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Check your printing5 different Toxapex printings exist — is this your card? Lost Thunder #69
Toxapex Lost Thunder #69 Pokémon card
Rare

Toxapex

Lost Thunder · 69/214 · Illustrated by kirisAki
120 HPWaterPokémonStage 1

Market value · ungraded

$0.47 4.1% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Range$0$1
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. 2 sources agree within 28%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$0.47

Grade it or not

NOT WORTH IT

Based on 0 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)Reverse Holo price

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

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Toxapex is a Rare Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#69), illustrated by kirisAki. It's a Stage 1 Water-type Pokémon with 120 HP, evolving from Mareanie, weak to Grass ×2. Its current blended market value is $0.47 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $33 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 70× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202321 Aug 2026
Latest
$0.47
Period high
$1.56
Period low
$0.47
Change
61.2%
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Recent sold prices

No recent sold listings tracked.

Should you grade it?

$70

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 0% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case $38); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)0%
Expected return$70
PSA 10 best case$38
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Toxapex is a Rare in Lost Thunder — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 38 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 64 packs.

Rare59.7%38 cards

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$32.97$70$3870.1×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 10 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 100%$33.00
PSA 90%$13.00
PSA ≤8100%$0.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 0% of 10 CGC-graded Toxapex copies are a gem-mint 10 (0 of 10) — the rest grade lower.

CGC10 gradedCGC 10 · 0 · 0% gem
9.510

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Toxapex 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$0.49
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10$33$33$33
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Reverse Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$0.47
LPLightly Played$0.37
MPModerately Played$0.30
7-dayflat
30-dayflat
90-day 16.4%
All-time high$0
All-time low$0
Other printingsNormal · $0.49
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

28% spread
TCGplayer · cheapest$0
PriceCharting · dearest$1

Currently 28% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFalling -4%
Cross-marketSome gap 28% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Mareanie.

Poison Sting
Water

Your opponent's Active Pokémon is now Poisoned.

Venom Fever50×
Water · Water

If your opponent's Active Pokémon is Poisoned, this attack does 50 damage for each damage counter on that Pokémon.

Weakness Grass ×2Retreat 3

Those attacked by Toxapex's poison will suffer intense pain for three days and three nights. Post-recovery, there will be some aftereffects.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Brutal Star PokémonGEN VIIMareanieToxapex

Toxapex crawls along the ocean floor on its 12 legs. It leaves a trail of Corsola bits scattered in its wake.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#69
RarityRare
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesStage 1
TypeWater
HP120
Evolves fromMareanie
WeaknessGrass ×2
Retreat cost3
National Pokédex#748
Card IDsm8-69
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Toxapex cards

There are 5 different Toxapex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Thunder #69 (Rare).

More from Lost Thunder

Frequently asked questions

How much is Toxapex (Lost Thunder #69) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Toxapex from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $0.47 ungraded (near-mint), and around $33 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Toxapex?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Toxapex from Lost Thunder is worth around $33 — roughly 70× the raw ungraded value of $0.47.

Should I grade my Toxapex?

A PSA 10 sells for about $33 versus $0.47 raw — roughly a 70× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Toxapex rare?

Toxapex is a Rare card from Lost Thunder (card #69), illustrated by kirisAki. Its current blended market value is $0.47 ungraded.

Cite & embed this card

Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Toxapex (Lost Thunder #69) — Pokémon market value $0.47, PSA 10 $32.97. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/toxapex-69
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<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm8-69" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Toxapex price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>