Greninja40/122 · BREAKpoint Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
Typical copy sold $6 20 sales, all conditions
- PSA 8$273pop 17
- PSA 9$3392 sold · 90d · pop 16
- PSA 10$1,150pop 9
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence20 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 18, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Greninja Card 40/122 Cracked Ice Holo Promo Breakpoint 2016 HP$2.29
- Aug 17, 2026eBay — Greninja 40/122 CRACKED ICE HOLO Rare BREAKpoint Pokemon HPHP$3.18
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — 2016 Pokemon XY - BREAKpoint Greninja CRACKED ICE #40/122$10.00
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Greninja 40/122 XY Breakpoint Cracked Ice Holo$10.00
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Greninja SHATTERED HOLO Cracked Ice PROMO card 40/122 XY Breakpoint 2016 Pokemon$9.88
- Aug 5, 2026eBay — Greninja 40/122 Pokemon TCG Breakpoint Cracked Ice Holo Rare 40/122 LPLP$5.50
- Jul 27, 2026eBay — Greninja (Cracked Ice Theme Deck) Holo Pokémon XY Breakpoint #40$2.67
- Jul 21, 2026eBay — Greninja 40/122 CRACKED ICE HOLO Rare BREAKpoint Pokemon HPHP$2.99
By grade
- Raw$5.5021 sales
- PSA 9$1464 sales
- Lot$7.202 sales
- PSA 5$8.501 sale
- PSA 10$6991 sale
- CGC 8$27.601 sale
- CGC 7.5$1381 sale
- CGC 7$31.201 sale
From 35 completed sales recorded between Feb 4, 2026 and Aug 26, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 12 graded sales and 1,305,862 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Greninja is a Rare Pokémon card from BREAKpoint (#40, released 2016), illustrated by Naoki Saito. It's a Stage 2 Water-type Pokémon with 130 HP, evolving from Frogadier, weak to Grass ×2. Its current blended market value is $12.25 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $1,150 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 94× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 5 September 2026.
Greninja price history & recent sales
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history36 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
Demand & liquidity
Last sold $37 · PSA 9 · 26 Aug 2026
How often each grade sells · last 90 days, all marketplaces
Is Greninja worth grading?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 7.8% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$1,026); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Greninja is a Rare in BREAKpoint — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 21 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 35 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $1,149.50 | $111 | +$1,026 | 93.8× |
| PSA 9 | $338.91 | $73 | +$253 | 27.7× |
| PSA 8 | $273.00 | $73 | +$188 | 22.3× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 64 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 7.8% | $1,150.00 |
| PSA 9 | 21.9% | $339.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 70.3% | $105.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
Only 15% of 61 PSA-graded Greninja copies are a gem-mint 10 (9 of 61) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Greninja 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 9 | $1,150$977–$1,322 | |
| PSA 9pop 162 · 90d | $339$288–$390 | |
| PSA 8pop 17 | $273$232–$314 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately
Price by variant
TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
🔥 Trending in the community
#24 on the radarGreninja is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “First ever ETB box opening” · 1776↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Frogadier.
Until the end of your opponent's next turn, each Pokémon your opponent has in play, in his or her hand, and in his or her discard pile has no Abilities. (This includes cards that come into play on that turn.)
You may return a Water Energy from this Pokémon to your hand. If you do, this attack does 20 more damage.
“It appears and vanishes with a ninja's grace. It toys with its enemies using swift movements, while slicing them with throwing stars of sharpest water.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Greninja cards
There are 8 different Greninja printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is BREAKpoint #40 (Rare).
More from BREAKpoint
Frequently asked questions
How much is Greninja (BREAKpoint #40) worth?
As of 5 September 2026, Greninja from BREAKpoint is worth approximately $12.25 ungraded (near-mint), and around $1,150 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Greninja?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Greninja from BREAKpoint is worth around $1,150 — roughly 94× the raw ungraded value of $12.25.
Should I grade my Greninja?
A PSA 10 sells for about $1,150 versus $12.25 raw — roughly a 94× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Greninja rare?
Greninja is a Rare card from BREAKpoint (card #40), illustrated by Naoki Saito. Its current blended market value is $12.25 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Greninja (BREAKpoint #40) — Pokémon market value $12.25, PSA 10 $1149.50. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/breakpoint/greninja-40<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xy9-40" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Greninja price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>