Cinderace
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NOT WORTH ITBased on 0 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Cinderace is a Rare Holo Pokémon card from Chilling Reign (#28), illustrated by Ryuta Fuse. It's a Stage 2 Single Strike Fire-type Pokémon with 170 HP, evolving from Raboot, weak to Water ×2. Its current blended market value is $0.36 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $51 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 142× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history3 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | PSA 7 | $5.50 | #157221707 ✓ |
| 28 Sep 2025 | PSA 10 | $51.00 | #117552770 ✓ |
| 18 Feb 2025 | PSA 9 | $13.00 | #101704781 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 29.2% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$20); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Cinderace is a Holo / V / ex in Chilling Reign — the pack's hit slot lands on Holo / V / ex 27.9% of the time, split across 47 holo / v / ex cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 169 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $51.00 | $71 | −$20 | 141.7× |
| PSA 9 | $13.00 | $70 | −$57 | 36.1× |
| PSA 8 | $5.00 | $70 | −$65 | 13.9× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 24 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 29.2% | $51.00 |
| PSA 9 | 33.3% | $13.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 37.5% | $0.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 29% of 24 PSA-graded Cinderace copies are a gem-mint 10 (7 of 24) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Cinderace 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 7 | $51$51–$51 | |
| PSA 9pop 8 | $13$13–$13 | |
| PSA 8pop 3 | $5$5–$5 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately
Price by variant
TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
151% spreadCurrently 151% cheaper on Cardmarket than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Raboot.
This Pokémon's attacks do 30 more damage to your opponent's Active Pokémon for each Prize card your opponent has taken (before applying Weakness and Resistance).
During your next turn, this Pokémon can't attack.
“It's skilled at both offense and defense, and it gets pumped up when cheered on. But if it starts showboating, it could put itself in a tough spot.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Cinderace cards
There are 8 different Cinderace printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Chilling Reign #28 (Rare Holo).
More from Chilling Reign
Frequently asked questions
How much is Cinderace (Chilling Reign #28) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Cinderace from Chilling Reign is worth approximately $0.36 ungraded (near-mint), and around $51 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Cinderace?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Cinderace from Chilling Reign is worth around $51 — roughly 142× the raw ungraded value of $0.36.
Should I grade my Cinderace?
A PSA 10 sells for about $51 versus $0.36 raw — roughly a 142× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Cinderace rare?
Cinderace is a Rare Holo card from Chilling Reign (card #28), illustrated by Ryuta Fuse. Its current blended market value is $0.36 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Cinderace (Chilling Reign #28) — Pokémon market value $0.36, PSA 10 $51.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/chilling-reign/cinderace-28<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=swsh6-28" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Cinderace price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>