Mega Greninja ex
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence195 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon Mega Greninja EX Gold Mega Hyper Rare Chaos Rising 122/086$180
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Chaos Rising Mega Greninja Ex Mega Hyper Rare 122/086 English GOLD$175
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Gold Mega Greninja EX 122/086 Chaos Rising$199
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Chaos Rising Mega Greninja Ex Hyper Rare 122/086$210
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon Mega Greninja EX Gold Mega Hyper Rare Chaos Rising 122/086$179
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Chaos Rising Mega Greninja Ex Mega Hyper Rare 122/086 English Gold$220
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Mega Greninja Ex 122/086 Mega Hyper Rare Gold Chaos Rising Near MintNM$188
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Pokemon, Chaos Rising, Mega Greninja ex Card, 122/86$200
By grade
- Raw$199195 sales
- PSA 10$99030 sales
- PSA 9$27020 sales
- CGC 10$2349 sales
- PSA 8$2034 sales
- CGC 9$2953 sales
- CGC 8.5$1532 sales
- ACE 9$2262 sales
From 270 completed sales recorded between May 22, 2026 and Aug 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 75 graded sales and 5,110,777 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Mega Greninja ex is a Mega Hyper Rare Pokémon card from Chaos Rising (#122), illustrated by takuyoa. It's a Stage 2 MEGA ex Water-type Pokémon with 350 HP, evolving from Frogadier, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $190.43 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $900 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 5× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history25 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed sale prices from Fanatics Collect — weekly and premier auctions plus marketplace Buy It Now sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title.
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 62% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$621); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Mega Greninja ex is a Secret / Rainbow in Chaos Rising — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 7 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 281 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $900.00 | $89 | +$621 | 4.7× |
| PSA 9 | $243.00 | $72 | −$20 | 1.3× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 50 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 62% | $900.00 |
| PSA 9 | 34% | $243.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 4% | $190.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 62% of 50 PSA-graded Mega Greninja ex copies are a gem-mint 10 (31 of 50) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Mega Greninja ex 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 31 | ✓ 12 cert-verified$900 | |
| PSA 9pop 17 | ✓ 11 cert-verified$243 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
3% spreadCurrently 3% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#9 on the radarGreninja is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “30TH ANNIVERSARY LIKELY TONIGHT ON TARGET Midnight pst , 3am EST” · 141↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Frogadier.
Once during your turn, if this Pokémon is in the Active Spot, you may discard a Basic Water Energy card from your hand in order to use this Ability. Place 6 damage counters on 1 of your opponent's Pokémon.
You may put a Water Energy attached to this Pokémon into your hand and have this attack do 80 more damage.
Mega Evolution ex Rule: When your Mega Evolution Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 3 Prize cards.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Mega Greninja ex cards
There are 4 different Mega Greninja ex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Chaos Rising #122 (Mega Hyper Rare).
More from Chaos Rising
Frequently asked questions
How much is Mega Greninja ex (Chaos Rising #122) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Mega Greninja ex from Chaos Rising is worth approximately $190.43 ungraded (near-mint), and around $900 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Mega Greninja ex?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Mega Greninja ex from Chaos Rising is worth around $900 — roughly 5× the raw ungraded value of $190.43.
Should I grade my Mega Greninja ex?
A PSA 10 sells for about $900 versus $190.43 raw — roughly a 5× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Mega Greninja ex rare?
Mega Greninja ex is a Mega Hyper Rare card from Chaos Rising (card #122), illustrated by takuyoa. Its current blended market value is $190.43 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Mega Greninja ex (Chaos Rising #122) — Pokémon market value $190.43, PSA 10 $900.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/chaos-rising/mega-greninja-ex-122<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=me4-122" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Mega Greninja ex price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>