that this Pokémon was born before the universe even existed.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Alpha PokémonGEN IVMythical

It is said to have emerged from an egg in a place where there was nothing, then shaped the world.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#AR4
RarityRare
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesBasic
TypeWater
HP90
WeaknessLightning ×2
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#493
Card IDpl4-AR4
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Arceus cards

There are 9 different Arceus printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Arceus #AR4 (Rare).

More from Arceus

Frequently asked questions

How much is Arceus (Arceus #AR4) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Arceus from Arceus is worth approximately $51.44 ungraded (near-mint), and around $3,787 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Arceus?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Arceus from Arceus is worth around $3,787 — roughly 74× the raw ungraded value of $51.44.

Should I grade my Arceus?

A PSA 10 sells for about $3,787 versus $51.44 raw — roughly a 74× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Arceus rare?

Arceus is a Rare card from Arceus (card #AR4), illustrated by Kouki Saitou. Its current blended market value is $51.44 ungraded.

Cite & embed this card

Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Arceus (Arceus #AR4) — Pokémon market value $51.44, PSA 10 $3787.10. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/arceus/arceus-ar4
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<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=pl4-AR4" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Arceus price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>