Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence53 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.
What each version actually sells for
Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 17, 2026eBay — Pokémon Smeargle 157/214 SM Lost Thunder Rare Regular 80HP English Card$6.99
- Aug 17, 2026eBay — Smeargle 157/214 Rare - Lost Thunder - LP+ - FAST SHIPLP$6.79
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — Smeargle 157/214 Rare Lost Thunder Pokemon LPLP$7.49
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — 2018 Pokemon Sun & Moon Lost Thunder Smeargle #157/214$4.25
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — 2018 Pokemon Sun & Moon Lost Thunder Smeargle #157/214$1.80
- Aug 8, 2026eBay — Smeargle 157/214 Lost Thunder Pokemon Near MintNM$10.00
- Aug 8, 2026eBay — Smeargle 157/214 R Lost Thunder Pokemon Moderately PlayedMP$4.32
- Aug 8, 2026eBay — Pokémon Tcg Smeargle Lost Thunder 157/214 – Rare – Sun & Moon$8.79
From 57 completed sales recorded between May 17, 2026 and Aug 17, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 0 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Smeargle is a Rare Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#157), illustrated by Ken Sugimori. It's a Basic Colorless-type Pokémon with 80 HP, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $8.03 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $74 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 9× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Recent sold prices
No recent sold listings tracked.
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 0% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$5); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Smeargle is a Rare in Lost Thunder — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 38 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 64 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $74.05 | $71 | −$5 | 9.2× |
| PSA 9 | $12.00 | $70 | −$66 | 1.5× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 13 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 0% | $74.00 |
| PSA 9 | 30.8% | $12.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 69.2% | $8.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 0% of 13 PSA-graded Smeargle copies are a gem-mint 10 (0 of 13) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Smeargle 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $74$63–$85 | |
| PSA 9pop 4 | $12$10–$14 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
25% spreadCurrently 25% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#100 on the radarSmeargle is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Beautiful NM smeargle!!” · 97↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Your opponent reveals their hand. You may use the effect of a Supporter card you find there as the effect of this attack.
Flip a coin. If tails, this attack does nothing.
“It draws symbols all over the place to mark its territory. In towns with many Smeargle, the walls are covered in graffiti.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
A special fluid oozes from the tip of its tail. It paints the fluid everywhere to mark its territory.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Smeargle cards
There are 9 different Smeargle printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Thunder #157 (Rare).
More from Lost Thunder
Frequently asked questions
How much is Smeargle (Lost Thunder #157) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Smeargle from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $8.03 ungraded (near-mint), and around $74 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Smeargle?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Smeargle from Lost Thunder is worth around $74 — roughly 9× the raw ungraded value of $8.03.
Should I grade my Smeargle?
A PSA 10 sells for about $74 versus $8.03 raw — roughly a 9× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Smeargle rare?
Smeargle is a Rare card from Lost Thunder (card #157), illustrated by Ken Sugimori. Its current blended market value is $8.03 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Smeargle (Lost Thunder #157) — Pokémon market value $8.03, PSA 10 $74.05. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/smeargle-157<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm8-157" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Smeargle price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>