Mega Greninja ex
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence138 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Mega Greninja Ex 100/86 Chaos Rising Pokemon Card$12.00
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon Mega Greninja ex - Holo Ultra Rare ME04: Chaos Rising 100/086 NMNM$13.50
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon Mega Greninja ex - 100/086 - Chaos Rising - Holofoil NMNM$12.80
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon - Mega Greninja ex - 100/086 - ME04: Chaos Rising - Holo - Ultra Rare$17.46
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — MEGA GRENINJA EX 100/086 ULTRA RARE ME04: CHAOS RISING POKEMON NEAR MINTNM$12.00
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Pokémon Mega Greninja ex Chaos Rising 100/086$13.50
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Mega Greninja Ex 100/086 Chaos Rising Ultra Rare$12.00
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Mega Greninja ex 100/086 Ultra Rare Chaos Rising Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$12.99
By grade
- Raw$14.00138 sales
- CGC 10$36.6020 sales
- PSA 10$21910 sales
- PSA 9$59.484 sales
- CGC 9$12.003 sales
- CGC 8.5$21.601 sale
- AGS 9.5$26.001 sale
From 177 completed sales recorded between May 30, 2026 and Aug 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 39 graded sales and 5,110,777 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Mega Greninja ex is a Ultra Rare Pokémon card from Chaos Rising (#100), illustrated by takuyoa. It's a Stage 2 MEGA ex Water-type Pokémon with 350 HP, evolving from Frogadier, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $13.32 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $185 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 14× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $59.00 | #164957949 ✓ |
| 15 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $212.50 | #164594103 ✓ |
| 15 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $146.00 | #164957952 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $39.99 | #163725916 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $185.00 | #165272751 ✓ |
| 10 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $41.90 | #162348837 ✓ |
| 7 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $59.95 | #162640868 ✓ |
| 7 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $200.00 | #162463066 ✓ |
| 6 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $75.00 | #164384788 ✓ |
| 6 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $143.13 | #162614276 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 41.2% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$100); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Mega Greninja ex is a Ultra Rare in Chaos Rising — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 29 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 291 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $185.00 | $72 | +$100 | 13.9× |
| PSA 9 | $59.00 | $71 | −$25 | 4.4× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 17 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 41.2% | $185.00 |
| PSA 9 | 47.1% | $59.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 11.8% | $13.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 41% of 17 PSA-graded Mega Greninja ex copies are a gem-mint 10 (7 of 17) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Mega Greninja ex 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 7 | ✓ 17 cert-verified$185 | |
| PSA 9pop 8 | ✓ 7 cert-verified$59 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
29% spreadCurrently 29% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#9 on the radarGreninja is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “30TH ANNIVERSARY LIKELY TONIGHT ON TARGET Midnight pst , 3am EST” · 141↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Frogadier.
Once during your turn, if this Pokémon is in the Active Spot, you may discard a Basic Water Energy card from your hand in order to use this Ability. Place 6 damage counters on 1 of your opponent's Pokémon.
You may put a Water Energy attached to this Pokémon into your hand and have this attack do 80 more damage.
Mega Evolution ex Rule: When your Mega Evolution Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 3 Prize cards.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Mega Greninja ex cards
There are 4 different Mega Greninja ex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Chaos Rising #100 (Ultra Rare).
More from Chaos Rising
Frequently asked questions
How much is Mega Greninja ex (Chaos Rising #100) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Mega Greninja ex from Chaos Rising is worth approximately $13.32 ungraded (near-mint), and around $185 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Mega Greninja ex?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Mega Greninja ex from Chaos Rising is worth around $185 — roughly 14× the raw ungraded value of $13.32.
Should I grade my Mega Greninja ex?
A PSA 10 sells for about $185 versus $13.32 raw — roughly a 14× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Mega Greninja ex rare?
Mega Greninja ex is a Ultra Rare card from Chaos Rising (card #100), illustrated by takuyoa. Its current blended market value is $13.32 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Mega Greninja ex (Chaos Rising #100) — Pokémon market value $13.32, PSA 10 $185.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/chaos-rising/mega-greninja-ex-100<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=me4-100" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Mega Greninja ex price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>