What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence19 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.
What each version actually sells for
Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 17, 2026eBay — Greninja 40/122 CRACKED ICE HOLO Rare BREAKpoint Pokemon HPHP$3.18
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — 2016 Pokemon XY - BREAKpoint Greninja CRACKED ICE #40/122$10.00
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Greninja 40/122 XY Breakpoint Cracked Ice Holo$10.00
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Greninja SHATTERED HOLO Cracked Ice PROMO card 40/122 XY Breakpoint 2016 Pokemon$9.88
- Aug 5, 2026eBay — Greninja 40/122 Pokemon TCG Breakpoint Cracked Ice Holo Rare 40/122 LPLP$5.50
- Jul 27, 2026eBay — Greninja (Cracked Ice Theme Deck) Holo Pokémon XY Breakpoint #40$2.67
- Jul 21, 2026eBay — Greninja 40/122 CRACKED ICE HOLO Rare BREAKpoint Pokemon HPHP$2.99
- Jul 21, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Greninja Card 40/122 Cracked Ice Holo Promo Breakpoint 2016 NMNM$11.99
By grade
- Raw$6.4720 sales
- PSA 8$50.003 sales
- PSA 9$1622 sales
- PSA 10$1,1502 sales
- Lot$6.002 sales
- CGC 8.5$22.302 sales
- PSA 7$25.001 sale
- PSA 5$8.501 sale
From 39 completed sales recorded between Feb 4, 2026 and Aug 17, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
Not enough graded evidence yet — 17 graded sales recorded.
Buy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Greninja is a Rare Pokémon card from BREAKpoint (#40), illustrated by Naoki Saito. It's a Stage 2 Water-type Pokémon with 130 HP, evolving from Frogadier, weak to Grass ×2. Its current blended market value is $6.18 ungraded. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 21 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | PSA 9 | $145.00 | #57268938 ✓ |
| 4 Mar 2026 | PSA 8 | $40.00 | #119755590 ✓ |
| 18 Nov 2025 | PSA 10 | $900.00 | #55381564 ✓ |
| 8 Sep 2025 | PSA 10 | $795.00 | #121782591 ✓ |
| 28 Aug 2025 | PSA 9 | $85.00 | #112984726 ✓ |
| 13 Apr 2025 | PSA 8 | $24.87 | #100428784 ✓ |
| 27 Feb 2025 | PSA 8 | $27.00 | #102334836 ✓ |
| 20 Dec 2021 | PSA 9 | $34.00 | #54013852 ✓ |
| 27 Feb 2021 | PSA 9 | $66.00 | #43930584 ✓ |
| 30 Dec 2020 | PSA 9 | $81.00 | #40844185 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Raw $6.18 → graded PSA 8 ≈ $48.00, after ~$70.47 grading fee → 7.8× the raw value.
The odds
Greninja is a Rare in BREAKpoint — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 21 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 35 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 8 | $48.00 | $70 | −$29 | 7.8× |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Real outcome depends on the grade achieved; PSA 10 is best-case.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 8% of 64 PSA-graded Greninja copies are a gem-mint 10 (5 of 64) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Greninja 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
No PSA 9 or PSA 10 price yet — too few verified gem-grade sales to price the top grades reliably. They'll appear here once enough real sold results back them.
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 8pop 16 | $48$41–$55 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately
Price by variant
TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
178% spreadCurrently 178% cheaper on TCGplayer than Cardmarket. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
🔥 Trending in the community
#8 on the radarGreninja is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Sword & Shield Interest Waining?” · 134↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Frogadier.
Until the end of your opponent's next turn, each Pokémon your opponent has in play, in his or her hand, and in his or her discard pile has no Abilities. (This includes cards that come into play on that turn.)
You may return a Water Energy from this Pokémon to your hand. If you do, this attack does 20 more damage.
“It appears and vanishes with a ninja's grace. It toys with its enemies using swift movements, while slicing them with throwing stars of sharpest water.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Greninja cards
There are 8 different Greninja printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is BREAKpoint #40 (Rare).
More from BREAKpoint
Frequently asked questions
How much is Greninja (BREAKpoint #40) worth?
As of 21 August 2026, Greninja from BREAKpoint is worth approximately $6.18 ungraded (near-mint). Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
Is Greninja rare?
Greninja is a Rare card from BREAKpoint (card #40), illustrated by Naoki Saito. Its current blended market value is $6.18 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Greninja (BREAKpoint #40) — Pokémon market value $6.18. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/breakpoint/greninja-40<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xy9-40" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Greninja price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>