Market value · ungraded
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NOT WORTH ITBased on 0 graded sales and 1,305,862 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Smeargle is a Rare Pokémon card from BREAKthrough (#123), illustrated by Yukiko Baba. It's a Basic Colorless-type Pokémon with 70 HP, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $0.40 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $22 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 55× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Recent sold prices
No recent sold listings tracked.
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 0% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$49); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Smeargle is a Rare in BREAKthrough — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 27 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 45 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $22.00 | $70 | −$49 | 55.0× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 36 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 0% | $22.00 |
| PSA 9 | 33.3% | $9.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 66.7% | $0.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 43% of 7 PSA-graded Smeargle copies are a gem-mint 10 (3 of 7) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Smeargle 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 3 | $22$22–$22 | |
| PSA 7pop 1 | $11$11–$11 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#100 on the radarSmeargle is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Beautiful NM smeargle!!” · 97↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Once during your turn (before your attack), you may switch a basic Energy card attached to your Active Pokémon with a different type of basic Energy card from your discard pile.
“Once it becomes an adult, it has a tendency to let its comrades plant footprints on its back.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
A special fluid oozes from the tip of its tail. It paints the fluid everywhere to mark its territory.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Smeargle cards
There are 9 different Smeargle printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is BREAKthrough #123 (Rare).
More from BREAKthrough
Frequently asked questions
How much is Smeargle (BREAKthrough #123) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Smeargle from BREAKthrough is worth approximately $0.40 ungraded (near-mint), and around $22 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Smeargle?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Smeargle from BREAKthrough is worth around $22 — roughly 55× the raw ungraded value of $0.40.
Should I grade my Smeargle?
A PSA 10 sells for about $22 versus $0.40 raw — roughly a 55× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Smeargle rare?
Smeargle is a Rare card from BREAKthrough (card #123), illustrated by Yukiko Baba. Its current blended market value is $0.40 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Smeargle (BREAKthrough #123) — Pokémon market value $0.40, PSA 10 $22.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/breakthrough/smeargle-123<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xy8-123" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Smeargle price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>