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Check your printing4 different Alolan Raichu printings exist — is this your card? Crimson Invasion #31
Alolan Raichu Crimson Invasion #31 Pokémon card
Rare Holo

Alolan Raichu

Crimson Invasion · 31/111 · Illustrated by Akira Komayama
110 HPLightningPokémonStage 1

Market value · ungraded · Holofoil

$3.18 10.8% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Range$1$3
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer + Cardmarket. Updated 20 August 2026. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$3.18

What this price is based on

Low confidence

Only 0 sales in the last 90 days.

Median · PSA 9$16.801 sale
Trimmed meanoutliers removed
Range$16.80$16.80lowest to highest sale
Sales rate0.8/mo5 recorded

Recent PSA 9 sales

By grade

  • PSA 9$16.801 sale
  • PSA 10$1501 sale
  • Lot$6.001 sale
  • CGC 8.5$13.001 sale
  • CGC 8$7.201 sale

From 5 completed sales recorded between Feb 16, 2026 and Jun 8, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

NOT WORTH IT

Based on 4 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)Reverse Holo price

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Alolan Raichu is a Rare Holo Pokémon card from Crimson Invasion (#31), illustrated by Akira Komayama. It's a Stage 1 Lightning-type Pokémon with 110 HP, evolving from Pikachu, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $3.18 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $49 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 15× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202320 Aug 2026
Latest
$3.18
Period high
$3.36
Period low
$0.99
Change
62.2%
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Recent sold prices

No recent sold listings tracked.

Should you grade it?

$49

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 16.2% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case $25); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)16.2%
Expected return$49
PSA 10 best case$25
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Alolan Raichu is a Holo / V / ex in Crimson Invasion — the pack's hit slot lands on Holo / V / ex 27.9% of the time, split across 22 holo / v / ex cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 79 packs.

Holo / V / ex27.9%22 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)16.2%22 of 136
PSA 958.1%79 of 136
PSA graded so far136
Gem Mint 1022
Total graded136

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$49.00$70$2515.4×
PSA 9$26.79$70$478.4×
PSA 8$12.82$70$604.0×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 136 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1016.2%$49.00
PSA 958.1%$27.00
PSA ≤825.7%$3.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 16% of 136 PSA-graded Alolan Raichu copies are a gem-mint 10 (22 of 136) — the rest grade lower.

PSA136 gradedPSA 10 · 22 · 16% gem
1022
979
828
74
63
CGC535 gradedCGC 10 · 20 · 4% gem
1020
9.510
9235
8.5140
875

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Alolan Raichu 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$3.18
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 22$49$49$49
PSA 9pop 79$27$7$29
PSA 8pop 28$13$7$16
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Reverse Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$3.18
LPLightly Played$2.33
MPModerately Played$1.93
HPHeavily Played$1.65
DMGDamaged$1.43
7-day 6.9%
30-day 29.0%
90-day 28.2%
All-time high$3
All-time low$2
Other printingsHolofoil · $1.86
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately

Price by variant

Holofoil$3
Reverse Holo$3

TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.

Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

148% spread
Cardmarket · cheapest$1
PriceCharting$2
TCGplayer · dearest$3

Currently 148% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dRising +11%
Cross-marketMarkets disagree 148% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe

60% cheaper than the US
Cardmarket · Europe's largest card market$1
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Pikachu.

Surge SurferAbility

If there is any Stadium card in play, this Pokémon has no Retreat Cost.

Psychic70+
Colorless · Colorless · Colorless

This attack does 20 more damage times the amount of Energy attached to your opponent's Active Pokémon.

Weakness Fighting ×2Resistance Metal -20Retreat 2

It only evolves to this form in the Alola region. According to researchers, its diet is one of the causes of this change.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#31
RarityRare Holo
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesStage 1
TypeLightning
HP110
Evolves fromPikachu
WeaknessFighting ×2
ResistanceMetal -20
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#26
Card IDsm4-31
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Alolan Raichu cards

There are 4 different Alolan Raichu printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Crimson Invasion #31 (Rare Holo).

More from Crimson Invasion

Frequently asked questions

How much is Alolan Raichu (Crimson Invasion #31) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Alolan Raichu from Crimson Invasion is worth approximately $3.18 ungraded (near-mint), and around $49 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Alolan Raichu?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Alolan Raichu from Crimson Invasion is worth around $49 — roughly 15× the raw ungraded value of $3.18.

Should I grade my Alolan Raichu?

A PSA 10 sells for about $49 versus $3.18 raw — roughly a 15× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Alolan Raichu rare?

Alolan Raichu is a Rare Holo card from Crimson Invasion (card #31), illustrated by Akira Komayama. Its current blended market value is $3.18 ungraded.

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Citation
Alolan Raichu (Crimson Invasion #31) — Pokémon market value $3.18, PSA 10 $49.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/crimson-invasion/alolan-raichu-31
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