Greninja
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence57 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.
What each version actually sells for
Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Greninja XY162 Holo Black Star Promo Pokemon Card 2016 LP Ninja RareLP$8.99
- Aug 10, 2026eBay — Greninja XY162 Holo Black Star Promo Card 2016 Pokemon XY Promo Card MPMP$10.00
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — POKEMON GRENINJA XY162 HOLO BLACK STAR PROMO HP-DMGDM$4.99
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — 2016 Pokemon XY Black Star Promo Greninja XY162 Cosmos Holo - LPLP$10.00
- Aug 8, 2026eBay — Greninja XY162 - XY Black Star - Promo Holo Pokemon Card - NMNM$6.69
- Aug 6, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Greninja XY162 Black Star Promo Cosmos Holo 2016 LP/MP HD SWIRL!!MP$29.99
- Aug 3, 2026eBay — CGC Blue Label 8.5 Greninja 2016 Pokemon Black Star Promo XY162 Holo$42.50
- Aug 3, 2026eBay — Pokemon Card Greninja XY162 Black Star Promo Holo Near MintNM$16.19
By grade
- Raw$7.0063 sales
- PSA 9$4991 sale
- PSA 8$56.001 sale
- PSA 6$39.991 sale
- PSA 5$35.001 sale
From 67 completed sales recorded between Jan 25, 2026 and Aug 12, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 4 graded sales and 1,305,862 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Greninja is a Promo Pokémon card from XY Black Star Promos (#XY162), illustrated by Sanosuke Sakuma. It's a Stage 2 Water-type Pokémon with 130 HP, evolving from Frogadier, weak to Grass ×2. Its current blended market value is $18.98 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $97 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 5× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 | PSA 6 | $39.99 | #74479561 ✓ |
| 24 Jun 2026 | PSA 8 | $56.00 | #127998410 ✓ |
| 8 Jun 2026 | PSA 5 | $30.00 | #112642392 ✓ |
| 21 May 2026 | PSA 6 | $22.00 | #146175871 ✓ |
| 29 Apr 2026 | PSA 6 | $13.50 | #56105455 ✓ |
| 28 Apr 2026 | PSA 9 | $80.00 | #68816683 ✓ |
| 17 Apr 2026 | PSA 8 | $50.00 | #94847408 ✓ |
| 10 Apr 2026 | PSA 8 | $39.99 | #56330344 ✓ |
| 9 Apr 2026 | PSA 8 | $45.00 | #146746580 ✓ |
| 23 Mar 2026 | PSA 8 | $50.00 | #59992821 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 4.3% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$7); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Greninja is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $97.35 | $71 | +$7 | 5.1× |
| PSA 8 | $45.80 | $70 | −$44 | 2.4× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 117 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 4.3% | $97.00 |
| PSA 9 | 29.1% | $39.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 66.7% | $19.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 4% of 117 PSA-graded Greninja copies are a gem-mint 10 (5 of 117) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Greninja 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 5 | $97$97–$97 | |
| PSA 8pop 37 | $46$39–$53 | |
| PSA 6pop 9 | $22$14–$22 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 6 slab of this card sells for about $22 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
111% spreadCurrently 111% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#9 on the radarGreninja is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “30TH ANNIVERSARY LIKELY TONIGHT ON TARGET Midnight pst , 3am EST” · 141↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Frogadier.
This attack does 20 damage to each of your opponent's Pokémon. (Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for Benched Pokémon.)
Flip 2 coins. This attack does 60 damage times the number of heads.
“It appears and vanishes with a ninja's grace. It toys with its enemies using swift movements, while slicing them with throwing stars of sharpest water.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Greninja cards
There are 8 different Greninja printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is XY Black Star Promos #XY162 (Promo).
More from XY Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Greninja (XY Black Star Promos #XY162) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Greninja from XY Black Star Promos is worth approximately $18.98 ungraded (near-mint), and around $97 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Greninja?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Greninja from XY Black Star Promos is worth around $97 — roughly 5× the raw ungraded value of $18.98.
Should I grade my Greninja?
A PSA 10 sells for about $97 versus $18.98 raw — roughly a 5× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Greninja rare?
Greninja is a Promo card from XY Black Star Promos (card #XY162), illustrated by Sanosuke Sakuma. Its current blended market value is $18.98 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Greninja (XY Black Star Promos #XY162) — Pokémon market value $18.98, PSA 10 $97.35. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy-black-star-promos/greninja-xy162<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xyp-XY162" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Greninja price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>