Lucario63/124 · Fates Collide Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
- PSA 8$24pop 86
- PSA 9$401 sold · 90d · pop 118
- PSA 10$550pop 33
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for Fates Collide #63/124, 2016. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
Everything except the illustration window is foiled — the mirror image of a normal holo, where only the picture shines.
The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
What's your copy worth?
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Lucario is a Rare Holo Pokémon card from Fates Collide (#63, released 2016), illustrated by Hitoshi Ariga. It's a Stage 1 Metal-type Pokémon with 110 HP, evolving from Riolu, weak to Fire ×2. It's listed among our holo rares. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 11 September 2026.
Lucario price history & recent sales
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
High confidence16 sales in 90 days, closely clustered. · Liquid — Sells regularly
Sale mix: 4 auctions, 6 accepted offers. A graded copy trades roughly every 6 days (median gap between cert-verified sales).
By grade
- Raw$4.8916 sales · 16 in 90d, sells regularly
- Lot$8.403 sales
- PSA 6$17.242 sales · 2 in 90d, rare
- CGC 8.5$9.402 sales · 1 in 90d, rare
- CGC 7.5$12.602 sales · 1 in 90d, rare
- PSA 9$54.001 sale · 1 in 90d, rare
- PSA 5$29.001 sale · 1 in 90d, rare
- PSA 10$2,5001 sale
Is Lucario worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 9 — worth $40 against the $75 you put in, a $35 loss. The money is in the 1 in 2 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $40–$550. Averaged over every outcome that is −$13 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Lucario is a Holo / V / ex in Fates Collide — the pack's hit slot lands on Holo / V / ex 27.9% of the time, split across 18 holo / v / ex cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 65 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $550.00 | $105 | +$442 | 207.5× |
| PSA 9 | $40.00 | $70 | −$33 | 15.1× |
| PSA 8 | $24.00 | $70 | −$49 | 9.1× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 298 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 6% | $550.00 |
| PSA 9 — typical | 45.3% | $40.00 |
| PSA 8 | 36.9% | $24.00 |
| PSA 7 | 7.7% | $16.50 |
| PSA 6 | 2.3% | $12.45 |
| PSA 5 | 1% | $2.65 |
| PSA 4 | 0.7% | $2.65 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
33 of the 296 PSA-graded Lucario copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 11%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 296.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 337.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 8.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 10.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Lucario 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Lucario (63) Holo Rare XY - Fates Collide 63/124 MPRaw · eBay$0.99
Lucario (63) Holo Rare XY - Fates Collide 63/124 LP L👀KRaw · eBay$1.00
Lucario 63/124 Holo Rare Fates Collide Pokemon Lightly PlayedRaw · eBay$1.00
Lucario (63) 63/124 Holo Rare XY - Fates Collide LPRaw · eBay$1.20
Lucario 63/124 Fates Collide HoloRaw · eBay$1.69
Lucario 63/124 Holo Rare Fates Collide Pokemon DamagedRaw · eBay$1.75Cheapest raw copy $1.69 — 36% below our near-mint estimate of $3
Buying this card on eBay? The free CardTrack extension shows our value and a deal verdict right on the listing. Add to Chrome →
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 33 | ✓ 9 cert-verified$550$550–$850 | |
| PSA 9pop 118 | $40$34–$46 | |
| PSA 8pop 86 | ✓ 10 cert-verified$24$24–$41 | |
| PSA 7pop 33 | $17$14–$19 | |
| PSA 6pop 20 | 5 sold$12$11–$14 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 6 slab of this card sells for about $14 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately
Price by variant
Priced per printing — some from our own completed sales, the rest from TCGplayer's market price. Reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
33% spreadCurrently 33% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#12 on the radarLucario is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “World Championship 2026 - Meta Report” · 111↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Riolu.
This attack's damage isn't affected by Weakness or Resistance.
If you have fewer Pokémon in play than your opponent, this attack does 60 more damage for each Pokémon fewer you have in play.
“By reading the auras of all things, it can tell how others are feeling from over half a mile away.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Lucario cards
There are 28 different Lucario printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Fates Collide #63 (Rare Holo). The most valuable 7 are below.
More from Fates Collide
Frequently asked questions
How much is Lucario (Fates Collide #63) worth?
As of 11 September 2026, Lucario from Fates Collide is worth approximately $2.65 ungraded (near-mint), and around $550 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Lucario?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Lucario from Fates Collide is worth around $550 — roughly 208× the raw ungraded value of $2.65.
Should I grade my Lucario?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Lucario rare?
Lucario is a Rare Holo card from Fates Collide (card #63).
How do I know if my Lucario is Reverse Holo?
The card body, not the picture: Everything except the illustration window is foiled — the mirror image of a normal holo, where only the picture shines.
How do I know if my Lucario is Holofoil?
The illustration window: The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Lucario (Fates Collide #63) — Pokémon market value $2.65, PSA 10 $550.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/fates-collide/lucario-63<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xy10-63" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Lucario price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>