Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Low confidenceOnly 1 sale in the last 90 days.
Recent CGC 9 sales
- Jun 15, 2026Fanatics$10.80
From 1 completed sales recorded between Jun 15, 2026 and Jun 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 1 graded sales and 1,889,841 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Water Energy is a Common Pokémon card from Expedition Base Set (#165). It's a Basic Energy card. Its current blended market value is $2.24 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $54 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 24× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $21.57 | #161684464 ✓ |
| 24 Apr 2026 | PSA 10 | $70.00 | #62458006 ✓ |
| 12 Apr 2026 | PSA 10 | $51.00 | #41323067 ✓ |
| 11 Apr 2026 | PSA 10 | $54.00 | #72614267 ✓ |
| 24 Feb 2026 | PSA 10 | $54.99 | #88452201 ✓ |
| 6 Jan 2026 | PSA 10 | $50.00 | #41323069 ✓ |
| 11 Sep 2025 | PSA 8 | $16.00 | #83381002 ✓ |
| 8 Sep 2025 | PSA 9 | $28.00 | #59829139 ✓ |
| 8 Sep 2025 | PSA 10 | $32.40 | #62458007 ✓ |
| 11 Aug 2025 | PSA 8 | $13.50 | #118503527 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 43.1% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$19); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Water Energy is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $54.00 | $71 | −$19 | 24.1× |
| PSA 9 | $22.00 | $70 | −$50 | 9.8× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 51 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 43.1% | $54.00 |
| PSA 9 | 31.4% | $22.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 25.5% | $2.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 43% of 51 PSA-graded Water Energy copies are a gem-mint 10 (22 of 51) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Water Energy 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 22 | ✓ 6 cert-verified$54$51–$69 | |
| PSA 9pop 16 | ✓ 5 cert-verified$22$7–$22 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
155% spreadCurrently 155% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
61% cheaper than the USCard detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Water Energy cards
There are 9 different Water Energy printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Expedition Base Set #165 (Common).
More from Expedition Base Set
Frequently asked questions
How much is Water Energy (Expedition Base Set #165) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Water Energy from Expedition Base Set is worth approximately $2.24 ungraded (near-mint), and around $54 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Water Energy?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Water Energy from Expedition Base Set is worth around $54 — roughly 24× the raw ungraded value of $2.24.
Should I grade my Water Energy?
A PSA 10 sells for about $54 versus $2.24 raw — roughly a 24× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Water Energy rare?
Water Energy is a Common card from Expedition Base Set (card #165). Its current blended market value is $2.24 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Water Energy (Expedition Base Set #165) — Pokémon market value $2.24, PSA 10 $54.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/expedition-base-set/water-energy-165<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=ecard1-165" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Water Energy price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>